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Dire warnings were premature, experts suggest (Experts Downplay Flu Fear)
Houston Chronicle ^ | May 2, 2009 | By TODD ACKERMAN

Posted on 05/03/2009 5:12:16 AM PDT by truthandlife

When the World Health Organization raised its swine flu threat level last week to suggest the first pandemic in more than four decades was imminent, the group’s director warned that “all of humanity is under threat.”

Across the country, it’s looked like that. School closings will keep more than 300,000 Texas students at home this week. Stores have sold out of masks that experts don’t recommend. Sports events and concerts have been canceled. Headlines have warned that “Outbreak Threatens Global Recovery.”

By the week’s end, an increasing number of experts were questioning whether it was overreaction.

“I don’t see anything to justify this panic,” said Robert Krug, a flu researcher at the University of Texas in Austin. “From all the evidence, this doesn’t look like a particularly lethal virus. People need a little more perspective.”

The perspective involves the seasonal patterns during which flu thrives and dies off, evidence that this virus lacks the kind of killer molecular features seen in some pandemics, cultural factors that could explain Mexico’s fatalities and the stark contrast between the annual U.S. toll from seasonal influenza and this outbreak’s mild severity.

To be sure, many of those factors were unknown 10 days ago, when concern began. Health authorities then only really knew the outbreak involved a new swine virus, which people presumably had no natural immunity to and which already had made its way into U.S. communities.

Such viruses can be nothing if not unpredictable. The Spanish Flu of 1918 seemed relatively mild when it appeared in the spring, but it went on to infect one-third of the world’s population, killing as many 50 million. In some virulent cases, the afflicted died hours after feeling their first symptom.

(Excerpt) Read more at chron.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bho44; bhocdc; bhohhs; bogus; flu; h1n1; influenza; swine; swineflu; who; yellowjournalism
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1 posted on 05/03/2009 5:12:16 AM PDT by truthandlife
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To: truthandlife

The bigger threat that we face comes from the B. Hussein Obama Flu that is attacking our freedom and liberty.


2 posted on 05/03/2009 5:15:41 AM PDT by Howie66 (The one redeeming thing about liberals: their tendency to kill their own.)
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To: truthandlife

Maybe it’s the calm before the storm, as Fox News suggests.


3 posted on 05/03/2009 5:15:57 AM PDT by Carpe Cerevisi
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To: truthandlife

...and what was going on behind the scenes while the msm cleverly kept us distracted?

...We didn’t hear much about the Who What and Why (we know When and Where) of the AIR FORCE 1 FLYOVER OF NYC...still waiting to hear results of Obama’s “investigation” into the matter...since he didn’t know ANYTHING about it when it happened...


4 posted on 05/03/2009 5:19:41 AM PDT by smartymarty (When you know why you believe what you believe, leadership is inevitable.)
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To: truthandlife

Wait a few weeks or a month until the sick and contagious illegals start flowing across the border looking for treatment. And those who are contagious but don’t know it yet.


5 posted on 05/03/2009 5:23:35 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: truthandlife
This article is wrong in so many ways. Where to start:

(1) There appears to be a three week lag time from onset to the disease to deaths. How long has the disease been outside of Mexico?

(2) The Mexican government has lied about the disease from day one in an effort to maintain tourism. It would be a big mistake to pay attention to anything they have to say.

(3) There is a 90% probable to actual ratio on CDC tests. They (and the states) now have thousands of probables waiting for testing. Since most cases are mild many folks probably did not submit specimens for testing.

(4) Something spooked Joe Biden. Perhaps it was US government folks getting sick from the Mexican Obama trip and infecting their families and co-workers.

(5) Countries in Asia are quarantining foreigners and their own citizens. Their actions speak for themselves.

If we get lucky this may not be a big deal, but this flu seemed to prosper in Mexican heat, so I remain very concerned.


6 posted on 05/03/2009 5:30:56 AM PDT by cgbg (Cap and trade + electric cars = stranded and broke.)
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To: cgbg

Sounds like you are looking for a crisis and to be fearful.


7 posted on 05/03/2009 5:32:48 AM PDT by truthandlife ("Some trust in chariots and some in horses, but we trust in the name of the LORD our God." (Ps 20:7))
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To: Howie66
That's been my personal thinking....the compliant media has used this flu business to provide cover for the daily Obama shenanigans.

"All flu, all the time"...

8 posted on 05/03/2009 5:33:13 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (Impeach now!)
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To: ErnBatavia

Yep! The media pukes are about the only “transparent” thing connected to this “administration”.


9 posted on 05/03/2009 5:38:10 AM PDT by Howie66 (The one redeeming thing about liberals: their tendency to kill their own.)
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To: Howie66
The bigger threat that we face comes from the B. Hussein Obama Flu that is attacking our freedom and liberty.

When pigs fly! (swine flu?)

