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ALERT: The Nearly Diversionary Presidential Elections
February 6, 2008 | Chuck Plante - aka backtothestreets

Posted on 02/06/2008 3:57:35 PM PST by backtothestreets

Listen Up!

Senator John McCain may be the Republican nominee for President, and will most likely face either Clinton or Obama in the General Election. One of the great concerns Republicans voice with McCain is his pro-amnesty stance, which coincidently is shared by the presumed Democratic rivals. They believe McCain as President, or either of the Democrats, would grant amnesty to illegal aliens. Well, our current President wasn't able to accomplish that, and this fact had better make conservatives pay closer attention to all the elections taking place this year.

Class II of the Senate has 33 seats up for election, plus an additional seat from another Class that was vacated. Class II is the most Republican populated Class. Of the present 49 Republicans in the US Senate, twenty-one are members of Class II, with the remaining 28 Republicans seats being members of Class I (9 Republican seats) and III (19 Republican seats).

As many as 13 of the Class II Senate seats are expected to face strong challenges, 11 of which are now held by Republicans (two in favor of amnesty - 9 opposed), and two by a Democrats (one in favor, one opposed).

Once again, very recent history tells us a pro-amnesty president is of no consequence in signing an amnesty bill if such a bill cannot be passed in the Senate.  That said, the presidential race will result in a new President of the Senate (Vice-President of the United States) to cast the deciding vote in case of a tied Senate vote when such a bill resurfaces.

The race for the White House is an extremely crucial race, but the greater battle will be for the overall composition of the US Senate, including who will serve as President of the Senate.

Here's a table of how the Class II Senators voted on the two amnesty bills before the Senate last Summer.

 

34 Senate Seats Up For Election In 2008 (22 Republican - 12 Democrat)

State

 

Incumbent

Outlook

Amnesty Bill Votes

       

S.1348
Vote 204
06/07/2007

S.1639
Vote 235
06/28/2007

Alabama

R

Jeff Sessions
(1997 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Alaska R Ted Stevens
(1968 - )
He will be 85 in 2008; under corruption investigation. Nay Nay
Arizona D Mark Pryor
(2003 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Colorado R Wayne Allard
(1997 - 2008)
Open seat; retiring. Received 51% of votes in 2002.  Candidates: former US Rep. Bob Schaffer (R) and current US Rep. Mark Udall (D) Nay Nay
Delaware D Joseph Biden
(1973 - )
Considered safe seat Yea Yea
Georgia R Saxby Chambliss
(2003 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Idaho R Larry E. Craig
(1991 - 2007)
Was to resign amid scandal. Nay Yea
Iowa D Tom Harkin
(1985 - )
Considered safe seat Yea Nay
Illinois D Richard Durbin
(1997 - )
Considered safe seat Yea Yea
Kansas R Pat Roberts
(1997 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Kentucky R Mitch McConnell
(1985 - )
Considered safe seat; senior senator and Senate Minority Leader. Seat targeted by DNC. Nay Nay
Louisiana D Mary Landrieu
(1997 - )
Possible Katrina voter backlash.  Received 52% of votes in 2002. Nay Nay
Maine R Susan Collins
(1997 - )
State leans Republican; Will be strongly contested.   Nay Nay
Massachusetts D John Kerry
(1985 - )
Considered safe seat Not Voting Yea
Michigan D Carl Levin
(1979 - )
Considered safe seat Not Voting Yea
Minnesota R Norm Coleman
(2003 - )
State leans Republican. Received 50% of votes in 2002.  Candidates: author and former radio talk show host Al Franken (D) DNC Targeted Nay Nay
Mississippi R Thad Cochran
(1979 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Montana D Max Baucus
(1978 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
New Jersey D Frank R. Lautenberg
(1982-2001, 2003-)
Considered safe Democratic seat; will be 84 in 2008 Yea Yea
North Carolina R Elizabeth Dole
(2003 - )
State leans Republican; Received 54% of votes in 2002.  Could be targeted by DNC Nay Nay
Nebraska R Chuck Hagel
(1997 - )
Retiring. Nay Yea
New Hampshire R John E. Sununu
(2003 - )
State leans Republican Nay Nay
New Mexico R Pete Domenici
(1973 - )
Will not run; implicated in US Attorneys firings. Nay Nay
Oklahoma R James M. Inhofe
(1994 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Oregon R Gordon H. Smith
(1997 - )
Received 56% of votes in 2002.  May be targeted by DNC Nay Nay
Rhode Island D Jack Reed
(1997 - )
Considered safe seat Yea Yea
South Carolina R Lindsey Graham
(2003 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Yea
South Dakota D Tim Johnson
(1997 - )
Considered safe Democratic seat; Health issues Not Voting - but supported the bill Not Voting - but supported the bill
Tennessee R Lamar Alexander
(2003 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Texas R John Cornyn
(2002 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Virginia R John W. Warner
(1979 - 2008)
Will not run Nay Nay
West Virginia D Jay Rockefeller IV
(1985 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Wyoming R Michael B. Enzi
(1997 - )
Considered safe seat Nay Nay
Wyoming R John Barrasso
(2007)
State leans strongly Republican; Special election to fill seat vacated by death of Craig Thomas Vacant Seat Nay
Vote Results of Class II Senators on S.1348 & S.1639 N = 25

