CBS/NYT Poll: Obama Opens 14-Point Lead (Here we go again)

http://cbs3.com/topstories/presidential.poll.cbs.2.840297.html ^

[Cheryllynn]

It’s over!! It’s over!! OMG What will we do???? What will we DO!!!! OMG!!!!!

Just practicing LOL!! Please 14 points-—get real. :)

[got_moab?]

looks like they are also trying to discourage McCain from using Ayers and Wright tomorrow night.

[muawiyah]

The way they do this is quite clever. First of all they do not overestimate the number of Democrats ~ to a degree they UNDERESTIMATE the number of "white" Democrats. That way they minimize the number of "white" Democrats who will not vote for a black candidate ~ we can call this "burying the Bradley effect".

I believe they are taking the "Bradley Effect" voters and calling them N/A on the response sheets.

The rest of it is a simple matter of shifting Republican voters who intend to vote for Obama into the independent category. They then misrepresent the total percntage of the electorate they've identified as independents.

It's really difficult to work your way backwards through all of this. I did it for Missouri and determined that the pollsters were claiming there were MORE independents than Republicans, and MORE independents than Democrats. This amplified the 11% black vote several fold to where they were representing over 50% of the Democrat vote.

Each one of these steps is justified in someone's mind I am sure.

[cmurphy]

Total Respondents 1070

		unweighed	weighed
Registered Voters		972	902
Reg. Voters	Democrats	371	338
Reg. Voters	Republicans	295	263
Reg. Voters	Independents	306	301
Reg. Voters		Effective Likely Voters	699

[cmsgop]

I Love This Part...........

Obama McCain Now 10/1 Now 10/1 Is he prepared to be president? Yes 51% 52 64% 60% No 41 43 33 34

[trumandogz]

The D & R weighting looks accurate.

[truthluva]

And we all know what anchors are used for: To stop a ship dead in its tracks

Good one!

[Cedric]

Wow. Thats a monster lead. I wish we had a 14 point lead.

I think you think "you" do.

[loungeSerf]

Haha! CBS-NYT... funny.

[socialismisinsidious]

Yeah because everything that comes out of CBS and the NYSlimes is like so true. 60 minutes may even do a piece on this...

[Liberty Valance]

I wonder if they used the special sauce in all 57 states ...

[Dawn531]

I’d think they’d worry about making their electorate (Dems) complacent with this type of hype.

If these polls are accurate, fine Obama wins, but if these polls are abberations, and he loses, they were irresponsible and will create a lot of trouble in this country in the aftermath of the election.

[EGPWS]

The Obama-Biden ticket now leads the McCain-Palin ticket 53 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, a 14-point margin.

Heh!

Anyone have that animated picture of a pig flying by chance?

[Norman Bates]

I said to ignore this poll. Obama is NOT leading by 13%. You are so dispirited it’s pathetic. Snap out of it man. Three weeks!

[Joiseydude]

....the Dallas O-Line, the dead....

I'm sure you didn't mean to repeat yourself, but aren't the Dallas Cowboys O-line and the dead one in the same?

[jimmur281974]

So we are to believe that in 1 WEEK his lead has gone from 3 to 14? BS BS BS C BS!! and what may we attribute this to?
next week Maobama will be up 45

[The_Republican]

That’s one ugly pattern:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

Now its upto UBL.

If he endorses him and says a little prayer for brother Obama and puts out a video, as he did for Kerry, a last minute ringing endorsement, perhaps that would change things.

McCain is going to make MESS out of debate tomorrow night.

He is trying to be funny, angry, positive, negative, happy, angry, optimist, pessimist, all at the SAME time.

Pick ONE mood and stick with it.

Well rehearsed jokes are all falling flat.

[muawiyah]

Drop the Dems to 34%, the Reps to 31% and raise the independents to 35%.

At the same time count 95% of black respondents as being Dem.

It's not the discounting of the Rep vote that controls. It's the discounting of the white Dem vote AND the accentuation of the Ind vote that controls everything in these polls.

[traditional1]

I expect all the MSM polls to show OsamaObama with a poll result of “105% of likely voters prefer The Messiah/Our Hero Obama” on election eve......

[itsPatAmerican]

If Bama gets elected, we wont have an election in 4 yrs. He will be president forever in my humble opinion. Just sayin....

I remember the tin foil hats on the left saying Bush would find a reason to suspend the elections this year. They honestly believed it.