Posted on 12/04/2007 8:13:17 AM PST by Petronski
With less than a month to go before the Iowa caucuses, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that Rudy Giuliani has fallen back in the pack in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Giulianis support has fallen to 18% and four other candidates are within six percentage points of the lead. Mike Huckabee is enjoying an amazing surge and now shares the top spot with Giuliani at 18%. Close behind are John McCain at 14%, Fred Thompson at 13%, and Mitt Romney at 12%. Ron Paul attracts 7% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide and no other Republican candidate reaches 2% (see recent daily numbers).
With a 4 point MOE, isn’t this essentially a statistical 5-way tie?
People are watching more, and are seeing past the whole 9/11 bit. Exactly what we were talking about a while back.
Yes, though it's much more likely that Rudy is tied with Huck than with Myth.
On one side we have the social conservatives with Huckabee, and on the other we have the WOT conservatives with Rudy.
It will also be interesting to watch any Florida polls coming out. If Huckabee continues to surge their, it may be over for the other 2nd place candidates. Rudy must also either win, or be extremely competitive for his dominance to continue. I give him a little more breathing room only because in the big States of Super Tuesday he has such huge margins over the others, and that is where the majority of his delegates are coming from.
I have been predicting a Rudy vs Mitt race for awhile, but I may be changing my mind. Those early primaries are becoming more and more important (who said Iowa and NH no longer matter), if the momentum of Huck overtakes Mitt, he will be strong. And we MUST take into consideration the perception that Southern Governors are the most electable.
Rooty on life support, waiting at deaths door. LOL
Btw, where are the remaining RomneyMites?
Looks like the column headings are transposed.
I'll call a doctor.
I think the Huckster will be a shooting star. He is too vulnerable on hot-button issues for conservatives: immigration and taxes.
He’s Dead, Jim.
While the fiscal and leave-me-the-hell-alone conservatives sit on the sidelines wishing Fred were at the top...
These two factors are, in this American Idol type world, critical. If Fred slips in SC and Huckabee takes him on there, Fred is out of it. I think more than anything, Huckabee is becoming the anti - Fred.
Another factor to consider is that regardless of his positions, Southern Governors are still considered to be the most electable.
Looks like they switched Huck and Fred for the 12/4 poll.
They appear to have fixed the columns now.
In the last five days:
Giuliani -9
Huckabee +6
Thompson +3
Romney -2
McCain 0
Could be a typo - hard to believe Huckabee lost 5 points overnight. He was 17% the day before? Maybe we have a 3 way tie at 18% today.
Huckabee isn’t just the anti-Fred, he’s the anti-conservative.
They column headings are good. They just messed up when they entered the 4 Dec results and put some numbers in the wrong columns.
“People are watching more, and are seeing past the whole 9/11 bit. Exactly what we were talking about a while back.”
I’m Rudy Giulaaaahnnie and I’m from New Yaaawwwwk.
We’re vewwwy special in New Yawwwwk. I’m skipping the conservative primary states and going for New Yaaawwwk’s delegates.
911, Manhattan, 911, Subway Series, 911, SQUAWK.
:)
“Mike Huckabee is enjoying an amazing surge and now shares the top spot with Giuliani at 18%.”
Julie’s just gotta be hissin’ and spittin’.
Sit on the sidelines and enjoy the show as the guys in the Conservative costumes try and out Reagan each other.
This may shake out as a Fred and Huck race, and...
Well you know what I am thinking...
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