10 posted on 05/03/2009 5:40:03 AM PDT by The_Media_never_lie
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To: Carpe Cerevisi
"Maybe it’s the calm before the storm, as Fox News suggests."

There are several possibilities here:


11 posted on 05/03/2009 5:44:46 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: truthandlife
That is one of the problems of the Internet. You don't know me.

I am known as a very positive person with a constant smile on my face.

My track record around here (for predictions and analysis) speaks for itself.

I just spent the first half of 2008 trying to convince an Army of Freepers that Hillary would not win the Democratic nomination. I think most didn't believe me until the Convention vote was taken. :-)

I am just trying to get folks to pay attention. I prefer to believe that I am looking at apathy and not denial, because I can only anger someone who is in denial.


12 posted on 05/03/2009 5:45:42 AM PDT by cgbg (Cap and trade + electric cars = stranded and broke.)
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To: truthandlife
TOLD Y'ALL SO.... Never trust government organizations and linked in corporations who stand to make millions of $$$ on pandemic outbreaks. The peasants panic and the millions $$$ roll in!

People have been around for 10,000+ years. If there was such a thing as a deadly pandemic, we would never have survived this long. All of this is just part of the natural flow of life on Earth.

13 posted on 05/03/2009 5:46:37 AM PDT by April Lexington (Study the constitution so you know what they are taking away!)
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To: truthandlife

Thinking it is more like stating the obvious.

Who knows, maybe we’ll get lucky.

But it isn’t too much of a stretch to think that at least a few sick illegals from Mexico have or will make it into our cites and spread the flu.

Especially with all of the incentives for crossing the border and the very lax control of the same. All driven by the desire to be politically correct.

Seems pretty obvious.

If there is an outbreak and it can be traced to an illegal, then there will be heck to pay.


14 posted on 05/03/2009 5:54:16 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: smartymarty
...and what was going on behind the scenes while the msm cleverly kept us distracted?

That's been my question all week. I know Sebellius was pushed through as Secretary of HHS. Nobody talked much about the delay of the stress test results. Chrysler bankruptcy and O's excoriation of the hedge funds didn't get too much play. The flyover...who knows what that was about. More of our debt was monetized (the fed bought more treasury bonds), I hardly heard a word about that. Many companies reported earnings for first quarter that were miserable. Unemployment increased, etc. etc. etc. And all we heard was "We're going to die from a pandemic!" when in fact only one child in this country has died, and he was from Mexico and had a pre-existing medical condition to begin with.

15 posted on 05/03/2009 6:05:30 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: truthandlife

>Maybe it’s the calm before the storm, as Fox News suggests...

Yes. The talking heads said that in 1976, as well.


16 posted on 05/03/2009 6:06:24 AM PDT by bill1952 (Power is an illusion created between those with power - and those without)
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To: cgbg

“I am known as a very positive person with a constant smile on my face.”

I think you are being reasonably cautious here. You are right to take the threat seriously. You aren’t panicking and you are rightly skeptical of the media and the Mexican government.

There are also at least a few cases where young healthy people have ended up in ICU, so it clearly has the potential to become very dangerous. I think that most people just don’t understand the flu virus and how it becomes so dangerous. Of course that doesn’t stop them from making judgements such as “this thing is over’. This may end up to be a minor virus, but there is not any way to tell yet. Anyone with a solid understanding of flu viruses and how they mutate, is concerned about the potential this virus has.

I read today that a couple from Spain contracted the virus by being on the plane with a couple returning from Mexico. Clearly this is easily transmitted from human to human. There are also an increasing level of diagnosed cases. I will be carefully watching the progression of this virus, but I haven’t seen anything to indicate that I shouldn’t continue my normal activities so far.


17 posted on 05/03/2009 6:07:29 AM PDT by ga medic
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To: truthandlife
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2243073/posts

And then there is this. Has the ‘scientific methodology’ been filtered through the political filtration system... According to this, this is NOT new... December 2005 appears to be when it was first identified.

18 posted on 05/03/2009 6:10:52 AM PDT by Just mythoughts (Bama and Company are reenacting the Pharaoh as told by Moses in Genesis!!!!!)
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To: truthandlife

My kid’s schools are cancelled as of this past Friday afternoon. They had a “probable” case in someone who worked for the district and was in the buildings. We should know this evening the results, and if they will open school tommorow. I’m not concerned about it..not until people start dying. But I can’t figure out why all the over precaution unless the gov’t knows things we don’t. Is it just the media pushing the panic.?..they love crisis to report on. Honestly, since my middle schooler is double booked Monday night (baseball game and band concert) I wouldn’t mind a day of school closing..the concert would be cancelled.:)


19 posted on 05/03/2009 6:11:47 AM PDT by Lets Be Frank
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To: cgbg

more interesting flu articles here

http://www.singtomeohmuse.com/viewtopic.php?t=3232&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=705


20 posted on 05/03/2009 6:24:02 AM PDT by DvdMom
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