Posted on 04/27/2008 12:25:42 PM PDT by The_Republican
At various times during the past few months, as many as 25 percent of Democrats have said they’ll vote for John McCain if Barack Obama/Hillary Rodham Clinton is not the party nominee.
Some conservative Republicans have said stormily they’ll vote for the Democrat over McCain because they think he’s too liberal.
After the sturm und drang of the Democratic primary season (and it will end), what can we expect for the fall election?
We will see both parties running full-tilt to win the White House. The issues are simply too critical for mainstream Democrats and mainstream Republicans to 1) throw away their vote or 2) sit out the election.
If the nominee is Obama - as mathematics still would indicate, despite Clinton’s victories in Ohio and Pennsylvania - thousands of newly registered Democrats will vote, and vote enthusiastically. Even the Clinton machine will go into hyperdrive to try to help make sure he beats McCain.
If Clinton somehow rallies to secure the nomination, some Obama-or-bust backers may stay home, but rank-and-file Democrats will be out in force.
As for McCain, once he no longer is running around America’s forgotten places, he will be fighting tooth and nail to win. And the party’s formidable infrastructure will solidly back him.
As the general election gets under way, Democrats will realize that McCain, while a maverick by some GOP standards, is no liberal. By November they’ll have gotten past some of the disappointment that their choice for the nomination didn’t prevail.
Unlike the policy differences between Obama and Clinton, which are small, the differences between McCain and a Democrat - any Democrat - are huge. McCain wants to keep the war in Iraq going. He has not announced new solutions to the economic squeeze engulfing most Americans. He wants to extend President Bush’s tax policies favoring the well-to-do (on the old grounds that rising tides raise all boats). He does not favor tightening lax regulations. In many areas, he does believe in business as usual.
But he will be arguing that gambling on Democrats to fight the war on terror is too risky and that Democrats will increase taxes. He’ll be presenting himself as the candidate with the most experience. He’ll be disavowing disgraceful political ads by third parties against the Democrat but, as we’ve seen already, won’t be able to stop them.
Democrats will try to convince skeptics that they are tough enough to conduct the fight against al-Qaeda. They’ll be trying to convince voters that it’s not possible to raise defense spending, pay for new domestic programs and cut taxes all at the same time. They’ll insist that global warming is a reality that will require real sacrifices and changes in our lifestyles.
They’ll argue that America’s image in the world is so blemished by Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo and pre-emptive Iraq war and acceptance of torture as valid that only a Democrat would be seen as credible enough to try to undo the damage. The suggestion will be that McCain has a bad temper that erupts at inopportune moments and that he is too old to be president for four years.
Yes, it will be a hard-fought, nasty campaign that could well result in another squeaker election.
And while some active Democrats are so frustrated right now they’ll insist they may not vote at all or may even vote Republican, after an impassioned general-election campaign they’ll vote, and vote for the Democrat.
And conservatives will beat the drums for McCain, even if they still wish he had not become their front-runner.
As a result, turnout is likely to be the highest it has been in some time.
The year will come when a third party rises in America and Democrats and Republicans seem tired and played out, no longer the powers to beat. But this is not that year.
Ann McFeatters, Fortune Teller.
this is what i've been saying all along... Obama supporters will vote for Hillary if she is the nominee... and the MSM will fall in line and promote her, too... she is definitely the more dangerous of the two... she just does not have the media fully on her side at this time... but she will...
Barf alert!
No they won’t. You totally misunderstand the black nationalist attitude of many blacks in this country. A survey found that 2/3 of the blacks agreed with Jerry Wright’s statements about America. And since the only way for Hitlery to get the nod is to do something that most of them will perceive as stealing the nomination, the dims are headed for a full scale melt down. Hill’s voters will mostly vote for Obambi, but not all. Since McLame often sounds like a dim, those Reagan Dims will go for him. You only need 5 percent of the blacks to stay home in key states and you have a dim meltdown. The other thing you have ignored is the Jewish Dim vote. Obambi needs this vote to assure wins in FL, NJ, MA, NY, CT, PA and IL. This vote is most likely to mispolled because of the Bradley effect. No matter how you cut it, if McLame is alive election, he wins.
Keep telling yourself that; in reality, turnout will reach record lows this year.
Ratmedia wishful thinking. The 20% factor will combine with the bradley factor and the GOP nominee will crush the rat’s nominee. PERIOD.
If the nominee is Obama - as mathematics still would indicate, despite Clinton’s victories in Ohio and Pennsylvania - thousands of newly registered Democrats will vote, and vote enthusiastically. Even the Clinton machine will go into hyperdrive to try to help make sure he beats McCain.
The Clintons did virtually nothing for Kerry in ‘04. They were happy he lost so that it would clear the way for Hillary in ‘08. The word is that Hillary wants Obama to lose to McCain this year so that she can run again in ‘12. I expect Billary to sit out the general election and let Obama crash and burn.
In the Clintonian mind, Hillary will be the front runner for 2012 if Obama loses the general election. Not sure what they are smoking; this campaign has proven that lotsa Democrats do not love the Clintons. It seems a stretch to me that she’s the front runner for 2012 after this rough primary season.
yes-—they will... Hillary’s supporters may go to McCain, but Obama’s will go to Hillary... i’m not even considering the Jewish vote... i am saying that when push comes to shove, Obama’s Black-American support will go to Hillary should she be the nominee... i am not even thinking that McCain is going to lose... but Black-Americans are not voting for him...
Hahahaha! The democrats are whistling past the graveyard!
Okay put your money where you mouth is. You willing to bet 5k on this? Hillary’s hardcore lesbian feminist group is going to stay home. They have inflicted so much damage upon each other that they are unelectable. It is virtually impossible for a dim to win FL without the Jewish vote. Same for NJ and a good chunk of NY. They absolutely will not vote for Obama.
well, i said that Hillary’s voters MAY go to McCain, but Obama’s supporters will go to Hillary... they are not going to vote for whitey, cracker, McCain... if this were the 70’s, they’d call him a honkey...
I agree with you there, they aren’t going to vote period. So if Hillary steals the nod, she will lose virtually all of the black vote. Obambi got 97 percent in PA. If Obambi wins the nod he is not getting those religious gun toting bitter people or the Jewish vote. Hence neither one is electable.
I dropped the GOP and registered independent, although I’ll probably go fishing.
A vote for any of these Bozos is a vote for the death of the Republic.
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