Democrat - 39%
Republican - 34%
Independent - 25%
For the record, here are the party affiliation numbers for the 2004 election:
Republican - 36%
Democrat - 35%
Independent - 29%
So, this poll is based on a net change of 6% towards the Democrats compared to 2004!
In any event though, the poll includes a 5% gap in party affiliation towards the Democrats.
The poll results were as follows:
McCain - 48%
Obama - 48%
So, based on that, here is how well each candidate is performing OVER their party affiliation percentage:
Obama - 9% greater than Democratic party affiliation percentage
McCain - 14% greater than Republican party affiliation percentage
That’s right! McCain is outpacing the party affiliation percentage by +5% greater than Obama!
If Republicans turn out to vote in great numbers tomorrow, this election will be very, very close. So, each and everyone of us needs to do our part to make that happen!
-Bob
Interesting stuff, I agree that IF we turn out our side has a chance.
how can we be tied in MO and down 6,7 or 8 nationally. Again does not compute. Somebody is wrong. SUSA state polls are very accurate. I learned that the hard way from 2006 when I thought there was no way Dems were ahead in that many seats. They of course ended up being right on most of those races. But one interesting poll was VA where they had Webb leading Allen by 8 in their last poll. Of course it was basically a tie. Their VA poll done yesterday shows Obama 50 to McCain 46. So if this like 2006, they are underestimating our turnout.
I’ve been doing a lot of thinking that if the pollsters are right, and the worst case scenario of having a huge D-R split is true... then, it’s impossible that Independents aren’t going heavily Dem as well. The enthusiasm should bleed over to the Is as well.
But it’s not.
Say goodbye Hussein, Missouri is gone. And you can take that shrill scarecrow McCaskill too...
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Turn out and vote!
Good weather forecast for tomorrow. Drive your older friends to the polls. they will get out more with better weather.
The young Obama supporters will be in touch with nature instead of voting.
Go Mac! Go Puma! Go Bradley!
The more younger voters who turn-out, the better Obama's chances. The more older voters who turn-out, the better McCain's chances. McCain must win Missouri to be elected President. Obama would like to win Missouri, but has many paths to 270 electoral votes that do not include Missouri's 11.Nice spin there. :') 39 per cent of those polled said they were Demwits, only 34 per cent said Pubbie, IOW, just another skewed poll.
Been making calls today at the State GOP center in Columbia MO.
BTW: Historically as in this century, Republicans have voted in higher number than dems in MO.
Building off my comment about PA and VA, here are some additional thoughts...
Obama picks up CO, IA and NM.
VA goes to Obama.
However, PA goes to McCain.
At that moment, all focus goes to NV!
If NV goes to Obama, you have:
Obama - 270
McCain - 268
Obviously, you’d be looking to see what the numbers are in the one ME district at that point.
If NV goes to McCain, you have:
McCain - 273
Obama - 265
Notice where Palin is holding 2 rallies today! In addition, McCain is holding a rally there! At this point, I have to believe the McCain campaign is looking at this path as their “most likely scenario for winning”.
-Bob
The battle will be in the recount. Lets hope their will be herds of RNC attys all over St. Louis county.