(November 1, 2004): Kerry holds edge in Florida (leads Bush 50% to 47%)

USA Today/Gallup Poll

[Chet 99]

(November 1, 2004): Kerry holds edge in Florida (leads Bush 50% to 47%)

[Chet 99]

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-11-01-florida.htm

[DiogenesLaertius]

Enough of this stuff of individual polls. The difference between polls in 2004 was that Bush actually led in like half the polls so it really was a tied race.

McCain is almost behind in every single poll. Clearly there is trouble and we need to man up and fight.

[jveritas]

The real results were 52% President Bush 47% Kerry in Florida, at 10 point shift from the final poll by Gallup.

[Porterville]

You know, Kerry bit my sister once.

[Red Steel]

I remember this one LoL! Bush won Florida by over 380,000 votes LoL!

[wireman]

It's a noob fest!!

Don't get your panties in a knot just yet.

[jveritas]

The polls in 2004 were not weighed 6 to 12 points in favor of the democrats.

[jveritas]

Chet99 is doing a great job in putting things in perspective.

[bobjam]

W won Florida by 5 points. That’s an 8 point discrepency between the last USA today poll and the actual outcome.

[Chet 99]

We’re being bombarded now with discouraging polls which will all magically “tighten” when the pollster has to put his reputation on the line. Even then, many of them will still be wildly wrong.

[SMCC1]

Hasn’t there been a big increase in the number of registered democrats?? And, unfortunately, there will probably be a larger “youth” turnout. The College yuppies think Obama is a savior. I can’t tell you how many kids I see wearing their damn Obama paraphernalia.

[rom]

I agree that we may be behind. But at the same time, people have hard proof that the pollsters usually underestimate Republican turnout.

It may be pretty severe this election, as people I know that publicly said they were against Kerry are afraid of saying they are against Obama this time.

I am personally saving the daily emails from Rassmussen this time around. I want to see what the trend is, and see the final vs. actual.

It’ll be a good benchmark in 4 years, right or wrong!

[HerrBlucher]

Yup, Chet is keeping his cool, keeping things in perspective, and keeping it real, unlike the pantywaists, negative nabobs, trolls, and self pitying defeatists that have been rampant here on FR for the past few weeks.

I would hate to have any of them on my team.

[PRES BUSH FAN]

Please...everyone take a deep breath, relax and work on getting the vote out. The only poll that matters is Zogby. Which is +/- 2 (”that one” over Mac)...this means the race is tied.

So many have been trying to pronounce Mac dead for so long. Watch what is to come. He aint dead, he’s just coming to life.

[jveritas]

Historically there have been always more registered democrats on paper but honest pollsters should look at historical data to assert what would be the electorate party ID composition that will show up on elections day. It was never 6% to 12% more democrats who showed up on elections day even if there was in previous elections 6 to 12% more registered democrats on paper.
Also regarding the youth vote, the young people who showed up in the democrat primaries this year are similar to the percentage of those young voters who showed up to vote in previous elections despite the massive effort by the Obama campaign to bring them to vote. There is no real reason to think that they will show up in massive turnout this November.

[jveritas]

Agree 100%. Defeatists and gloomers should not be on any team who wants to win.

[38special]

Hopefully people will come to their senses when they actually get in the voting booth.

[jveritas]

Like Kerry and Gore before him Obama will win the biased media polls and the exit polls on elections day but at the end he will suffer their fate, defeat.

[snarkytart]

Thank You. I appreciate his threads.

viva la Chet!!