Not really. The electoral vote shows a tilt in their favor. Sounds like it drives a stake into McCain, if anything.
The internals were interesting. Of those conservatives who said they would never vote for McCain 63% knew in their hearts they would, come November.
"On Sunday, the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows the Democrats with a 284 to 229 lead in the Electoral College. States with 25 Electoral Votes remain in the toss-up category (see recent daily results).
If “leaners” are not included, the Democrats lead 238 Electoral Votes to 189. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House.
Today, North Carolina shifts from Safe Republican to Likely Republican based upon data from Rasmussen Markets. Additionally, Wisconsin shifts from Likely Democrat to Leans Democrat based upon data from Rasmussen Markets and a new poll released today. New polling was also released for New Mexico, and the state remains in the Leans Democrat category.
Ten states with 111 Electoral Votes are either a pure Toss-Up or just slightly leaning to one party or the other. These are likely to be the early battleground states of Election 2008: Florida (27), Ohio (20), Virginia (13), Missouri (11), Colorado (9), Iowa (7), Nevada (5), New Mexico(5), New Hampshire (4), and Wisconsin."
“The electoral vote shows a tilt in their favor.”
At his high water mark, the Messiah is 16 points behind in Florida and a point behind in Ohio. That is a tilt all right, but it is something like the tilt of the Titanic before it went stern up. I saw another poll, not a Rasmussen, that had him trailing by 1 in Pennsylvania.
When his record is exposed, as it will be, including his opposition to the Born Alive Infants Protection act (BAIPA) in Illinois (which passed 98-0 in the U.S. Senate), making felons out of the victims of gun theft, and assorted other wacky to downright evil positions, he is going to lose not only every state in the south and mountain west, but Ohio (where he will be thrashed in southern Ohio over his radical social liberalism), Pennsylvania and probably Michigan as well. He may have trouble winning California, where the Hispanic voters are not enamored of him.
This is shaping up as a landslide. The MSM wants it to be a horserace, but if you ask Democratic pros, they know that the Obama candidacy is the political equivalent of Pickett’s Charge.
Yes..it was the electoral college that saved the day for Bush in his first term.
Yes, but not all of those polls are updated as readily as the national poll. If a candidate wins by a full percentage point or more nationally the usually will most likely win a majority of the Electoral votes.
What has happened in the past decade is that many states once competitive are now so solidly Democrat that the GOP is shut out of putting together 270 electoral votes. GWB had sixteen to spare and was dependent totally on OH, which leans Democrat. Any talk of PA or WI being competitive is that, “talk”, not reality.
“Sounds like it drives a stake into McCain, if anything.”
Always a silver lining.