Get in my belly!
Posted on 11/21/2007 3:19:17 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
GOP Nomination
* Fred Thompson 21% * Mitt Romney 21% * Rudy Giuliani 13% * Mike Huckabee 12% * John McCain 9% * Ron Paul 8%
South Carolina Survey of 702 Likely GOP Voters. Conducted November 20, 2007 by Rasmussen Reports.
UPDATE: Before any Romney supporters get overjoyed, according to the crosstabs, 68% of his support is open to changing their mind, while every other candidate is between 47-57%.
UPDATE #2: Huckabee’s unfavorables are higher than Giuliani, Thompson, and Romney, which is suprising.
UPDATE #3- Crosstabs:
Crosstabs:
Very Favorable:
* Fred Thompson 32% * Mitt Romney 28% * Rudy Giuliani 24% * Mike Huckabee 22% * John McCain 19% * Ron Paul 14%
Somewhat Favorable
* Rudy Giuliani 48% * Fred Thompson 44% * Mitt Romney 44% * John McCain 39% * Mike Huckabee 35% * Ron Paul 21%
Somewhat Unfavorable:
* John McCain 27% * Ron Paul 25% * Mike Huckabee 20% * Rudy Giuliani 18% * Mitt Romney 17% * Fred Thompson 15%
Very Unfavorable:
* Ron Paul 25% * John McCain 12% * Mike Huckabee 9% * Rudy Giuliani 8% * Mitt Romney 8% * Fred Thompson 4%
Voters who will certainly vote for their choice
* Fred Thompson 24% * Rudy Giuliani 16% * Mitt Romney 16% * Mike Huckabee15% * John McCain 13% * Ron Paul 12%
Romney has the softest support with 68% of his voters open to changing their minds. Every other candidate is between 47% and 57%. (translation: Mitt's 21% versus Fred is just name recognition from his big recent ad buy.
Huckabee has the highest unfavorables of the top 4. (My theory: the closer you get to Arkansas, the better the voters understand the Huckster and the less they like him)
Good poll news ping!
Get in my belly!
Everything going as planned. Let the other guys get well known first, then present the Conservative who has not waffled before...
Or pushed socialized Medicine...
Our selected Liberal criminal loving judges...
Or pushed polled himself...
Or is a nanny stater from Hope...
And...
I’m glad to read this good news! Thanks for posting. I made my 3rd donation to FRed yesterday. Gotta put your money where your mouth is.
Yea, but don’t you know, the Mittwits, Duncanistas, FoxNews and Michael Medved have all declared that his candidacy is dead!
I guess they forgot to tell the Republican Faithful in South Carolina.
“Yea, but don’t you know, the Mittwits, Duncanistas, FoxNews and Michael Medved have all declared that his candidacy is dead!”
All us Fredheads will be thanking them in 43 days. The fact that they have run him so far down is just going to magnify the bounce he gets out of Iowa.
Very Unfavorable:
* Ron Paul 25% * John McCain 12% * Mike Huckabee 9% * Rudy Giuliani 8% * Mitt Romney 8% * Fred Thompson 4%
-
ahhh one poll ron paul is leading
The Gallup internals from last week also bode well for Fred at the national level, showing him in a statistical tie with Giuliani for first place among those voters who are absolutely certain to vote.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1927557/posts
well this is good. but how does it translate to primaries: some are winner take all, some aren’t
In a state like SC, Fred supporters should be concerned that Rudy is so close and is only 4 points behind when you combine very favorable and somewhat favorable. SC is, really, Fred’s only hope of winning a primary before AL, CO, and maybe GA. He’s getting cleaned in IA and NH by Mitt, getting cleaned in FL by Rudy, then when Super Tuesday hits, Fred will be lucky to come in 3rd in NY, CA, PA, CT, NJ, and a couple of other big delegate states.
“He’s getting cleaned in IA and NH by Mitt, getting cleaned in FL by Rudy,”
Whoa! There are 43 days until the Iowa caucuses. People are just starting to pay attention. Fred is in a statistical tie for second there, and Mitt and Huck’s baggage (soft on crime, sanctuary cites, in Mitt’s case, $50 abortions) is just now starting to come out. You act as if these polls are actually votes! Last time I checked every one of the top 4 candidates (Rudy, Romney, Huckabee and Thompson) had lost an election, except one....the one you and the MSM have written off.
If you think Rudy’s lead in Florida is going to remain after he gets whacked in Iowa, probably New Hampshire and South Carolina, you are way off. This election is very fluid.
Check the polls in mid December. You will get a little better idea of what Iowa really looks like then.
The trends are good. He is even to ahead in South Carolina. Tied for second in Iowa. His main opponents in both states have a huge amount of baggage (soft on crime, sanctuary cities, in Mitt’s case: $50 abortions in his socialized medicine plan) which is just now starting to come out. Elections are about issues and Fred agrees with the majority of the Republican base on the majority of the issues. That is why he is going to win.
With all due respect, Fred will need the support of ALL Republicans in order to get elected in November. Insulting other Republican voters is not a good way to get there.
If Mitt hangs on to win Iowa and NH and Fred wins SC, it’ll be a two way race. Rudy’s current lead in Florida won’t mean a thing. Rudy is only polling in the mid to low 30s in Florida. That state is by no means a lock for Rudy once the field starts narrowing.
I certainly hope he fades away before that point, because the MSM that loves Rooty will discount those three states as being either bought by Romney, or in the case of SC, outside of Giuliani's 'base'. They'll run stories of how he's "keeping the faith" so he can stay viable for the blue state primaries. Then, they'll trumpet his successes there into "He's the guy who could take states away from Hillary Clinton." By that point, the Witch's coronation will be a lock, and they will be looking to create a Rudy-Hildebeest catfight to sell newspapers.
I'm certain that's been the strategy of the press all along. Either way it turns out, they get a gun-grabbing, pro-abortion liberal in the White House.
“If Mitt hangs on to win Iowa and NH and Fred wins SC, it’ll be a two way race. Rudy’s current lead in Florida won’t mean a thing. Rudy is only polling in the mid to low 30s in Florida. That state is by no means a lock for Rudy once the field starts narrowing.”
That is my hope.
Good news for Thompson.
OH...that was good!
This is wonderful news for Fred Thompson and his family. I know Fred is so lazy that he might not make it over to the computer to see these good numbers, but we here at FreeRepublic are very pleased.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.