Skip to comments.Hurricane Ike Live Thread
Posted on 09/07/2008 8:37:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Ike is the fifth tropical cyclone of the 2008 hurricane season to threaten U.S. Gulf Coast states.
Reports from Turks & Caicos Islands describe 80 per cent of homes damaged or destroyed. On Sunday, Hurricane Ike's position just north of Hispanola was hampering relief efforts for devastation incurred by Hurricane Gustav and Tropical Storm Fay. The death toll in Haiti from Gustav reached 200 people.
Florida Governor Charlie Crist held a press conference Sunday morning shortly after a Hurricane Watch was issued for the Florida Keys.
Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours
Discussion Updated every 6 hours
Florida & Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Western Gulf of Mexico
South FL Radar Loop
FL Keys Radar Loop
Cuba Radar Warning: site gets overloaded
FL Long Range Radar Image
Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site--scroll down for Ike
KeyNews.com Key West News
KPLC-tv Lake Charles News
WEAR-tv Pensacola FL
TBO.com Tampa Bay Online
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
Is it yours or ours? Don’t even want to consider ‘both’.
What’s with this westward shift? That’s not what we wanted to see.
At 11AM, Ike was about 130 miles ENE of Guantanimo Bay, Cuba.
Winds 135, 949 mb. Moving W at 13 mph.
I noticed with Fray, Hanna and Gustav just how good the NHC is getting at predicting the path of big hurricanes. I used to joke that the one thing I know for sure is that 3 days out, where ever the NHC says it’s going is safe from the hurricane. lol, Not any more, I am very impressed with thier skill this season.
Definately looks like Houston is now in play.
We’ve got friends with a second home in the Houston area...they were planning on driving back to California tomorrow, but we got an email this morning indicating they’re hanging back a couple of days to study Eisenhower’s trajectory.
Starting to look like a Texas storm.
Note to Texas FReepers: just an observation, not an attempted jinx on you....
Looks like it’s pretty much followed the predicted path so far. The brunt of the hurricane will not hit Miami.
I’m in Houston. You can bet that everyone here will be watching this one very closely.
Long way to go before knowing where Ike will make ultimate landfall. Hang in there.
You are right although they did miss Fay pretty badly. They did say they knew why they were missing it tho.
I'm relieved to see the forecasted track by-passing my home place.
Head's up Texans.
You do a great service here NN. I’m still watching and waiting here in the Lower Keys. My neighbor across the street just left for Orlando. Says he thinks it’s likely we only get CAT 1 or so winds here, but he’s already taken off work as of a few days ago, and he’s going to go visit The Mouse.
Looks better every advisory for us here, but I’ll breathe easier when it moves inland over Cuba.
On the previous thread someone said that the track is the same as the Galveston Hurricane of 1900, the last one to run the length of Cuba.
If Ike continues W movement, Gitmo will not get the full force of the eyewall. Ike has made mince meat of smaller land masses thus far. The big question is what the storm will do as it nears Cuba.
I guess it depends on how strong and how well defined the steering currents are. But I was impressed, particularly with Hanna. Hanna had to be a dificult storm to figure out, but I thought they nailed the Hanna forecast. Dido Gustav, nailed that too. To early to tell that’s up with Ike, but if you are on the La coast or upper Tx coast you are not liking what you are seeing.
Yikes! Here we go again!
Don’t know of another system from the U.S. that would have caused the U.K. flooding. Didn’t see mention of what is headed their way in that article either.
Grand Bahama’s getting clobbered right now, direct hit by the eye wall, ouch.
I thought Texas yesterday and I think the same today. I think the HP ridge will slide towards the low pressure to the west/southwest.
Prayers for the poor people of Cuba. They are in for something ferocious.
I added Cuba, Louisiana, and Texas to the topics list.
I keep wondering how Guantanamo weathers these storms.
No thanks. Not remotely funny, and you hotlinked an unnecessarily large graphic when folks are trying to prepare to protect lives and property in the face of a deadly storm. Take it elsewhere.
Thanks for adding the additional topics.
I have been a fierce supporter of the embargo against Castro, but if indeed Cuba does get the brunt of this storm, we should send aid to Cuba.
The question is, will their government allow it, or will they attach such conditions on the aid, that it will still allow them to keep whining about the embargo, to cover up for their sorry, failed system.
Thanx for the ping
Oop's, Sorry about that. I'll ask to have it removed.
Cuba doesn't exactly have the best credit rating.
They may change their tune after Ike. Anyway, I can drive back across Alligator Alley to Fort Myers tomorrow.
I’ll bet you’re happy to be able to get rid of your advanced engineering of the header!
Governor Jindal presser on now. 30% of fuel depots are down. Priority has been on getting fuel to areas since Gustav. Jindal stressing there is a lot of uncertainty with Ike’s path.
Hurricane season can’t end soon enough.
Wunderground’s computer models.
Look at this:
Only two days ago, NHC had this dead center into the FL Everglades! (the 00Z 9/05 NHC official track)
Sorry - I don't see that they deserve the kudos you give them. They are doing good at predicting the next 1-2 days track, but that is as well as they've done with Ike.
Well, just the day before yesterday, they had Miami taking a direct hit from Ike as a category 4; now Miami is apparently in the clear, while Cuba and then the Gulf coast are looking to be hit. For about 5 days now, every forecast update has moved the track a little to the right. It's almost as if there has been a man out there slowly swinging a rifle across a crowd who is just waiting to see at whom he will take final aim.
“On the previous thread someone said that the track is the same as the Galveston Hurricane of 1900, the last one to run the length of Cuba.”
Scary thought, LCS. How are you doing, btw?
Oh, c’mon, NN - hurricane season gives you a solid reason to pull all-nighters!
As always, thanks for starting/updating threads like these. Watching and praying here ....
Molly in California
I’m glad it’s not headed for N.O. any more, but now there are a ton of wells and refineries in its path.
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