Gleason: Palin will help GOP win 'four or five' congressional seats in PA

Politicker PA ^ | 9/16/08 | Alex Roarty

[impeachedrapist]

Careful. Todd’s a wilderness stud. He’s gonna whoop up on you!

[impeachedrapist]

Bump

[impeachedrapist]

Bump

[CPT Clay]

Congress doesn’t exactly have a stellar approval rating.

[CPT Clay]

Did you include Lou Barletta in this calculation?

[CPT Clay]

Impeached... Good thread!!!

[impeachedrapist]

Yes, Barletta is PA-11. Glad you liked the thread.

[HamiltonJay]

Altmire’s a party hack, he does what Pelosi tells him when she tells him to do it and votes against her when she gives him the OK to try to get re-elected. He needs to go, and it would be fun to see Hart kick the bum out and relcaim her seat. Don’t know if its going to happen, but I am finally starting to see her name, yard signs and interviews/exposure happening for her. But up until 2 weeks ago everything was Altmire, big TV and Radio campaigns, billboards, everything.. wouldn’t even know Hart was running against him. DNC is definately spending some money to keep Altmire in.

[CPT Clay]

It will be intersting to watch. She is a good candidate. I believe this is an anti incumbant year.

[HamiltonJay]

well saw first TV ad for her tonight.. so we’ll see what happens.

[impeachedrapist]

I agree, this is definitely shaping up to be an anti-incumbent year.

The below race just became a likely GOP pick-up, IMO.

FL-16, Mark Foley's old seat, went 54% for Bush in 2004. Freshman Dem incumbent Tim Mahoney had just over $1 million banked on 6 Aug. His GOP opponent is Tom Rooney, an Army veteran and nephew of Pittsburgh Steeler's owner Dan Rooney. Tom had about $200K on hand on 6 Aug.

For those not aware, a tape surfaced today (apparently from Mahoney's staff members upset with his treatment of his mistress), where he really comes off badly. Firing his mistress, and being a bully about it. After pledging to clean up the Foley scandal. [grin] Pelosi and Mahoney himself have called for an ethics investigation. This won't exactly hurt McCain/Palin's chances in the Sunshine State. :-D

[impeachedrapist]

House bump

[TAdams8591]

Back at cha! : )

[impeachedrapist]

BTTT

[impeachedrapist]

NY-20. District went 53% for Bush in 2004, and at the end of August the incumbent, Kirsten Gillibrand, had a 2:1 cash advantage over Sandy Treadwell

[impeachedrapist]

Good news from PA bump.

[impeachedrapist]

Even though I live in Indiana County I see Altmire ads but no Mellisa Hart....What is she waiting for?

Greg, I was thinking of you the other day, but couldn't remember your screen name. Did you go to Sarah Palin's rally in Melissa Hart's district (PA-04)? The governor stumping there was undoubtedly good news for Melissa, who has likely been helped by that loudmouth Jack Murtha!

[impeachedrapist]

GA-08 is a district Bush carried with 61% in 2004. Jim Marshall won by one point in 2006. With a Presidential election, he's facing a real struggle. Retired Maj General Rick Goddard was recruited by the NRCC to run against Marshall. As of 30 Jun the incumbent Dem had about $1.3M in the bank, with Goddard having $489K.

As of 9/30 Marshall had about a 2:1 cash advantage over GOP challenger Goddard. But this is a strong GOP district, and in a big Dem year with +3 Dem national turnout, Marshall managed only a one-point win. Keep your eye on this one, especially if McCain's margin in Georgia meets or exceeds Bush's statewide margin from '04.

[Perdogg]

I am assuming this would mean +5, correct?

[impeachedrapist]

WI-08 is a rematch from 2006, which freshman Dem incumbent Steve Kagen won by three points over Pubbie John Gard. President Bush took WI-08 with 55% in 2004. As of 20 Aug Gard had $651K on hand, while Kagen had $827K. However, Gard had no debt while Kagen had $469K in debt.

As of 9/30 GOP challenger and former Rep. Gard had $608K with no debt. Dem Rep. Kagen had $669K on hand, but $469K in debt. Definitely one to keep an eye on, especiall with a district that went 55% for the GOP during the last Presidential election.