Posted on 01/09/2008 8:27:37 PM PST by JulianaJohnson
Programming Note:
Fresh off his uncontrollable lurch into the insight that Clinton and McCain would win their respective New Hampshire primaries, Proft will again be on the one hour televised version of Bruce DuMont's "Beyond the Beltway" Sunday night at 10:30pm on WYCC, Channel 20. For the radio version of BTB from 6-8pm Sunday evening on WLS-AM 890, DuMont will be broadcasting live from Grand Rapids, Michigan. ________________________________________
I do not pretend to understand the mind, to the extent there is such evidence, of the befuddled iteration of Homo sapiens known as the Democrat primary voter.
Thus, in order to explain New Hampshire Democrat primary voters choosing the "experience to hope for change" over "hoping for a changed experience", or was it "united for experienced hope", no, wait, "experiencing hopeful change"? Sorry, I am a slow drinker when it comes to big government Kool-Aid.
Let's try again.
Thus, in order to explain how Hillary Clinton shocked the chattering classes, I must harken back to my days of unhinged youthful exuberance.
The year was 1984. The movie that briefly changed my life was Breakin' 2: Electric Boogaloo in which local break-dancers "Turbo" and "Ozone" intervene to stop a developer from tearing down their neighborhood community center. Riveting, I know.
After seeing that movie, this then 12-year old white kid from Wheaton, Illinois, was going to change the world with his inspirational form of dance just like Turbo and Ozone. You could say I was imbued with the audacity of hope.
Mom and dad indulged me for awhile.
They gave in to my demands for parachute pants and red Chuck Taylor high-tops. They tolerated my endless looping of Chaka Khan's "Ain't Nobody" on my Sanyo boombox. But when I put cardboard down in the living room to practice my "helicopters" and "windmills" and, instead, busted up some of the furniture, enough was enough. The adults in the Proft household re-asserted their authority.
The same thing happened in New Hampshire.
The adults let the kids have their romp in Iowa where Democrat caucus goers under 21-years-old more than tripled relative to that demographic's historic percentage of the electorate.
But the Great Society liberals over yonder New England way weren't going to let the same blog-happy, weepy teenagers who put Sanjaya into the finals of last season's American Idol force an ethereal cliche-machine down their throats.
They prefer their teddy bears from Vermont and their radical liberals from the 1960s.
It wasn't Hillary's facsimile of human emotion. It wasn't a repudiation of the punditocracy. It wasn't even the vaunted "Clinton political machine" on the ground in New Hampshire.
Even in the deconstructionist netherworld of the Democrat Party, the adults call the shots. ________________________________________
Dan Proft is a Principal of Urquhart Media LLC, a Chicago-based public affairs firm and political commentator for the Don Wade & Roma Morning Show (5-9am) on Chicago's number one news talk radio station, WLS-AM 890. He can be reached at dan@urqmedia.com.
For other Dan Proft commentaries (radio & print), please visit: http://www.urqmedia.com/proft/
For other recent Don Wade & Roma interviews, commentary, and discussions visit: http://www.wlsam.com/sectional.asp?id=16410
© All Rights Reserved ###
What value were polls other than anti-democratic?
The polls had it wrong over New Hampshire. And it was polls that were used to exclude Hunter from the New Hampshire debates, the same debates which proved that polls were wrong. But poll results are still valid for EXCLUDING candidates like Hunter, who actually had a DELEGATE that REAL VOTERs voted for, while Rudy had NONE, but look at his polls!
For the Republican side, half right is more than half wrong when you’re relying on the data to exclude someone from the process of democracy. And if they were wrong, how do we know they were right on the republican side? The prevailing assumption should be that they need to PROVE their data is reliable, but by excluding a candidate that could have done well in that state if he had access to the media, they AFFECTED THE OUTCOME. I don’t see how anyone can defend this action when it affects a conservative. This is a conservative forum, not a GOP one. It’s not just the GOP that’s jumping the shark, they’re taking Free Republic with them.
On the latest poll, ‘I’ll vote “R” regardless’ is leading the pack. I call people who vote this way UIN republicans, because they’ll vote for anything with an R in front of it, regardless of what it means.
Free Republic’s (1/9) poll on Republican candidates’ liberal positions that would be deal killers
http://www.freerepublic.com/perl/poll?poll=210;results=1
thread discussion
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1951136/posts
Apropos to absolutely nothing, my brother wrote the music for Breakin' 2: Electric Boogaloo. It's not something I would usually boast about, but since he brought it up....:)
None of which tells us why the polls were so wrong in predicting Hitlery’s win - they all showed Obama ahead by large to gigantic margins on the eve of the election - the size of his projected victory varied, but the unanimous prediction that he would win was significant - the pollsters have a lot of ‘splainin’ to do on this one to try to restore their already shaky credibility......
Hillary saw her female support slipping away after the Iowa caucus. She focus-grouped and found that she needed to show more emotion. She wept for the ladies in the cafe. She won the 65 and over female vote in New Hampshire and the Democratic Primary. Please, God—when will the Clintons go away?
The people that are hired to do exit polling are generally young (low pay, nothing better to do) workers. They are more likely to question a younger, more like themselves, crowd. This gave us skewed numbers in the last two presidential elections as well as this primary.
It fails to explain the polling data in prior days however...
Good enough theory, and reason enough not to trust polling data for anything to do with the process of democracy.
I don’t participate in polls.. Except one time each November (most primarys too).
Nope, vote fraud, plain and simple.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.