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New polls showing Obama breaking away in key states
CNN ^ | CNN

Posted on 10/01/2008 10:21:06 AM PDT by rwfromkansas

New polls show Obama breaking away in key states Posted: 12:55 PM ET New state polls show Obama with clear leads. New state polls show Obama with clear leads.

(CNN) – New polls released Wednesday morning suggest the race for the White House could be breaking for Barack Obama in three key battleground states.

Just-released Quinnipiac University surveys show Obama with wide leads in Pennsylvania and Ohio, as well as Florida — the showdown state in the 2000 presidential race where John McCain has had held an advantage for most of the summer.

Quinnipiac's new survey in Pennsylvania shows Obama with a stunning 14 point-lead over McCain, 54-39 percent. Averaging that survey with other recent Pennsylvania polls, the latest CNN poll of polls there shows a 10-point lead for Obama in the state that only voted for John Kerry by a 2-point margin in 2004. Several polls released earlier this month in Pennsylvania suggested Obama's lead there was in the mid single digits.

A new Quinnipiac Ohio poll also released Wednesday morning shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points there.

A new Quinnipiac Florida poll also shows big gains for Obama, with the Illinois senator now holding an 8 point lead, 51 to 43 percent. There is also not enough recent polling in Florida to conduct a poll of polls there, though a survey from ARG earlier this week showed Obama with a statistically insignificant 1-point lead.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: mccain; obama; polls
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Is this something to be concerned about? How accurate are the Q polls?

I normally would not be concerned about one poll with the others still showing a tie, but this shows a big Obama lead in three states including Florida.

Have any other recent polls shown a movement to O?

1 posted on 10/01/2008 10:21:06 AM PDT by rwfromkansas
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To: rwfromkansas

They’re about the least accurate poll there is, IIRC.


2 posted on 10/01/2008 10:22:13 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Barack Obama: In Error and arrogant -- he's errogant!)
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To: rwfromkansas

This poll is by CNN, its worth less than NOTHING:-()


3 posted on 10/01/2008 10:23:19 AM PDT by geo40xyz (BE PREPARED: "We got more thanks from the Dallas Cowboy Cheerleaders" than from SENATOR OBAMA")
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To: rwfromkansas
Quinnipiac is trash. They have a built in Dem bias, and an even bigger Obama bias. Even leftists on other forums were flat out laughing at these numbers.

Typically, university polls are trash anyway. Qunnipiac is just that much worse.

4 posted on 10/01/2008 10:23:22 AM PDT by freedomwarrior998
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To: rwfromkansas

BS polls drive the “news”, with the hope that the tail wags the dog.

My guess is the samples were 60% Dem, 25% GOP and 15% undecided socialists.


5 posted on 10/01/2008 10:23:34 AM PDT by Harry Wurzbach (Rep. Thaddeus McCotter is my hero.)
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To: rwfromkansas

Made it a mandate to myself: Ignore the polls, they will either give false hope, or false discouragement.


6 posted on 10/01/2008 10:23:42 AM PDT by madison10
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To: rwfromkansas

About as accurate as CNN’s online poll: Who do you want to win the election? 87% Obama, 6% McCain, 5% Nader


7 posted on 10/01/2008 10:24:05 AM PDT by DRey
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

They think 0bama is going to win Florida? ROTFL.


8 posted on 10/01/2008 10:24:15 AM PDT by library user
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To: rwfromkansas

Obama would need to be leading by 10-12 points nationally for these polls to be taken seriously. He’s not.


9 posted on 10/01/2008 10:25:29 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (Bill Clinton, as Arkanas Attorney General did you make Juanita Broaddrick pay for her own rape kit??)
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To: rwfromkansas

Q polls are progaganda-
Used today to get the Republican base worried and scared and not want to fight.

I cant wait till Nov 5 and the shock on some of these MSM types’ faces.

Gallup has McCain down by only four today...an increase of +4 over the last three days.


10 posted on 10/01/2008 10:25:39 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: freedomwarrior998
The national race is most likely Obama +3 right now.

The State by State race is a bit more complex. Florida and Ohio are actually looking good for McCain. His problems are Virginia and Colorado, both of which he will absolutely need if he can't take Pennsylvania.

11 posted on 10/01/2008 10:25:45 AM PDT by freedomwarrior998
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Comment #12 Removed by Moderator

To: library user

I can’t help but wonder if all these bad polls are right
and it’s the massive get out the vote machine Obama’s team
claims to have. Maybe all these new voters are showing up in the polling??


13 posted on 10/01/2008 10:26:28 AM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: library user

I can’t help but wonder if all these bad polls are right
and it’s the massive get out the vote machine Obama’s team
claims to have. Maybe all these new voters are showing up in the polling??


14 posted on 10/01/2008 10:26:30 AM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: rwfromkansas

These may or may not be accurate and I’m not going to let polls guide my thinking in any event.

What does guide my thinking is what I see the candidates doing and I see Obama winning the argument, that the financial crisis is the result of Bush, McCain and “deregulation”, despite that being the exact opposite of the truth.

And I see McCain doing.... ABSOLUTELY NOTHING!

You can’t win an election like this with your thumb up your own patoot.


15 posted on 10/01/2008 10:26:38 AM PDT by samtheman
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To: rwfromkansas

Qunnipiac is heavily weighted to the Left, and always has been. Any poll associated with CNN must be taken with a gallon of Liberal Salt.


16 posted on 10/01/2008 10:27:03 AM PDT by antonico
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To: rwfromkansas
Already posted.

These Q polls are a joke.

17 posted on 10/01/2008 10:27:20 AM PDT by JohnnyZ (This gun for hire)
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To: rwfromkansas

These are they wish polls.


18 posted on 10/01/2008 10:27:29 AM PDT by boomop1
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To: rwfromkansas

I really don’t see how Obama wins Ohio. There is outright racism amongst blue collar democrats in the south, strong republicanism in the rural areas and declining population in the urban centers where he should do well.


19 posted on 10/01/2008 10:27:30 AM PDT by wastedpotential (Proud to be in McCain country in the Buckeye State)
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To: rwfromkansas
So what, oboma or macain there is no real difference between them. Vote for whoever, the outcome will be the same, America has been lost to socialisim.
20 posted on 10/01/2008 10:28:07 AM PDT by JoSixChip
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