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Rasmussen and Gallup Exactly Tied at Start of Convention (H Loses 3 Point Lead)
Rasmussen ^ | 8/26/08 | RasmussenReports

Posted on 08/26/2008 6:43:30 AM PDT by NYC Republican

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I've never seen anything like it... Exactly tied in both daily polls... Check out the comments about Biden... Interesting.
1 posted on 08/26/2008 6:43:30 AM PDT by NYC Republican
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To: NYC Republican
I predict a dead cat bounce when the week is over. Its dawning on people that for all the beautiful scenery, the Democratic Party is as dead as a whitewashed tomb.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

2 posted on 08/26/2008 6:45:35 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: NYC Republican

This is great news for McCain. Biden is worth 0.5% to the ticket.

McCain’s people are running a masterful campaign since the new Team took the reins.

Obama is getting pulverized. And the Rats can do nothing but watch the cold waters approach as the ship is sinking.

(The Clintons are working furiously below sea level to make more holes in the boat.) It’s already public that Shrillary’s people are LEAVING the convention before it ends and before the Obamanation speaks.

That says everything you wannna know. The media won’t be able to keep that out of the public sphere no matter how much they desperately pump up their socialist hero.


3 posted on 08/26/2008 6:47:51 AM PDT by romanesq
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To: goldstategop

Yet the useful idiots keep voting for them.


4 posted on 08/26/2008 6:47:55 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (G-d is not a Republican. But Satan is definitely a Democrat.)
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To: goldstategop

They still give Obama a 61% chance of winning? Based on what?


5 posted on 08/26/2008 6:48:29 AM PDT by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
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To: Russ
If we had to follow the polls, Rudy should be the GOP nominee and Hillary should be anointed this week in Denver. I wouldn't pay a lot of attention to them.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

6 posted on 08/26/2008 6:50:59 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
“I predict a dead cat bounce when the week is over.”

I hope you are right. If we get through this election cycle with a win I really hope we start playing offense for once. From energy to education to health care we need to define solutions that are rooted in the freedom of ideas and commerce. The democrats have been allowed to set the tone on many of these issues, and responses to them have been defensive. Let's come up with free-market solutions and push them.

7 posted on 08/26/2008 6:53:01 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: pieceofthepuzzle
The Clinton and Obama delegates fueding certainly isn't helping his "bounce"

Clinton and Obama delegates fueding
8 posted on 08/26/2008 6:59:12 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: NYC Republican

The more people see of McCain, the more they like. The more people see of Barry, the less they like. Obama is goin’ down.


9 posted on 08/26/2008 7:03:24 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: NYC Republican
All these numbers tell me that what is always said, that America is divided right down the middle, right now. But, as more illegals begin to vote, that is going to change. It also shows me that 1/2 of this country wants this country to become another socialist, soviet state. They are totally unhappy with total freedom and want the federal government to make and do all decisions and things for them because they are simply too freaking stupid to make a decision for themselves. Sad that this country is going left. Is Columbus out there to sail off and find us another new world?
10 posted on 08/26/2008 7:08:53 AM PDT by RetiredArmy (I am glad I am Retired Army so that I will not have to serve in the new Fag military with Obama.)
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To: Russ

He might get points for polling well over the past several months. I found it odd that more people look favorably on McCain than Obama, and yet they’re tied, even when leaners are factored in. There are some problems with these polls.


11 posted on 08/26/2008 7:10:34 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy
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To: pieceofthepuzzle

We can hope the Dems do as well as they did in ‘04 when Kerry actually lost ground after his convention. I suspect Obama will get a small boost though, at least. How can he not, when they try to paint him as another Jesus for crying out loud.

I guess we can be encouraged by the fact that at the end of his convention, Dukakis was up by 17 and ended up taking only 111 electoral votes. Now Obama’s lead is nowhere near that large so it looks like he has nowhere to go but down but I would not count him out by any stretch. Looks like this will be close so McCain has to perform very well in the debates, and keep up with the hard hitting ads.


