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Revisions Offset Durable-Goods Orders Climb
The Wall Street Journal ^ | March 25, 2009 | Jeff Bater

Posted on 03/25/2009 5:50:22 AM PDT by Wpin

WASHINGTON -- Durable goods orders unexpectedly climbed during February, but demand in the prior month was revised down deeply, an adjustment countering the idea of a rebound in the slumping manufacturing sector.

Manufacturers' orders for long-lasting goods increased by 3.4% last month to a seasonally adjusted $165.56 billion, the Commerce Department said Wednesday.

The 3.4% increase was a big surprise. Wall Street expected a decline of 2.0% for February. It was the largest increase since 4.1% in December 2007.

But durables, which are goods designed to last at least three years, plunged 7.3% in January, revised way down from a previously estimated 4.5% decrease.

Year over year, February durables were 28.4% lower, in unadjusted terms.

A key barometer of business equipment spending -- orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft -- rose by 6.6%, after plunging a downwardly revised 11.3% in January. Originally, January demand was seen down 5.4%. Year over year, orders were down 23.8%. February shipments for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft rose by 0.6%, after dropping 8.9% in January; the shipments are used in calculating gross domestic product, which is the barometer for economic growth in the U.S.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: durablegoods; economy; recession
Does anyone else question the uptick in February after such a dismal revised January? Looks like Government spending had something to do with the uptick, but it just still seems higher than it probably should be. Oh, well hunches are not worth much, we will see when they revise February next month...
1 posted on 03/25/2009 5:50:22 AM PDT by Wpin
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To: Wpin

You’re right. I think it was all the plasma screen tvs that TOTUS was ordering. All hail totus.


2 posted on 03/25/2009 5:54:51 AM PDT by neodad (USS Vincennes (CG 49) "Freedom's Fortress")
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To: neodad
I say to people that we are better off staying in the recession as if and when we start to grow out that's when new problems pop up. Inflation will be just one
3 posted on 03/25/2009 6:01:42 AM PDT by lakertaker (Libertarian Party since 1998)
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To: Wpin

If the gubmint would just lay off, the recession would end naturally...but TOTUS and Congress keeps messin’.


4 posted on 03/25/2009 6:17:21 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: neodad

Teleprompters, man. Thousands of ‘em.

}:-)4


5 posted on 03/25/2009 6:29:22 AM PDT by Moose4 (Hey RNC. Don't move toward the middle. MOVE THE MIDDLE TOWARD YOU.)
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To: Moose4

http://www.banteleprompters.com/blog/what-is-teleprompter-parity.html

Teleprompter parity! Invest NOW! We could be rich!


6 posted on 03/25/2009 6:32:50 AM PDT by griswold3 (a good story is more compelling than the search for truth)
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To: Wpin
Durable goods orders unexpectedly climbed during February, but demand in the prior month was revised down deeply,

I'm sure it's just a coincidence that January was the last partial month of the Bush Admin and February was the first full month of the Obama Admin. So now Obama looks better and Bush looks worse.

7 posted on 03/25/2009 6:35:53 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Wpin

Someone’s going to have to prove to me that this uptick was govt related. They hadn’t even cut the checks from the stimulus package by then.


8 posted on 03/25/2009 6:51:29 AM PDT by Free Vulcan (No prisoners. No mercy. 2010 awaits.....)
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To: dirtboy
Exactly.

The numbers are inaccurate and always subject to revision.

Remember during the Clinton years, the catch phrase used by all the press was “Best economy ever”? I for see a similar situation where the press will be reporting the economy taking off when things will still be bad or worse.

It will be like Baghdad Bob is running the MSM (maybe he already is).

9 posted on 03/25/2009 6:56:53 AM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Wpin

Perhaps manufacturers are automating to cut their workforce. With the prospect of more unionization via Card Check it makes sense. As an aside I recently bought a piece of new equipment for my company at a steep discount. The price was comparable to a piece of used equipment!


10 posted on 03/25/2009 6:58:03 AM PDT by darth
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To: SoFloFreeper

Correct. Uncertainty and meddling got us here and are keeping us here.

All economic activity is future looking and the Kenyan Marxist (is fascism his first step or last?) is not building confidence.


11 posted on 03/25/2009 7:37:06 AM PDT by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: Wpin

the reality of the Durable Good Orders is that this report is one of the most volatile reports that is given monthly and bond traders don’t put much faith in it, but stock ( day ) traders will trade on anything


12 posted on 03/25/2009 7:58:58 AM PDT by peace with honor
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To: Free Vulcan

>They hadn’t even cut the checks from the stimulus package by then

Credit.


13 posted on 03/25/2009 1:10:49 PM PDT by bill1952 (Power is an illusion created between those with power - and those without)
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To: bill1952
>They hadn’t even cut the checks from the stimulus package by then

Credit.

tax refunds

14 posted on 03/25/2009 2:37:44 PM PDT by digger48
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To: Wpin

“Year over year, February durables were 28.4% lower, in unadjusted terms.”

That’s the REAL comparison - and its dismal.

Lot’s of signs the economy is stabilizing ... at a lower level than previously. Just like the stock market ... it is ‘surging’, back to levels well below the levels of January 1.


15 posted on 03/25/2009 7:08:43 PM PDT by WOSG (tagline is now unemployed due to Obama economy)
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To: Wpin

More Fantasy numbers.


16 posted on 03/25/2009 9:41:57 PM PDT by Revel
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