Election 2008 (Summary of GOP primary polls)

RealClearPolitics ^ | Dec 2008 | RealClearPolitics

[LexBaird]

Great site! I check there for the facts when the WAGuessing starts flying around here. I’ll likely monitor the elections from there for the unvarnished poll results.

[LS]

From my experience in the past, Mason-Dixon is the best. However, Ras was pretty close in 2006, and overall, all of the polls were dead on.

[LS]

Yeah, but that’s really stretching logic. Fred could easily be at near zero, and if you look at realclearpolitics and the TREND LINES for virtually every state, he’s lost between 1/3 and 2/3 of his support just in three weeks.

[NeoCaveman]

Mike Huckabee Says He Doesn’t Recall If He Wrote Line About Bush ‘Bunker Mentality,’ After Rice Denounces Article

Maybe he had that Kos guy write it for him..."

[papasmurf]

Polls in caucus States mean less than jack snot. Nobody but the campaigns, AFAIK, have access to the caucus members’ information, which is provided by each County caucus to the campaigns of their party. This info is released each week on Monday afternoons to the campaigns. It covers Sun-Mon daily updates of the prior week.

ALL of the polling organizations rely on telephone surveys of so called “likely” voters, not actual causcusers.

Sample verification testing, such as telephoning the same household on different days/times has proved telephone surveys are a matter of averaging out the five (for example) surveys each respondent has answered. Again, AFAIK, Rasmussen is the only one to use verification call backs.