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IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Final Estimate. Obama: 51.5%, McCain 44.3%, Other 4.2%
Investors Business Daily ^ | 2008-11-03 | IBD/TIPP

Posted on 11/04/2008 4:20:05 AM PST by justlurking

With just hours to go before the polls open Tuesday, the latest and final IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll shows Sen. Barack Obama with a 7.2-point lead over Sen. John McCain (51.5% Obama vs. 44.3% McCain). All other candidates garner a combined 4.2%. This tally represents IBD/TIPP’s final estimate after allocating undecided voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls
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To: wideawake
According to the internals Obama loses both the Protestant and Catholic vote, but wins the election.

According to the internals Obama loses everybody's vote but still wins the election.

Frankly, I don't see where his massive support is coming from!

He is going to do worse then Kerry did.

61 posted on 11/04/2008 5:06:48 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (AMERICANS-PREPARE FOR GLORY!)
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To: justlurking

I was listening to Fox and Friends this morning when they were interviewing Brian Wilson. He said when he was in the battleground states he said that the mood out on the street is much different than what the polls indicate and he’s not trusting the polls too.

Just go vote


62 posted on 11/04/2008 5:07:44 AM PST by DocT111
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To: justlurking
Single women and yutes need therapy.
63 posted on 11/04/2008 5:08:30 AM PST by wolfcreek (I see miles and miles of Texas....let's keep it that way.)
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To: scooby321
We know 0 is going win the popular vote by 2 to 3% of the vote. But will lose to Mac in Electoral College.

We know no such thing.

The polls are way off and Obama is not going to get over 45% of the vote.

64 posted on 11/04/2008 5:08:45 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (AMERICANS-PREPARE FOR GLORY!)
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To: LiveFree99
Looks like a substantial win for Hussein. Everyone get out and vote and salvage the down ticket races.

Obama joins the ranks of Gore and Kerry tonight.

65 posted on 11/04/2008 5:10:22 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (AMERICANS-PREPARE FOR GLORY!)
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To: johncocktoasten
There was never going to be a pre election poll showing a McCain lead. The narrative of a huge Democrat Voter ID edge has been written by the Axelrod and soaked up by sycophantic pollsters. It doesn’t exist, and there aren’t any statistics to prove that is exists. For there to be absolute capitulation and destruction of the media and these ridiculous paid off pollsters, they all have to be on the wrong side of the ball. And they are. FReepers, please help the Republican Party make calls and GOTV today. IF WE SHOW UP, WE WIN. We are one step from the promised land. We just need to show up.

Exactly correct.

This was about appearances, not reality.

Hoping to depress our base, but it didn't work and we will win this.

66 posted on 11/04/2008 5:11:54 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (AMERICANS-PREPARE FOR GLORY!)
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To: Blue Turtle
Obama = popular vote McCain = Electoral Vote

Yep. Yep.

IMHO, pollsters are no longer merely irrelevant and inept; they are fraudulent. They know damn well that an overall, general matchup poll means squat on election day. The media knows it too. But in classic liberal fashion, they ignore the reality of the electoral college in favor of what they wish were so. They despise the wisdom of our founding fathers who anticipated the tyranny of huge urban centers.

67 posted on 11/04/2008 5:11:58 AM PST by Eroteme
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To: justlurking

Obviously wrong. Obama will not win in the south.

His northeast and west numbers are so high that it skews the electoral vote thinking.

As someone pointed out yesterday, McCain could lose the national popular vote by as much as 4% and STILL win the EV.

If huge disparities in the Northeast and West Coast skew the results enough, it could throw off any national poll, BECAUSE that disparity would also affect REPUBLICAN stats coming out of those states. Many pubbies must vote Obama in those regions to get that vote disparity.

The bottom line is that EVERY SINGLE PERSON in California or NY could vote for Obama, and they’d still get only the prescribed number of Electoral votes. What it would do is wildly skew the national polls.


68 posted on 11/04/2008 5:12:10 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain Pro Deo et Patria)
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To: justlurking

I won’t believe it unless it happens, but if it happens and 0 is the winner...
at least it wasn’t Hillary Clinton.
Sure, 0 might be worse. But we have been spared seeing the Clintons swaggering back into the White House.


69 posted on 11/04/2008 5:12:48 AM PST by 668 - Neighbor of the Beast (Whither America? Who is teaching the children?)
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To: pissant
“Palin has been introduced to America. That is good.

Perhaps the GOP will see the folly of selecting a RINO to head the ticket. That is good.”

I wish I could be this optimistic. I have a terrible feeling they will all blame her and say “see we can't afford to run conservatives anymore.”

I hope I'm wrong.

70 posted on 11/04/2008 5:13:03 AM PST by redk
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To: johnny7

Why even post this today?

Ignore the damn polls and VOTE!!!!!!


71 posted on 11/04/2008 5:13:13 AM PST by Jazz1968
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To: fortheDeclaration
Just heard from a friend in western PA who I haven't talked to in a while. She is glad it will be over today as she's had pollsters and campaigns calling her "all day -- makes me not want to vote just to prove a point. Almost." Finished with "the best part is I get to vote against Murtha -- the only perk to living in his district, other than I get to be a racist and a redneck."

GO PA!!! Get out there and take this country back!

72 posted on 11/04/2008 5:14:27 AM PST by workerbee (If you vote for Democrats, you are engaging in UnAmerican Activity.)
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To: pissant
LOL. You are delusional.

When Hunter gets nominated, we will see.

73 posted on 11/04/2008 5:14:38 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (AMERICANS-PREPARE FOR GLORY!)
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To: justlurking

You own these numbers Pollsters, now lets see if you have any credibility.

Pray for McCuda and Our Troops


74 posted on 11/04/2008 5:16:20 AM PST by bray (Rezko = Obama)
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To: justlurking

obama always polled 7% too high and this is juuuust right.

not to bee too conspiratorial, but remember obama bots calling and attacking news outlets?

A news outlet can aford to have a poll be wrong, can they afford to have their reporters kicked off the airplanes?


75 posted on 11/04/2008 5:16:59 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: workerbee
Just heard from a friend in western PA who I haven't talked to in a while. She is glad it will be over today as she's had pollsters and campaigns calling her "all day -- makes me not want to vote just to prove a point. Almost." Finished with "the best part is I get to vote against Murtha -- the only perk to living in his district, other than I get to be a racist and a redneck." GO PA!!! Get out there and take this country back!

Getting rid of Murtha, getting Pa in the Red column, and beating Obama-what a great day it is going to be!

76 posted on 11/04/2008 5:17:25 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (AMERICANS-PREPARE FOR GLORY!)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Yeah, that would be sweet. Remember when Daschle got canned? Ah... good times!


77 posted on 11/04/2008 5:19:24 AM PST by workerbee (If you vote for Democrats, you are engaging in UnAmerican Activity.)
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To: justlurking

Unfortunately, I believe this poll to be somewhat correct. It generally samples more conservatives than the other polls. It looks to be a long evening.

Of course regardless, we should do our civic duty and vote against Marxism and fight the good fight we know to be right.


78 posted on 11/04/2008 5:24:16 AM PST by MBB1984
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To: pissant
Uh, this poll is screwed up.

Either the poll is screwed up or half the country is.

79 posted on 11/04/2008 5:26:01 AM PST by jersey117
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To: justlurking

This poll is completely unrelated to the way this election will turn out.


80 posted on 11/04/2008 5:26:51 AM PST by reasonisfaith (A liberal can never stand up like a man and admit his true beliefs.)
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