Texas Early Voting FINAL Turnout Results – Great News for the GOP!

Texas Secretary of State ^ | November 3, 2008 | Self

[Zakeet]

All of the MSM/Liberal University poll heavily oversample Democratic voters on the premise Democrats are so enthused over Obama they will turnout in record numbers, whereas Republicans are so discouraged and/or disgusted with Bush/McCain they will not vote in similar proportions. This is a critical assumption. If it is not correct, the polls will significantly overstate Mr. Obama's expected vote totals.

Early voting data released by the Texas Secretary of State for the 15 counties with the largest population shows the MSM polling assumption is dead WRONG. In fact, the opposite of what should have happened under the MSM scenario took place. A larger percentage of the people in traditionally Republican counties voted than persons in traditional Democratic counties, AND the increase in the percentage of early voters was greatest for the so-called red counties.

Consider the following:

1. There was a huge increase in Texas’ early voting turnout – about 49 percent – from 2.4 million in 2004 to 3.55 million this year.

2. At the close of early voting on Friday, the early vote stood at 47 percent of State’s entire 2004 election turnout.

3. The early voting increase was greatest in Houston area – up 71 percent compared to 2004.

   This is likely due to in part to Hurricane Ike (people voting when they can as they are still cleaning up after the storm). The turmoil in the energy market also probably plays significant role – oil prices are falling and the Democrats are responsible for obstructing domestic oil exploration. The energy industry is a huge part of the Houston economy.

4. Excluding Houston and its Western Suburbs as outliers, early voting was up by:
   • Only 33 percent in counties carried by John Kerry in 2004

   • 42 percent in counties where George Bush received 50-60 percent of the vote (primarily Dallas and San Antonio)

   • 48 percent in counties where George Bush received more than 60 percent

   Despite the much heralded Democratic voter enrollment drives, the number of registered voters did not changed much in four years – and has actually increased most in areas carried by George Bush in 2004. According to the Secretary of State registered voters were:
   • Up 6 percent in counties carried by John Kerry in 2004

   • Unchanged in the major cities (down 2% in Dallas, unchanged in Houston and up 2% in San Antonio)

   • Up 9 percent in counties where George Bush received more than 60 percent

In other words, if data for the second largest state is representative of the rest of the country, the polls are screwed!

A summary of the data is posted in the comments below. The raw data can be obtained from the Office of the Texas Secretary of State at the following links:

2004 Early Voting

2008 Early Voting

2004 Election Results

[Zakeet]

The word on the street is that the vast majority of newly registered voters in Harris county are black and hispanic, and likely to vote for Obama.

According to the Secretary of State, there were only 3,284 more registered voters in Harris County in 2008 than in 2004.

[sociallyunacceptable]

Can someone please answer my question?

When do they tabulate all of the early votes? Are they put in some secret location and then brought out when the polls close?

Or, do they start counting all of the early votes when they receive them?

I would appreciate your help!

[Tuxedo]

Yep. I was also part of Op Chaos. Registered as a Dem, but wife and I voted for Mac last week.

[engrpat]

I live and voted in Tarrant County (Arlington) and the lines have been unreal. For the time I can remember I had to stand in a long line for early voting. I would like to hope that with the big turnout country wide McCain’s voters are going regardless of what the media is tell them.

[grumpa]

My wife called 23 pages of folks in Texas listed as soft Reps and Indies. The response was overwhelmingly McCain.