By the way, his comments about IA are spot on... It is very very close...
fingers crossed
AndyTheBear == "Broken Glass Conservative"
Really interesting view. Especially his point on where Obama is campaign ie big cities...and how safe that is relative to how much McCain/Palin are going into Kerry territory and gaining huge crowds.
We’ll know soon, and I hope his view is the right one.
“every single pro-Maccain post is either a vanity, blog or no name pundit”
Oh, really?
Well, go find an MSM post to suckle on.
I like to hear from the “no-name” pundits and bloggers.
So many anti-vanity elites about these days.
I can go to any political site on the web if all I wanted was big name punditry. I come here for the exact thing you seem to despise.
FReep on!
Wow, I so want to believe this analysis! Very smart guy.
One thing that struck me is his claim that union folk in Pa will not poll as McCain supporters in fear of their union bosses - strikes me as true.
Fascinating analysis.
Hes wrong about political analysis being destroyed though.
Think on it. The results come in and the political analysts are found to be way out on their polls (a quite likely scenario). Now if you are a political analyst there are only two reasons for that happening. Either 1) you and the rest of your kind screwed up, big time or 2) McCain and the Republicans have rigged the elections or cheated in some way.
Now, given that it is their careers and livelihoods, what would Human nature dictate would be the explanation Political analysts would go for?
Insightful analysis. Thanks for posting it.
That was a long read but well worth it. He is absolutely right on all points. Look for a very loooong election day as the media will refuse to believe what they are seeing. PA will be called for obummer early by as many as 20 points then they will say its to close to call... in the end Mc/Palin will carry the state. Mc/Palin will win with around 300 EV’s and obumer will be delegated to the realm of obscurity where he has always belonged. Good bye and KMA B Obama.
Wonderful analysis. It was a pleasure to read and did a good job of calming me down after the welter of news reports which simply assumed an Obama victory.
I just hope he’s right.
Thanks. Worth readiang.
Thank you so much for this article.
Although it was a very long read, I enjoyed every word. The author articulated everything I’ve been feeling about this election. I’ve been fairly confident, but still a little nervous. Now I can sleep well tonight and not worry tomorrow at work.
I had considered possibly calling in sick so I could watch the election returns, but now I feel no need to do so. I’ll check them when I get home.
This guy has excellent sound analysis and I hope someone (or a lot of someone’s) sends a link to Rush & Sean by email with the subject line:
‘Obama’s Toast’ - must read show prep
I would love to hear them discuss this tomorrow.
Thanks again.
RT
No matter what happens this will divide
America more when it comes to Race
they are already talking about riots
in toledo ,ohio anybody who believes
Obama will heal the world or America
is living in la la land. the cat is
out of the box.!!!
Best piece I’ve read in a long time.
The followers of the messiah will be outraged that even with there cheating, voterfraud, campagn fraud, fraudulent contributions and hiding the truth about this trojan horse Obama they couldn’t win this election and they will blame us for stealing the election. SO BE IT!
I will be a “racist for a day”. Sarah gets my vote.
The reality was that Clinton did not pull out of those states, wasn’t falling apart internally, and state polls that showed double digit Obama leads ended up either becoming small Obama wins (such as Virginia) or comfortabel Clinton wins (New Hampshire, California, Pennslyvania, etc. etc).
Mac wins.
Great Post, this is the first one that made me have some “real” confidence. I was depressed, now I am excited about the election!