Polls show Nov. 4 election races will be tight (NM)

http://news.google.com/ ^ | 10/12/2008 | By Steve Lynn

[Maelstorm]

The Republican Arizona senator trails the Democratic Illinois senator by 5 percentage points, according to a recent poll done for the Albuquerque Journal and reported in that newspaper.

Forty-five percent of voters support Obama and 40 percent support McCain, according to the poll Advertisement of more than 600 likely voters from around New Mexico. The poll was conducted Sept. 29 through Oct. 2 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

Two-thirds of New Mexicans said the economy was their top issue in the presidential election, according to another recent poll conducted by Research & Polling Inc. for the Albuquerque Journal. About 22 percent said the war in Iraq

was their No. 1 issue.

The McCain campaign reported almost $224,000 in contributions from San Juan County, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. McCain leads Obama here in contributions by about $48,000.

But Obama has more than double McCain's contributions statewide, where almost 70 percent of total contributions have gone to the Democratic Party, its candidates and political action committees.

U.S. House

San Juan County voters also will decide who to elect to the 3rd Congressional District, whose territory consists of northern New Mexico, including the county.

Dan East, a Rio Rancho Republican and owner of a company that builds water and wastewater treatment facilities, faces New Mexico Public Regulation Commissioner Ben Ray Luján, a Nambé Democrat. Carol Miller, an independent who ran for the same seat a decade ago as a Green Party candidate, also is running.

[Maelstorm]

McCain could still win New Mexico. Pearce also could win the Senate seat but he needs to find a wedge to break Udall's Hispanic support down or at least make it harder for them to show up for Udall.

[sten]

there is something about the polling numbers people should keep in mind.

this weekend i have heard nonstop how the McCain/Palin campaign is off the tracks and sooo far behind... it's complete crap as the polls do not factor in historical turnout. and that is before you factor in something new.. race.

the polling numbers assume that those polled will be voting. historically, dems have a lousy turnout compared to their registered number. also, independents normally side with republicans.

personally, i am anticipating a landslide for McCain/Palin

[scottinoc]

Another thing to keep in mind: Democrats have a real hard time breaking 50% in presidential elections in the modern era. The #1 most liberal senator, 0 experience doing anything other than running for president. Pals around with terrorists. Oh yeah, and as he just loves pointing out, he doesn’t look like the guys on the paper money.

[Lazamataz]

Oh yeah, and as he just loves pointing out, he doesn’t look like the guys on the paper money.

Incorrect.

[ABQHispConservative]

Here in NM I’ve been seeing a lot of rat commercials, and not many McCain and Pearce ads. Given this disparity, that the race is close is surprising and motivates me a lot.

I should also mention that there was a “poll” that said that Richardson had 61% approval rating. I can tell you that this is nonsense, unless the poll was taken in Santa Fe. If McCain and Pearce hit 0bama and Udall with abortion, that will do a lot to bring in more votes. Add to that the energy issue, which is a winner for us, and the Fannie-Freddie and we can win it here.

[NRA2BFree]

Politics in NM have ALWAYS been corrupt. NM will go to Obama, and Udall. Bill Richardson will see to it that it does. No matter what. They'll "find" more boxes of votes that were "accidentally left in a room." It won't be the first time that has happened. Did you know that NM now has mobile voting places? They will actually go out on the rez to allow people to vote. Did you know Obama has 35 offices in NM. A state with 1.9M population? We could end up with more registered voters than there are people living in NM.

When I owned the credit bureau in Farmington and the credit bureau in Gallup I worked with the state of NM to help them stop a widespread problem of people living in AZ obtaining food stamps and welfare in both NM and AZ. Gallup is only 20 miles from Window Rock, AZ, so it's very easy for them to get a post office box in Gallup and in AZ too. Both states were giving them money. That is probably going on with voters too. The Navajo tribe has around 250K members, so voter fraud on the reservation could be substantial.

Then we have to deal with all of the illegals who Richardson allowed to have a NM driver's license. With that license they could register to vote, and it will appear to be legal. All things considered, I think the RATS are going to sweep NM, by fraud, but nonetheless, they will take it all.

[Syncro]

Our Country Deserves Better PAC is going on a nationwide tour at the end of this month, leaving in a few days.

These are the stops in New Mexico:

Saturday, October 18th

12:00 Noon – Gallup, New Mexico Rally & News Conference

Veterans Park

Gallup, NM

tentative

3:30 PM – Albuquerque, New Mexico Rally & News Conference

Roosevelt Park

Albuquerque, NM

tentative

7:00 PM – Santa Fe, New Mexico Rally & News Conference

Sunday, October 19th

9:00 AM – Raton, New Mexico Rally & News Conference

Ripley Park

Raton, NM

Red x's are just spacers.