Posted on 03/01/2008 5:45:17 AM PST by Clintonfatigued
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of New Mexico voters found Democrat Tom Udall ahead of both his Republican opponents in the race for the United States Senate. Udall leads Steve Pearce 50% to 42% and Heather Wilson 50% to 43%.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Actually, this is good news, because Udall’s lead has shrunk and because Udall is better-known (he was state AG for years). This proves that Republicans have a shot at holding this seat.
Better known than Heather Wilson who has been in the House since 1998?
Yes, because Udall has won statewide elections.
If the Democrats name Governor Richardson for VP, this will be a difficult seat for us to keep. OTHERWISE, with John McCain as our candidate, we’re in good position to keep this seat. Republicans who are seven or eight points behind at this juncture aren’t in bad shape.
>> same comment regarding Minnesota, Virginia, and New Hampshire. I am thinking we can break even or maybe even net 1 this year (Louisiana). And, if Mike Huckabee can be persuaded to run for the Senate, our prospects for the Senate would move from slightly negative to neutral.
How about if McCain picks John Kerry or Al Gore for VP?
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Yep, Udall is the typical NM Rent-a-Dem who cycles around waiting for it to be “his turn” when a seat or job opens up.
Jim Baca is the same way, and Fat Bill is the uber-example.
Sorry, I don’t see us holding this seat, nor Sununu’s, nor Coleman’s, nor the VA seat. We might pick up LA, but if we emerge from this election with anything better than a 58 or 59 Dem senate, we will be incredibly lucky. Given that Snow/Collins/Voinovich will vote with the Dems on everything, there’s your dominant majority.
I will vomit twice if both Udalls win.
Leni
Don't they realize Udall is a Mormon?
Doesn't that fact alone disqualify him from public office?
Where are the bigot, screamers and ranters to shout him down?
Oh, I forgot. He's a screaming liberal. So all is well-- no religious test for him!
Just wait until this little liberal climber gets firmly entrenched in the Senate. Udall lies and plays the partisan game with the best of them.
If we don’t hold the NM seat, nor NH, not MN, nor VA, and pick up only LA, it would be a 54-46 RAT Senate (counting Lieberman and Sanders as Dems). For the RATs to get to 58 they’d also need to pick up CO, OR, ME and AK, which is highly unlikely to say the least. Personally, I don’t think the RATs will be able to pick up more than 2 net seats for a 53-47 RAT Senate.
If we’re down only 50-42 or 50-43 in NM right now, that is good news. Whichever way the RAT presidential nomination goes, it will serve to depress turnout among some Democrat groups (such as among Hispanics if Obama wins narrowly, or among Taos and Santa Fe hippies if Hillary wins narrowly), and Udall’s sheen will start to fade as November gets closer.
How does this math hold up when they are considering just one GOP candidate. I bet differently.
Regardless, I kind of have NM as a state that is slowly turning blue. Lots of folks that are tired of California carpetbagging their bad politics along with them I susspect.
I would think that immigration would be a top tier issue in NM. Who knows? Look at the Republican Senator from Arizona?
So right there, you have three more "leans Dem" seats (56) and that depends on Landrieu not losing, or it's 57 with Collins and Snow and Voinovich among the "Rebpublicans." That's 60. No, it's not all that tough for the Dems---and we haven't even hit the recession talk yet, nor the utter absence of McCain "coattails" as a candidate, or the "Obama factor."
Better brace yourself.
One hopes that McCain is strong in New Mexico this year.
“Sorry, I don’t see us holding this seat, nor Sununu’s, nor Coleman’s, nor the VA seat. “
Sununu will win and so will Coleman imho.
We have a good shot in LA and a good chance in SD.
John McCain has good veteran support in NM because he helped then get that Angelfire disabled Veteran Memorial (even though it is really an antiwar memorial).
Let’s compare notes in November. Hope you’re right, because if you are wrong, we are going to be hanging on by our fingertips for the next four years.
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