Posted on 06/26/2008 12:37:10 AM PDT by Red Steel
A new SurveyUSA poll shows John McCain taking a decent lead in one battleground state: Missouri.
The numbers: McCain 50%, Obama 43%, with a ±4.3% margin of error. Three weeks ago, Obama had a statistically insignificant lead of 45%-43%. The race here has a very stark gender gap: Men go for McCain 60%-36%, and women for Obama 50%-41%.
This state has 11 electoral votes, and has voted for the winner in every presidential election over the last 100 years except for 1956.
I know it’s too soon to predict but
any news showing Obama behind brightens
my day.
Good but I am more appreciative at seeing Obama neck and neck in a Blue State like Minnesota. Missouri and the rest are plainly obvious, Minnesota and the other Blue States are interesting. I am particulary interested in the State that neighbors Arizona, California.
No poll can be taken as a prediction. All it is, is a snapshot in time. Time moves on. And some people change as actual voting ensues. Some change on the way to, or inside, the voting booth.
I would like to believe this poll has some meaning in the current situation, not as predictor for the Fall. Because the latest poll news is not looking good...except when you factor in that McCain is a poor candidate who is running a poor campaign, I suppose they’re not that bad.
Missouri is a very important bellweather. Not just a battleground state, but an actual bellweather of how the nation goes.
Don’t know what to make of this specific poll, though.
Apparently, the reintroduction of Barry Obama to the masses hasn’t worked out as planned. The more they get to know him, the less likely it is that they’ll vote for him, which is fully understandable. After all, the United States has only voted for 1 outwardly liberal (Jimmah Carter) Presidential candidate in the last 40 years. And look how well that went... LOL
Could be wrong, but I thought Carter presented himself as a Centrist Populist outsider who would come to Washington and make everything better because he WAS from the outside.
Once in office, he governed as more of a Lib than people realized he was when they voted for him.
He truly traded off of Watergate’s aftermath and a weakened respect for the Presidency and an inflationary surge that ran amok when Ford governed.
He ran on moralism as well, seeing that much was made of his born again Christianity claim, which was novel.
No doubt millions of Americans voted for him because they thought a nice Sunday school teacher Baptist Southern Governor would be a nice change in the WH.
Not to mention, he was an Annapolis graduate who served on a nuclear vessel. Just so much smarter than the football player from Michigan and he cared so much about people (according to Rosalyn).
Yeah, riiiiight.
Correct. Carter even got in trouble when he told blue collar whites in the north that he would work to preserve the “ethnic integrity” of their neighborhoods (read: no blacks).
But '76 may be the best comparable campaign to this one, with a liberal Democrat and a liberal Republican duke it out.
Gerald Ford was king of the Presidential veto pen.
Check it out.
He was lib on some things, but not on everything.
The worst thing he did was nominate John Paul Stevens for the SCOTUS.
Did he KNOW how his pick would turn out?
I don’t think so, even in his imagined worst nightmares. That’s how bad Stevens has been.
The reaction by the Commiecrats to declining polls should be interesting....the reliance on polls may cause a lot of mischief in the hood.
The turn is happening right now.
Obama’s post primary bump is gone. He’ll get a post convention bump, no doubt.
The fact that every time you turn around, people are getting called racists merely because they question Obama’s policy decisions is starting to wear thin with the average American.
Obama has already started running TV ads this week in Central Florida. There are mostly of the turd polishing variety about how he stands for everything that makes America great.
If a person sees this as their first introduction to Obama, and since he did not run in Florida before it probably will be for many, they would think he was the Eagle Scout-kid-next-door.
Thankfully, hopefully, this will change as in past elections when we were looking at similar poll numbers this time of year and considering what a second Carter term or Presidents Mondale, Dukakis, Gore and Kerry would be like.
So was President Bush in the last 2 elections in MN against Gore and Kerry. He lost MN by around 5% each time. So it is not an indication of how it will turn out. In fact, WI was even closer.
I think this is revisionism. Ford has praised JPS, and there is no evidence in the 30 years after JPS went to SCOTUS that Ford ever expressed regret about it. Ford was proud to have nominated JPS. Here is one reprehensible quote from the late RINO:
I am prepared to allow history's judgment of my term in office to rest (if necessary, exclusively) on my nomination thirty years ago of Justice John Paul Stevens to the U.S. Supreme Court. I endorse his constitutional views on the secular character of the Establishment Clause and the Free Exercise Clause, on securing procedural safeguards in criminal case[s] and on the constitution's broad grant of regulatory authority to Congress.
Source: http://michaeldorf.org/2007/03/gerald-ford-on-john-paul-stevens.html
So I would kindly suggest that you desist from such whitewashing. Thank you.
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