12 posted on 08/26/2008 7:11:54 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: Russ
They still give Obama a 61% chance of winning? Based on what?

Please read it carefully. It says:

Rasmussen Markets currently gives Obama a 61.0% chance of winning the White House.

In the original article, "61.0%" links here:

http://rasmussen.intrade.com/aav2/trading/contractInfo.jsp?conDetailID=68256

This is a contract on InTrade. It's not a poll, it's people literally betting real money on the outcome of the election.

More information about InTrade in this post: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2067933/posts

13 posted on 08/26/2008 7:12:03 AM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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To: romanesq
Obama is getting pulverized. And the Rats can do nothing but watch the cold waters approach as the ship is sinking.

We are watching what happens, when those, who preach affirmative action are in charge.

14 posted on 08/26/2008 7:12:48 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Snowbami, the Oreo Bozo, wants special-ed treatment as an untouchable affirmative action candidate)
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To: NYC Republican
From the 'Balance of power indicator' link in the text:

The biggest changes came in Ohio, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Colorado and Oregon.

Ohio—with 20 Electoral College votes--moved from Toss-up to Leans Republican following the second straight Rasmussen Reports telephone survey that showed McCain with a modest lead over Obama.

North Carolina—with 15 Electoral College votes—moved from Leans Republican to Likely Republican. This change was based on the latest Rasmussen Reports polling and changes in the RasmussenMarkets.com data.

Wisconsin—with 10 Electoral College votes—moved from Likely Democratic to Leans Democratic. That move was prompted by the latest Rasmussen Reports polling which shows McCain closing to within four percentage points of Obama.

Colorado—with 9 Electoral College votes--moved from Leans Democratic to Toss-Up, based primarily upon the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in which McCain holds a statistically insignificant two-point lead over Obama.

Oregon—with 7 Electoral College votes—moved from Likely Democratic to Leans Democratic. While the latest Rasmussen Reports polling shows Obama with a 10-point lead, the average of other polls and a national trends adjustment places the state in the leaner category.

South Dakota—with 3 Electoral College votes--shifted from Leans Republican to Likely Republican based upon Rasmussen Markets data and a national trends adjustment.

Other states had more minor changes: Connecticut from Safely Democratic to Likely Democratic, Louisiana from Likely Republican to Safely Republican, Maine from Safely Democratic to Likely Democratic, and Tennessee from Likely Republican to Safely Republican.

Read it closely and notice that EVERY movement is positive!

15 posted on 08/26/2008 7:13:31 AM PDT by Bob Buchholz
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To: rightwingcrazy
There are some problems with these polls.

In this case, it wasn't a poll. See my post #13.

16 posted on 08/26/2008 7:14:17 AM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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To: NYC Republican

I cannot remember in any convention though where the REpublicans have fought back so hard!!! Usually we are the ones that are sitting back...I like they way the tone is going....fight, fight, fight....too much at stake!!!!


17 posted on 08/26/2008 7:15:52 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK (Native American pleading for Truth!)
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To: Bob Buchholz
I think In-trade is not really tracking real time movements. And we won't really know how it plays out until the conventions are history. But this is bad beginning for the Democrats that they're not getting wholly positive reviews. The convention is a four day commercial for Obama.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

18 posted on 08/26/2008 7:16:43 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Bob Buchholz
Way too soon to do a victory lap.

What we are learning, though -- to the chagrin of the MSM - is that John McCain really wants to be president. The MSM thought he'd lie down like Bob Dole.

Frankly, I'm surprised too.

19 posted on 08/26/2008 7:19:32 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: justlurking
Thanks for the real facts here .That In Trading crap is scam and is easily gamed by Obama clowns like Soros and Geffen. Rasmussen has been hanging out with the Obama media crowd too long and his polling website is looking like an inside the DC beltway group thinker.
20 posted on 08/26/2008 7:23:44 AM PDT by ncalburt
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