Posted on 01/18/2008 2:56:19 PM PST by Romneyfor President2008
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Mitt Romney have comfortable leads in Nevada going into Saturday's presidential campaign caucuses, according to a new Review-Journal poll.
Clinton's 9-point lead over Barack Obama, 41 percent to 32 percent, maintains the lead she's held in most state polls despite Obama's intense efforts to compete here and his recent union endorsements. John Edwards trails with 14 percent of the vote.
Romney's unique investment in the state appears to be paying off, with the help of the big dive Rudy Giuliani's numbers have taken after poor showings in previous states.
Romney leads John McCain by 15 points, 34 percent to 19 percent. Giuliani, who led the last Review-Journal poll, is in sixth place.
Democrats and Republicans hold presidential nominating caucuses in Nevada on Saturday, at 11 a.m. and 9 a.m. respectively.
The poll of 500 likely caucus-goers for each party was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. from Monday through Wednesday and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at lvrj.com ...
More details about the poll from AP:
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j2L6vV2jPeg6amOnwoYEppQx4xigD8U8C4LG0
Or are all the illegal aliens caucusing for Hillary so they can't caucus for McCain?
Fifteen percent win should get . . . 25 delegates? Maybe 27. Depends on distribution. Probably more than South Carolina has in total and he’ll likely get a couple there too.
Actually, the lead is 15. Nineteen is what McCain is getting. Fifteen is still good though!
Oh yeah sorry, my bad.
Beautiful!!!
It is all about the delegates. Will be ignored by the MSM, because Mitt is going to get them. If it was media darlings McCain or Huck, why those delegates would be all important.
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http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1951081/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1951115/posts
NV has 34 delegates. Assuming the Caucus distributes 34% of the delegates to Romney at the State convention, that would be a 12 delegate pick up.
However, if Romney wins all three Districts individually, that would be 9 tomorrow, plus however the 25 “at large”, “bonus” and “state” delegates get apportioned on April 26.
Romney is no surprise to me. Nevada, especially Las Vegas, is run, mostly behind the scenes, by Mormons. Not many people know that.
Nevada (and Mitt win Wyoming) is smack dab in the Sagebrush region, which extends well into other states, including California. A Nevada Mitt blowout could presage a California win.
The Mormon population of Nevada is just 6%, and is not able to give Mitt a 19% advantage. Romney's appeal in Nevada has more to do with the Sagebrush appeal than Mormon identity politics.
I actually feel badly for McCain. Years of being a solid conservative and then he started believing his own press.
Decided since the media loved him for being a Maverick he would thumb his nose at conservatives.
Now they are returning the favor.
Hoisted by his own petard.
The lead has shrunk a bit but Matthews & Co. are saying IF SHE COULD PULL THIS OUT it will be another come-back kid moment. Huh?
The media won't make much of this outcome, but those of us trying to bring people to the caucuses and primaries in other states can use this win. We can present Mr. Romney as someone who's done well in a state that is generally considered to be pro-Second Amendment. We can present him as someone who is running a campaign in all 50 states and who will have built goodwill in all 50 states by showing the people that their votes are important to him.
Bill
This is a great example of Mormon bigotry. Yes, bigotry. As a Nevadan, I know Romney is being pushed here by Mormons who will only vote Mormon (anti-gentile bigots).
Now I know already the protests, that I am a anti-Mormon bigot. But what’s fit for the goose is fit for the gander.
Fascinating Map! If you have traveled and spent much time in the different regions you can really see how accurate this is. For instance, I grew up in Indiana, and Indiana politics are much more similiar to South Dakota or Kansas than neighboring Illinois. Likewise an election in Northern LA is lot more like a an election in NC 800 miles away than it is like one in Houston 200 miles away. Great post - what is the source?
Fascinating Map! If you have traveled and spent much time in the different regions you can really see how accurate this is. For instance, I grew up in Indiana, and Indiana politics are much more similiar to South Dakota or Kansas than neighboring Illinois. Likewise an election in Northern LA is lot more like a an election in NC 800 miles away than it is like one in Houston 200 miles away. Great post - what is the source?
Go Mitt!!!
how do they chose when mormons are not running?
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