Y = 5

N =  24

Y = 9

     May have heavily contested races  11 Republican - 2 Democrat
 

A total of thirteen Class II Senate seats, currently held by Senators that took stances on Immigration Reform Legislation in 2007, are expected to have strong competition in the November General Elections.  Ten opposed the amnesty bill, while three favored the bill.

Of the Class II Republican Senators voting Nay on Immigration Reform Legislation, 9 seats will face strong competition.  The two Republicans that supported the amnesty packages are due to leave office.

Of the Class II Democratic Senators voting Nay on Immigration Reform Legislation, 1 will face strong competition.  Additionally, 1 additional Senator absent due to health problems at the time votes were cast is a supporter of those measures, and may face stiff competition due to those health concerns.

Collectively, the net outcome of these races will determine the future fate of any amnesty bills taken up in the Senate in 2009 and 2010.

Also, do not assume a Democratic candidate for Senate would favor amnesty, nor that a Republican would oppose amnesty.  The 2006 Senate elections brought two of the staunches Democratic opponents of amnesty and illegal immigration to the Senate.  This is not about party affiliation.  This is about the future of the USA.  Look into the specific positions of all candidates.  Assume nothing.

If you are a conservative, and you are considering not voting in the November elections with hopes that by not voting it will somehow fix America or your political party, you may just put America in a real fix.  WAKE UP!


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: aliens; amnesty; congress; conservative; downballot; elections; gop; government; senateraces; thirdparty
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To: backtothestreets

I know Ted Stevens. He has done a fine job, but he ought to retire. The time comes.


21 posted on 02/07/2008 10:13:20 AM PST by RightWhale (oil--the world currency)
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To: backtothestreets
Big time bump!

Even if we're screwed on the Presidency, it is all the more reason to turn out and secure conservatives in congressional posts!

22 posted on 02/07/2008 3:50:13 PM PST by batter ("Always take the offensive...Never Dig in." - Gen Patton)
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To: backtothestreets

Chuck—I missed this yesterday. I am so glad that you posted this thread. This is very helpful information.


23 posted on 02/07/2008 6:55:44 PM PST by exit82 (People get the government they deserve. And they are about to get it--in spades.)
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To: backtothestreets
The only way I can see to avoid a bloodbath in Congress is for a strong conservative third-party candidate to emerge (well, the departure of John McCain would be another, but that doesn't seem likely...)

Even if such a candidate had little chance of winning, he could help the Republicans by drawing conservative voters who would otherwise stay home. And if the ticket won at least some Electoral Votes (a possibility I would think, with the right candidates) that could send a pretty strong message. What I'd most like would be for McCain to come in third, though that doesn't seem terribly likely. But if he gets sufficiently stomped, it could happen in the EC.

24 posted on 02/07/2008 7:13:18 PM PST by supercat (Sony delenda est.)
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To: backtothestreets

BTTT


25 posted on 02/08/2008 6:28:39 AM PST by jokar (The Church age is the only time we will be able to Glorify God, http://www.gbible.org)
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