Posted on 09/08/2008 6:38:44 AM PDT by milwguy
Election 2008 Obama McCain Spread RCP National Average 45.7 46.7 McCain +1.0 Favorable Ratings +20.0 +18.2 Obama +1.8 Intrade Market Odds 50.1 49.5
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Look for Obama to go very negative, very quickly. However, as we saw after the convention, he fell right into the trap laid by McCain. By dissing Palin on her 'experience' he looked weak because she is running for VP and he is running for POTUS. By engaging her rather than McCain, he lost status with the voters, and his advisors were too caught up with the MSM picture of Palin as a weak, unqualified, corrupt hick from Alaska. Palin struck just the right tone in her speech, and by taking on the media, she won small town America over. Obama, on the other hand, has dissed small town, religous, gun toting, bible carrying folks for months. His elitism can only be hidden for so long.
Great news for the country!
WOW!
IMPRESSIVE!
I hope those windows are sealed shut in those San Francisco skyscrapers, or it’s gonna to be raining men!
I wish I would have joined and bought some McCain ‘stocks’ before the acquisition of Palin. Possibly the greatest acquisition move in history.
In San Francisco shouldn’t that be “raining ‘men’?”
Well, let’s wait for soros to skew this a little with his fortune.
Obama will be on O’Reilly the next three nights and will look more like a dork. Wait until the Uh, Uh, Uh Guy gets into the debates with Mc Cain.
McCain now is UP on INTRADE 50.0 to 49.9!
This market has been 60/40 or so in favor of Obama forever. So I’m very pleased to see it move to a more realistic level. OTOH, I think this is a reaction to the Gallup poll and I expect it to slip back in Obama’s favor soon. But of course I hope it doesn’t.
But, here’s NOBAMA campaign’s dilema - since the public didn’t take too kindly to all of the negativity towards Palin - if NOBAMA engages in ‘more’ negativity now - it will keep riding the wave of backlash over his head and sink his campaign down even quicker.
I would say they are in the proverbial ‘Catch-22’ syndrome. Or as they say also.... “Check Mate”!
Give McCain credit for getting completely within the Obama campaign’s OODA loop — they are out-thinking them and out-acting them — and very problably the McCain campaign has a tighter envelope than the Obama campaign, as well. Now he also has his WingAngel Sarah inside the OODA loop as well. Bravo, well done!
Last week I was going to buy some of this stuff! YOU SNOOZE...YOU LOSE!!!!
We should chip in and buy McCain’s new advisor’s a big bottle of CRISTAL! but I know, it’s still too early. I’ve never seen such crafty work in all my years following politics! BRAVO!
In 2004 an anonymous investor drove the Bush contract to zero several times leading into the election. It very well could have been soros or one of his agents. In most cases the bush contract recovered almost all the way up to its prior levels within hours.
One way to take advantage of this (in effect picking the pocket of whoever does that) is to put in a very low BID on Mccain contracts. Like 15 or 25 or something. If it occurs again you pick up mccain contracts for almost nothing. You can even sell again as soon as the unnatural selling stops, you don’t even have to wait and see if mccain wins or not.
Steve Schmidt, you (truly) magnificent bastard.
Anybody who says this election is not going to be a “squeaker”.............
These dopes have finally read a post or two of FR I see.
If the Intrade market odds were 50 for McCain, then he’s gone down in the last few hours. I don’t understand where they got that number. Trading is currently at zerObama 52/McCain 46
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
2008.PRES.OBAMA
Barack Obama to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade 52.1 52.5 52.5 334520 -4.1
2008.PRES.McCAIN
John McCain to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade 46.1 47.5 46.1 465960 +2.6
Wow, you predicted the next few weeks with such pinpoint accuracy. The big MoMO is indeed hard to stop.
A little advice from a gambler. Don’t celebrate early.
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