Posted on 04/28/2009 3:48:54 PM PDT by GOPGuide
For just the second time in more than five years of daily or weekly tracking, Republicans now lead Democrats in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 41% would vote for their district’s Republican candidate while 38% would choose the Democrat. Thirty-one percent (31%) of conservative Democrats said they would vote for their district’s Republican candidate.
Overall, the GOP gained two points this week, while the Democrats lost a point in support. Still, it’s important to note that the GOP’s improved position comes primarily from falling Democratic support. Democrats are currently at their lowest level of support in the past year while Republicans are at the high water mark.
Over the past year, Democratic support has ranged from a low of 38% to a high of 50%. In that same time period, Republicans have been preferred by 34% to 41% of voters nationwide.
During calendar 2009, Democratic support has ranged from 38% to 42% and the Republican range has been from 35% to 41%.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates also available on Twitter.
Democrats began the year holding a six- or seven-point lead over the GOP for the first several weeks of 2009. That began to slip in early February and the Republicans actually took a two-point lead for a single week in the middle of March. Since then, the results have ranged from dead even to a four point lead for the Democrats.
Men now favor the GOP by a 45% to 34% margin. Women prefer the Democrats by a 42% to 38% margin.
Other recent polling shows 50% believe the high reelection rates result from election rules that are “rigged to benefit members of Congress.”
You just did..again.
Make up your mind already.
Are you speaking about generic pols or you are not speaking about generic polls?
Of course generic congressional polls mean a heck of a lot more than “squat” as you put keep putting it. When republicans are behind in generic congressional pols, they lose seats in the congressional elections. When they are ahead in the generic congressional polls, the GAIN seats. It's that simple.
“Each race is decided only in their district”
It's the very individual district polls that contribute to one party being ahead or behind in the generic polls. They are linked to each other. You can't have a situation where one party is ahead in the generic poll, and behind in more districts than the other party in the individual districts. It's funny how you guys tout the generic polls when you are head, but then poo poo the same generuc polls when you fall behind
Generics are one thing, but when you have to run actual candidates, it becomes something else entirely.
All recent congressional elections have gone to the party that has had the lead in the generic polls.
You can't be in the lead in the overall generic polls, if you are behind in more districts than the other party. It doesn't work that way.
Republicans were behind in the generic poll last year, and we lost in the real elections as well. It's good sign we are ahead in the generic polls right now. What we have to do is make sure we hold Obunga s feet to hot fire, for his insane policies, so we can can increase our lead in the polls and hold on till the next elections.
I made the comment because we’ve got two problems at the current time that tend to make the generic polls not so reassuring. One being our lackluster recruitment and targets and the fact we’re going to be at a decided disadvantage with respect to individual race funding. We may do better in the House, but I think we may lose seats in the Senate. We just aren’t targeting many of those seats and some of those Dems aren’t particularly vulnerable.
If 2010 ends up being like 1978 (Carter’s midterm), our gains were rather underwhelming (+3 in the Senate, +15 in the House). We’d be lucky to gain those 3 in the Senate.
It matters not to me from what demographic the bimbos come from. And it gives me no comfort that married women tend to vote pubbie. Married women—and men—are a shrinking demographic in America and the world. Also, I’d like to know why married women felt compelled to take their young daughters to Monica Lewinsky book signings.
This tells me that married people are doing a lousy job of passing on their values to their children. And you know why? Too many marriages consist of two working parents. Being “too busy”, they simply “out source” their responsibilities to the left-coopted education system in this country.
My wife and I worked our entire married life, but never gave up any of our parental responsibilites. We inculcated our values to our children and we dang well knew what they were keeping in their rooms and what they were being taught in school. The TV was never on during the week unless there was an edcuational purpose to the program. Heck, we had only one TV in our house until 1976 and it was a 12” black and white hand-me-down. The kids read books if they finished their homework.
And to keep their little hands and minds busy every one of my four boys participated in sports. None of them were premiere athletes, but that didn’t matter. They learned to compete to the best of their ability. Just as importantly, it severly limited the amount of time they had to get into mischief.
Oh, if any one of them tried the old “I’m bored” ploy, they very quickly found themselves engaged in an activity not of their liking. But they couldn’t say they were bored.
The same pollsters who do tehse generic polls are saying in the media that the GOP has essentially zero chance of taking back Congress next year. Something doesn’t compute.
Not from this pollster they aren't.
And Rasmussen has a much better record than almost all of them.
I wouldn't worry too much about what the Obamabot media have to say on anything if I were you. They'd swear black is white, to suck up to Comrade Obunga. If Republicans continue to poll ahead of the RATS in the rasmmusen generic congress polls till 2010, the Dems will lose the House at the very least.
Wrong. In fact if you look back over the years you will find the Democrats almost always lead in the generic vote.
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