What I think the Republicans need to do to win this election. It's certainly not over yet.

Real Clear Politics ^

[boycott]

Go to the link and "click" on FL, VA, NC, WV, OH, IN, MO, NV, and CO and then "change each state to a McCain state."

I believe that McCain should win FL, VA, WV, NC, OH, IN, MO, and NV. There's still a chance in CO.

This map shows WV leaning to McCain. WV isn't even close. McCain will dominate WV. If McCain / Palin can win CO, PA, MN, or possibly even WI. I believe they will win the election. They need to hold VA, FL, OH, IN, and NV as I believe they can.

This thing ain't over! The Republicans need to start playing OFFENSE. If they can somehow pick up a little momentum and win the states I expect them to win and then pull off one of those those I mentioned, Obama loses.

How do I think Republicans can pull it off?

(1) Hussein Obama had his doors blown off by Hillary in OH, PA, and WV soon after the rev. Wright tapes came out. Let's make sure that every American understands Black Liberation Theology before they vote for that racist. The average American may be too stupid to understand the Rezko and Ayers stories. They understand rev. Wright.

(2) McCain has been supporting Latino causes for almost his entire 20+ years in politics. Obama, well, he gave a speech. They need to get to Colorado and make sure that every Latinos in that state understand that Obama has never done a damn thing for them.

Yes, I believe McCain / Palin can still win. The question is if they're willing to do what it takes to win.

[Perdogg]

If McCain wins FL, VA, WV, NC, OH, IN, MO, and NV and plus CO, PA, MN - McCain wins the election period.

Let’s look at 2004. If Obama win IA,NM, and CO and all else stays the same from 2004, Obama wins. If all else stays the same from 2004 and McCain wins PA, MN, NH, and ME-CD2, that is +35 from 2004, which McCain will win.

[Drea]

Colorado is the ONLY state I’m worried about. We will take Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and Nevada. Just be sure to vote!! Don’t fret about the bs, propaganda polls.

[boycott]

Agreed! There’s certainly still hope. I just hope McCain will start playing OFFENSE!

[Retired Greyhound]

I agree that Rev. Wright is the best strategy.

Ayers and Rezko are too complicated.

[mysterio]

What I think the Republicans need to do to win this election

Return to their small government roots; never stray from them again. Announce the worst of the big government Republicans will resign.

[Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus]

I’m certainly not going to say that it’s a shoe-in for McCain, but all the same, the recent polling, as several sources both on and off FR have pointed out, is cokked, and therefore useless for prediction. Obama is NOT leading by as much as they say he is, and he PROBABLY is not even leading at all.

[Perdogg]

Obama is the best strategy not Wright. There is enough voter concern about Obama.

[BGHater]

Unsure about Colorado.

Colorado Is Importing Democrats

Colorado is turning purple because of migration.

There have been other, longer explanations for why traditionally Republican Colorado is in play this election. Real Clear Politics has all the numbers. Ryan Lizza in the New Yorker has a good article on the ascendance of Democratic politicians in the state. Christopher Beam does the same fine job of parsing the politics of the state on Slate.

But migration tells a better story.

Colorado hasn't become what Stuart Rothenberg calls the most important state in November because of what politicians have or have not done or because of a new array of issues. Colorado has been trending Democratic because the people who have moved there largely come from Democratic counties in other states.

Colorado has imported Democrats.

Bob Cushing tracked the flow of people in and out of Colorado from 1981 to 2005 using migration data collected by the federal government. Some Colorado counties had a lot of flux in their populations. Others were relatively stable.

 

Cushing divided the state's 63 counties into three even groups based on migration. (OK, Colorado has 64 counties, but Broomfield is relatively new.) The 21 counties with the highest percentage of new population were the most Democratic in the 2004 election. They voted two percentage points more Democratic than the state as a whole. (These were the densely populated counties around Denver and Boulder.)

The middle group was eight percentage points more Republican than the Colorado average. And the last group of counties—those whose populations have been least affected by out-of-towners—voted 15 points more Republican than the state average.

The larger the number of newcomers in a Colorado county, the more Democratic that county voted in 2004.

This change has been taking place slowly, just like migration. But examined over a generation, the politics of the migration have shifted dramatically. The vote for the presidential elections from 1992 to 2004 in these 21 counties was 19 percentage points more Democratic than in the period from 1976 through 1988.

The in-between counties have grown 10 percentage points more Democratic.

The 23 Colorado counties least affected by the outside world have grown one percentage point more Republican.

And, yes, as expected, the people moving into the counties growing most Democratic come from counties that voted blue in presidential elections. The county outside of Colorado that sent the most people to the state over the last generation was deeply Democratic: Los Angeles.

When people move, they sort by political preference. It's happening all over the country. The new people moving into Northern Virginia are turning that area Democratic. Meanwhile, the county clerk in Crook County in rural central Oregon said that eight out of 10 people who registered with a party there since 1995 have been Republican.

Every four years there's a presidential election. But Americans vote with their feet every day.

http://www.slate.com/blogs/blogs/bigsort/archive/2008/09/24/colorado-is-purple-because-people-are-voting-with-their-feet.aspx

[Cringing Negativism Network]

(Anything) McCain does to increase the involvement of Sarah Palin is a winner.

[boycott]

The Demos believe Colorado is going to decide the election. That’s why McCAin and Palin should be there talking about McCain’s record and support for Latino issues.

All Obama has ever done for Latinos is give a speech about nothing.

[Drea]

We don’t need Iowa or New Mexico to win!!! Why do people keep posting that BS.

[Perdogg]

If we win New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and MN, we would not need Colorado (but I want to win 50 states).

[SevenMinusOne]

All McCain has to do is win PA and the race is over (because McCain will hold FL and OH). That means McCain could lose IA, CO, NM (all state GWB won in 2004) and still Win.

Problem is PA hasn't gone GOP in over 20 years and recently went DEM for Senate and Gov (statewide elections).

Another reality is if McCain simply holds VA and FL (which he should) and OH (likely) and then pulls out CO (toss-up) he wins.....even with losing IA and NM and NH....

Reality is we have had a bad 2 weeks now - This race is down to the last 30 days with Obama having a slight edge. Plain and simple.

We need TV ads! (not stupid web ads) showing the direct links of the DEMs to the current financial problems with Freddie and Fannie......We need hard hitting ads on Obama and who he is.... We need Sarah in small towns after small towns of PA, CO, OH and VA NON-STOP for the last 30 days....(and maybe throw her over in MN and NV some too).

[dr_who]

It’s rapidly getting that way, and McCain has chosen the usual Republican “too little, too late” strategy. Obama and the press have turned him into a scapegoat, and he’s played right into their hands.

[AuntB]

“(2) McCain has been supporting Latino causes for almost his entire 20+ years in politics. Obama, well, he gave a speech. They need to get to Colorado and make sure that every Latinos in that state understand that Obama has never done a damn thing for them.”

How ‘bout instead of pandering to groups who hate conservatives, he starts talking to conservatives about conservative values?

I won’t hold my breath.

[boycott]

That’s an interesting article. We’re going to need CO.

[ForbesFan]

Colorado has a lot of hispanics now, which will (IMO) tilt away from Obama. It also has white liberals and conservative farmers/ranchers, so I’d be shocked if Obama picks it up, unless he cheats.

[Proudcongal]

Of course it’s not over. Rasmussen has McCain one point closer today. The turnaround has begun!

[Perdogg]

Do the math, please look at 2004. In 2004 Bush won 286-252 or 34 EV.

Go here link

And switch CO, NM, and IA. Leave all else the same. That's all I am saying.