Posted on 10/20/2008 10:16:19 AM PDT by Drea
Unlike their Ohio sample (+14 dem), this Missouri sample was more realistic.
Must-Have-Missouri !!!
Anyone get the feeling we may snag PA ???
Without “questionable” voting in KC and St. Louis, Obama will not win Missouri.
In the Springfield area, I’ve seen four Obama signs in the past few weeks.
Four.
I’m sure there are more in the downtown area. The McCain Palin signs are up and the stickers are coming out.
Obama is advertising NON-STOP, even on Rush, Boortz and Hannity.
I've heard through the grapevine that at least one Pubbie who was supposed to work on Missouri has been reassigned to efforts in Iowa.
No. There's been no mention of that anywhere on this forum.
Well this is one more bit of good news. Looks like the battlegrounds states are bouncing back to the good guys, if very slowly. Except for that Ras. poll of VA with the bad guys up 10. That seems unrealistic though.
So we’ve got FL, OH, CO, and MO trending back towards McCain-Palin. Dems must be a little panicked now. And this is despite their gargantuan, unfair spending edge.
CNN 2004 Mo
Dem 35
GOP 36
IND 29
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
That goes along with another week of making calls into Iowa which is in our region.
I think Democrat labelling western Pennsylvannia as racist will help McCain get Penn
Bingo! I just received word from a good friend with ties into NC that NC is safe and Hillary supporters are making the difference in getting a lot of help in the state.
This polling is not taking disgruntled Hillary supporters in the equation either. They are helping in PA as well to give us more of a ground game.
Saw lots of new, huge McCain/Palin signs on 60 highway today.
For weeks, JayHamilton on Fr has been saying that McCain will take PA! Since both campaigns have been there frequently, I think PA is much closer than the polls say.
Not true. Just last week there was a report that Obama’s internals had him up only 2 pts in PA and this was confirmed as probable according to a FReeper familiar with the inside of the McCain campaign. McCain has three rallies there tomorrow, and Cindy and Rudy Giuliani also have two events.
How many points did Bush carry MO by in 2004?
In Missouri, the Indies voted for Bush 52-46, which pretty muched matched his 53-46 win over Kerry in 2004 in that state. For what it's worth, in 2004 in Missouri, 89% of the voters were white, as opposed to 77% nationally.
MO must be close right now because McCain is campaigning there this week. But it is a state where the demographics still strongly favor McCain (including especially the one I just mentioned -- white voters).
As for moving people to Iowa, I read somewhere that according to Rick Davis, Iowa is currently within the margin of error. This would be pretty remarkable if true given McCain's oppositon to ethanol subsidies (which is probably hurting him more in Iowa than any other Bush state from 2004).
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Win Missouri = Win the White House
The only exception was 1956, I have no idea how Stevenson carried Missouri that year and still lost in the general.
Norman, if you can find me two FReepers who have been promoting McCain’s chance in PA more than me, I’ll buy you a beer.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.