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Researcher Predicts 80-year "Little Ice Age" to begin soon.
Milenio ^ | August 19, 200 | Víctor Manuel Velasco Herrera

Posted on 08/19/2008 10:10:46 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk

An expert from the National Autonomous University of Mexico predicted that the Earth will enter a "Little Ice Age" which will last from 60 to 80 years and may be caused by the decrease in solar activity.

Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at the Institute of Geophysics at UNAM, showcased his theories during an international conference he led at the Centre for Applied Sciences and Technological Development. Velasco, a specialist in remote sensing systems, said that the recent rupture of the Perito Moreno glacier on the border of Chile and Argentina, unusual for having produced a full austral winter, was not due to global warming. He theorizes that the event was caused during a drought by falling water levels in the river, coupled with colder temperatures.

Dr. Velasco described as "erroneous" predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), of a gradual increase in temperature, the so-called global warming. The models and forecasts of the IPCC "are incorrect because they are based solely on mathematical models and do not include, for example, solar activity," said Velasco, who is also a specialist in predictive image processing. "The phenomenon of climate change," he added, "should include both internal and external factors. Internal would include volcanic activity,while external causes include solar activity."

"Curiously, the Sun never has been seen as a cooling agent, but as a cause of warming. It clearly has roles in both cooling and warming," he said.

At present, Velasco holds that the world is going through a transition phase of considerably diminished solar activity, "so that in two years or so, there will be the beginnings of a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years,and the immediate consequence of this" he added, "will be drought."

Analyses by the IPCC concluded that the "Little Ice Age",a cold period that lasted since the beginning of the fourteenth century until the mid-nineteenth century. was a regional phenomena or accentuation of local effects. But Velasco disagrees. He says that, "Current evidence does not support globally synchronous periods of abnormal heat or cold in this timeframe," and that it must have been caused by other factors.

Highlights and Dates
According to Velasco, effects will be clearly observable within in approximately two years. However, in early July, Velasco Herrera said that satellite data indicate it is possible that this period of global cooling may have even already begun as early as 2005.
He has predicted that cooling would fully arrive within 30 or 40 years.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Mexico
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; climatechange; globalcooling; globalwarming; littleiceage; predictions; sunspots
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Another scientist heard from, but not around here!
1 posted on 08/19/2008 10:10:47 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk
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To: Kenny Bunk

We’ve heard this again and again. Where is it? Keep your cooling, I want it to stay warm.


2 posted on 08/19/2008 10:12:03 AM PDT by wastedyears (Show me your precious darlings, and I will crush them all)
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To: xcamel; qam1; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; Ole Okie

Ping


3 posted on 08/19/2008 10:12:21 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk (GOP Plank: Pump MORE US Crude--2Xrefining capacity -- Coal /METHANOL fuel-- Build Nukes)
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To: Kenny Bunk

Time to get those coal- and oil-fired power plants online. Get those Hummers and Excursions out of the garage. Dump your candy-ass CFL and put in some incandescent lights. We gotta beat this thing into the ground!


4 posted on 08/19/2008 10:14:59 AM PDT by SlowBoat407 (ANWR would look great in pumps.)
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To: Kenny Bunk

Does the global warming gang know about this? I don’t know what to be afraid of now - boiling to death or freezing? It’s so confusing.


5 posted on 08/19/2008 10:16:18 AM PDT by JudyinCanada
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To: Kenny Bunk

Predict away, but nobody predicted our current lack of sunspots, and nobody knows when that might end.


6 posted on 08/19/2008 10:17:47 AM PDT by DBrow
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To: Kenny Bunk

One of those quack deniers. Imagine the idea that the sun plays a role in our climate. The sun, for crying out loud! What could the sun possibly have to do with our climate???


7 posted on 08/19/2008 10:17:51 AM PDT by Always Right (Obama: more arrogant than Bill Clinton, more naive than Jimmy Carter, and more liberal than LBJ.)
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To: Kenny Bunk

There goes his Nobel Prize.


8 posted on 08/19/2008 10:20:42 AM PDT by Spok (Whatever you say about McCain, it must be admitted that he's no B. Hussein Obama.)
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To: DBrow
We're just a few weeks away from being more than one standard deviation beyond the normal length of a solar minimum.

I'm afraid that NASA and the NOAA aren't going to be able to successfully B.S. the public about this for too much longer.

9 posted on 08/19/2008 10:21:42 AM PDT by jpl ("First come smiles, then lies. Last is gunfire." - Roland of Gilead)
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To: Kenny Bunk
The earth is cooling!!!

The earth is warming!!!!!

The earth is cooling!!!!!!!!


10 posted on 08/19/2008 10:22:01 AM PDT by fleagle ( An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping it will eat him last. -Winston Churchill)
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To: Kenny Bunk

Another global warming denier...


11 posted on 08/19/2008 10:22:06 AM PDT by Tzimisce (How Would Mohammed Vote? Obama for President!)
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To: wastedyears

Cooling is far more dangerous than warming. Think crop failures, famine, disease.


12 posted on 08/19/2008 10:22:31 AM PDT by MediaMole
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To: fleagle
The earth is cooling!!!

The earth is warming!!!!!

The earth is cooling!!!!!!!!



13 posted on 08/19/2008 10:25:46 AM PDT by Sopater (A wise man's heart inclines him to the right, but a fool's heart to the left. ~ Ecc 10:2 (NASB))
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To: jpl
I'm afraid that NASA and the NOAA aren't going to be able to successfully B.S. the public about this for too much longer.

Thats true. After July, we have had the coolest summer in years. I live in the southeast where it is usually very hot. Its been sweater weather since the end of July.

14 posted on 08/19/2008 10:25:51 AM PDT by beckysueb (Drill here! Drill now!)
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To: Kenny Bunk

Good, it will help with the hot flashes!


15 posted on 08/19/2008 10:28:31 AM PDT by brytlea (Obama--Jimmy Carter's Second Term)
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To: Kenny Bunk
"Curiously, the Sun never has been seen as a cooling agent, but as a cause of warming. It clearly has roles in both cooling and warming," he said.

I want to read about how he thinks the Sun is going to be a COOLing agent! What, a giant heat sink?

I hope this is a translation problem and that just means that it will not warm as much as usual.

Otherwise, it means he's still falling into the IPCC wordgame.

16 posted on 08/19/2008 10:29:20 AM PDT by Gondring (I'll give up my right to die when hell freezes over my dead body!)
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To: Kenny Bunk

So...did they start to actually look at the real temperatures and found out they were below the GW expectations? So...is that what constitutes the onset of an ice-age?


17 posted on 08/19/2008 10:30:35 AM PDT by truthluva ("Character is doing the right thing even when no one is looking" - JC Watts)
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To: Kenny Bunk

But, but what about all the damage caused by SUV’s? And it’s supposed to global warming! Oh my, what am I going to do with all this “green stock” when the whole world will be white? and isn’t that racist? Does that mean that the “white party” is going to win, in the end?

Eat your heart out,algore and Whaa Dean and Obamama and the rest of the RATnazis.


18 posted on 08/19/2008 10:30:35 AM PDT by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners.)
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To: jpl

I know! I check the numbers almost daily and chant No Maunder No Maunder No Maunder...

Cooling is far worse than warming.


19 posted on 08/19/2008 10:32:32 AM PDT by DBrow
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To: Spok
There goes his Nobel Prize.

Even worse, there goes his gubmint grants.

20 posted on 08/19/2008 10:32:34 AM PDT by Ole Okie (Who are you going to believe anyway, Gore or your lyin' eyes?)
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