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Hurricane Ike Live Thread
NOAA/NHC ^ | 7 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/07/2008 8:37:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Ike is the fifth tropical cyclone of the 2008 hurricane season to threaten U.S. Gulf Coast states.

Reports from Turks & Caicos Islands describe 80 per cent of homes damaged or destroyed. On Sunday, Hurricane Ike's position just north of Hispanola was hampering relief efforts for devastation incurred by Hurricane Gustav and Tropical Storm Fay. The death toll in Haiti from Gustav reached 200 people.

Florida Governor Charlie Crist held a press conference Sunday morning shortly after a Hurricane Watch was issued for the Florida Keys.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data:

Florida & Eastern Gulf of Mexico

Western Gulf of Mexico

West Caribbean

Forecast Models

South FL Radar Loop
FL Keys Radar Loop
Cuba Radar Warning: site gets overloaded
FL Long Range Radar Image

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site--scroll down for Ike

KeyNews.com Key West News
Miami Herald
NOLA.com
KPLC-tv Lake Charles News
WEAR-tv Pensacola FL
TBO.com Tampa Bay Online
KHOU Houston
WKRG-tv Mobile-Pensacola

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Cuba; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; ike; tropical; weather
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To: dougherty

Hi Dougherty, yup here we go again. You are in La right?


81 posted on 09/07/2008 11:57:16 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: usconservative

Man that sure bad, another Carla (Sept 11, 1961).


82 posted on 09/07/2008 11:59:37 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: usconservative

Man that sure looks bad, another Carla (Sept 11, 1961).


83 posted on 09/07/2008 11:59:52 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: steve86

If this northerly jog they’re talking about in the last few frames is for real tracks will be a-changin’. But most of these jogs are just wobbles.


84 posted on 09/07/2008 12:02:07 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
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To: blam
Ike Blasts Turks And Caicos, Floods Haiti Again
85 posted on 09/07/2008 12:07:15 PM PDT by blam
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To: jpsb

Oh - I agree with you about the models! It is simply very curious to me that one of the premier intensity models has taken a walk on the wild side with Ike. In fact, until GFDL upgrade came along, SHIPS was the only model that did decently for intensity.

And, as far as what the NHC was calling for, I again refer to the history of their predicted track, the gray line, as posted earlier. Earlier this week, Ike was more anticipated as a threat to the East Coast than to the GOM.


86 posted on 09/07/2008 12:08:44 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: blam

Baton Rouge, most of central Louisiana is a mess. We evacuated today after six days with no power, banks closed, had to pay cash for food at Albertsons and ran out of cash, heat, mildewing house, no power. I can’t tel you how bad it was but even post surgery we got out. I don’t think I will go back for treatment,,will stay in Baltimore.

Louisiana is more devastated than is being reported.


87 posted on 09/07/2008 12:10:22 PM PDT by cajungirl
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To: AFPhys
When ever I read the discussion, the NHC often says intensity is much harder to predict than track. I tend to think the NHC often over estimates intensity. I don't pay to much attention to what the NHC says about the storm intensity.

Where are you located? And nice to meet ya.

88 posted on 09/07/2008 12:19:28 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: steve86

Didn’t look like a wobble to me, maybe the ridge to the north is weakening? Maybe Ike will do a Charlie?


89 posted on 09/07/2008 12:23:05 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: steve86

Yes, steve, the (possible) extent of Cuba transit is unprecedented.

And - wow- I just looked at the models - whereas the 12Z run had only CLP5 going north into FL/AL, right now five of them are taking that hard turn north, finally. This is a big change from this morning. It is worth noting that such a track would be much more in line with historical precedent, though Ike’s track would be positioned to the west of most.

They don’t have Cuba escaping this way, though.


90 posted on 09/07/2008 12:24:42 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: jpsb

I’m in Western NY State. I’ve no direct experience with hurricanes - and have no desire to get any!


91 posted on 09/07/2008 12:26:55 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: steve86

The great Galveston Hurricane of 1900 did the same thing (from the previous thread). 1900 Galveston Hurricane was Greatest natural disaster in US history.


92 posted on 09/07/2008 12:27:22 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: dfwgator

Aw geez, I did NOT want to hear that.


93 posted on 09/07/2008 12:30:53 PM PDT by girlscout
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To: jpsb

I didn’t respond to your comment... I wrote quite an essay on that yesterday - about how NHC hypes things - If you want to see it, mash here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2074049/posts?page=479#479

I don’t want to bore these thread with dupes, as much as possible.


94 posted on 09/07/2008 12:31:28 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: jpsb

I don’t know. It’s not on the historical tracks map on post #64?


95 posted on 09/07/2008 12:32:55 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
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To: Amelia
So says you. :))

Note to Ike: Houston area doesn't want you!

96 posted on 09/07/2008 12:33:01 PM PDT by girlscout
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To: AFPhys
Lived on Long Island and New Paulz for a while, I love upstate NY. Nice folks and beautiful county. But for the last 30 years or so I've lived on the Texas coast. Not quit as pretty as upstate NY, but I really like the people here. lol, Texans are a little different from normal folk but they are never boring. lol.
97 posted on 09/07/2008 12:34:35 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: cajungirl

Hard to hear that. Hope things improve!


98 posted on 09/07/2008 12:34:48 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
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To: steve86

Maybe the Galveston hurricane wasn’t a September ‘cane? Would explain why it isn’t shown.


99 posted on 09/07/2008 12:36:08 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
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To: jpsb
if you are on the La coast or upper Tx coast you are not liking what you are seeing.

You can say that again. At least we're still well stocked from the Gustav threat.

100 posted on 09/07/2008 12:37:48 PM PDT by girlscout
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