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Nevada Early Vote Stats Reveal Obama Underperforms Party ID
The Cocktoasten Times ^ | 11/03/2008 | John L Cocktoasten

Posted on 11/03/2008 5:32:52 PM PST by johncocktoasten

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1 posted on 11/03/2008 5:32:56 PM PST by johncocktoasten
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To: johncocktoasten

Interestingly enough, Obama’s nevada campaign manager died of a massive heart attack yesterday.


2 posted on 11/03/2008 5:36:08 PM PST by cripplecreek (Paying taxes for bank bailouts is apparently the patriotic thing to do. [/sarc])
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To: johncocktoasten

WHew! That was exhausting but I hope you are right.


3 posted on 11/03/2008 5:36:16 PM PST by Cathy
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To: johncocktoasten

REPUBLICANS CONTROL THE ELECTIONS~!!!
One of the biggest secrets the democraps dont want you to know is that DEMOCRAP turnout is a CONSTANT in every elections. They always get the same percentage, over and over.

So it is REPUBLICAN TURNOUT that decides the result. I saw a stunning set of data that supported this

SO VOTE VOTE VOTE

And drive to Ohio too where there is free-for-all voting!


4 posted on 11/03/2008 5:37:47 PM PST by Mr. K (Some days even my lucky rocketship underpants don't help)
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To: johncocktoasten

Don’t forget to factor in that Dems are more likely to fillout an exit poll questionnaire than Republicans.

This 6.1% Obama lead in early voting may be overstated by 2-3 points.


5 posted on 11/03/2008 5:38:57 PM PST by Onerom99
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To: cripplecreek

Folks, this the THIRD state now - Nevada, Texas and Florida that show many more democrats voted than Obama got votes. There is a large crossover of democrats voting McCain. This trend will continue.


6 posted on 11/03/2008 5:40:33 PM PST by jrooney (I am not voting for Spread the Wealth/Senator Government. I am voting for the War Hero and Baracuda.)
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To: cripplecreek

But most of the RATs are Kali commie transplants.


7 posted on 11/03/2008 5:42:12 PM PST by Waco ( G00d bye 0'bombers)
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To: All

MSM will call it for Obama ASAP tomorrow in an attempt to suppress the turnout.

Turn off your TV tomorrow and vote.


8 posted on 11/03/2008 5:42:55 PM PST by Rodney Dangerfield ("Obama Girl" will soon need consoling. I'll take one for the team & volunteer.)
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To: johncocktoasten

Good analysis John. Now the question is who turns out tomorrow.


9 posted on 11/03/2008 5:44:25 PM PST by jwalsh07 (It's the Marxism Stupid!)
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To: Rodney Dangerfield

No doubt! Remember 2004!


10 posted on 11/03/2008 5:45:09 PM PST by Ladysmith
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To: johncocktoasten

Nice work John. I’m quite anxious about tomorrow. We all need to get out and vote: McCain/Palin


11 posted on 11/03/2008 5:49:17 PM PST by beethoven
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To: johncocktoasten

Excellent analysis.


12 posted on 11/03/2008 5:53:23 PM PST by jveritas
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
The McCain List.

Good news! If McCain holds the five core states in which he is tied or slightly ahead - OH, FL, MO, IN, NC - all he has to do is win VA and CO, or PA, along with Nevada.

13 posted on 11/03/2008 5:54:31 PM PST by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

Great news!


14 posted on 11/03/2008 5:56:20 PM PST by 1035rep
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To: johncocktoasten
A huge conservative turnout will make the difference in a close election. IGNORE THE MEDIA. GO OUT AND VOTE!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

15 posted on 11/03/2008 5:56:52 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: johncocktoasten

Do any of these so called exit polls ever state how many voters REFUSED to answer —and how the number this year stacks up with previous years


16 posted on 11/03/2008 5:59:08 PM PST by uncbob (es wouold realize that but iguess their arrogance)
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To: goldstategop

Great analysis but boy this is going to take a big-time effort to overcome Obozo on what you are putting down. Not that it’s impossible, but these are sketchy assumptions. I’m not a big fan of exit polling either. Still, where there’s a will the Maverick finds a way. Nevadans do your part and vote Maverick- I don’t want to blame your state if we come up short.


17 posted on 11/03/2008 6:01:57 PM PST by GerardKempf (Let's Get Over This)
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To: jrooney

Or, as the dead Peter Jennings would say, “Voters are having a temper tantrum.”

Or, as the AP would say, “Racists made McCain win the Presidency”.


18 posted on 11/03/2008 6:06:30 PM PST by mabelkitty (If Bush was an illegitimate President, Obama is the ILLEGAL candidate by Acorn and citizenship)
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To: 1035rep

I am PRAYING this is true!


19 posted on 11/03/2008 6:07:15 PM PST by kimchi lover (Joe the Plumber is my Homeboy!)
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To: johncocktoasten
Ok, well, a little fiddling with the numbers says this = a McCain lead, although it was never stated (that I could find) what % of Dems voted for Obama and what % of Republicans voted for McCain.

If McCain gets 92% of GOP votes (pretty high, but not excessive) and Obama gets 88% of Dem votes, then giving the other guy the difference (McCain 12% Dems; Obama 8% GOP---which based on other early voting is probably 2% too high, [itself = to 3,000 votes]), and splitting the indies at 51/49 McCain you get a slight McCain win.

Obviously, you can play with these numbers a lot. And obviously, the biggest gain comes when you have a Dem voter voting for McCain, because that adds one to his pile and takes one away from the Obama pile. I don't have a clue how the indies will go, but my estimate seems really low.

20 posted on 11/03/2008 6:25:54 PM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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