Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 12/30/2007 | Rasmussen

[John Valentine]

For the first time all year, Arizona Senator John McCain finds himself on top with support from 17% of Likely Republican Primary Voters.

[John Valentine]

Wide open, as they say.

[GOPGuide]

You mean that Huck and Rudith have fallen below 17%?

[John Valentine]

It would seem so. Details don’t seem to be up as yet. Only the teaser.

[Always Right]

Wow, 5 candidates all within 5%.

[Always Right]

Rasmussen (Sun) 4 Day Tracking Rudy 15%, Huck 16%, McCain 17%, Romney 16%, Fred 12%, Paul 6%

[deport]

Polls are all over the place and especially a poll like Rusmussen that is taken daily. Here are the last 3 days numbers and you can see how they bounce around. National tracking polls aren't necessary indicative of the state by state polls and don't reflect the outcome should one of the candidates get back to back early wins.

               12/27    12/28    12/29 
Mike Huckabee   20%       17       16
Rudy Giuliani   18%       19       15
John McCain     14%       15       17 
Mitt Romney     13%       13       16
Fred Thompson   11%       12       12

[OKIEDOC]

Rasmussen (Sun) 4 Day Tracking Rudy 15%, Huck 16%, McCain 17%, Romney 16%, Fred 12%, Paul 6%

Courtesy comment

I believe that this shows that Iowa voters don’t have clue as to who the best candidate is.

It also shows the fallacy of letting the people of Iowa choose the Republican front runner.

I would have more faith in Texas or Oklahoma as to who they think is a better candidate probably Fred Thompson.

I would like to see McCaniancs numbers from Oklahoma after he sold out his base to please big business.

McCaniac will never get a free pass from me after he said that the base of the Republican party was nothing but a bunch of ignorant white racists.

[freespirited]

This is the national poll, not a state one.
Click on the link for the state poll (link in upper right corner).

[DogandPonyShow]

It will be McCain. He can win the general. Better then a Dem.

[John Valentine]

Rassmussen is a four day rolling average poll with a 95% probablility that the true value is within plus or minus five percent of the reported value.

It is useful for spotting trends. We can also say with certainty that nationally all these candidates are even and that Giuliani and Huckabee are on discint downward trajectories. McCain is on a possible upward trajectories and Thompson and Romney are holding steady within the margin of error.

As of today. Wait until tomorrow and the situation can change. All that can be said for sure is that the Huckaboom has become the Huckabust and that John McCain has been the immediate beneficiary of international uncertainty.

[WildcatClan]

Good news for Undecided, which would be as high a percentage as any of the candidates received.

[WFTR]

... and that John McCain has been the immediate beneficiary of international uncertainty.

I'm amazed that John McCain becomes the beneficiary of international uncertainty when he wants to prohibit the technique that led the mastermind of the 9/11 attacks to confess. The international uncertainty is another reason why I don't want John McCain to be president. The candidate who should benefit from international uncertainty is Duncan Hunter, but he's not even on the radar screen. Fred Thompson's comment about "who do you want sitting across the table from our enemies" will also be effective because he projects that image to the voters. I wish more of our political process were about substance and not projected images. I keep wanting to turn his statement into a joke about him sitting across the table taking a nap, but I think his approach will help him win undecided voters. Ultimately, the important people who sit across the table are the team members that the president selects, and Mitt Romney has a better record for building teams. Fred Thompson can argue that Mitt Romney has never built a team to handle international conflicts, but Fred Thompson hasn't either.

Bill

[OKIEDOC]

I am a Fred Head and think he is the best candidate.

Just hope my friends in Ottumwa vote the way their telling me.

I am being told that the local media up there is more scared of Fred as a national candidate than say a John McCaniac.

BTW my best friend teaches at the college in Ottumwa.

[CaptainK]

Are they polling Democrats?

[Grunthor]

I’d vote for McCain shortly after hell freezes over.

[Grunthor]

“It will be McCain....Better then a Dem.”

How so?

[Michael A. Velli]

Mitt Romney 13% 13 16

A nice upward trend seems to be developing for Mitt...

[snarkybob]

“A nice upward trend seems to be developing for Mitt...”

Yep. He and McCain seem to be getting a bump. Huckabee looks like he’s in danger of dropping off the map, and Fred is locked in at 12%. The next 2 weeks should be very illuminating. I thought I saw on one of the pundit shows that Mitt was getting pounded in NH. Is that true or do you know?

[Mr Rogers]

Because then a republican will get credit for closing Gitmo, amnesty for illegals, liberal judges, killing the economy to solve global warming that doesn’t exist, etc.

Don’t you want that?

[Grunthor]

No thanks.