Posted on 06/12/2009 1:35:01 PM PDT by Bratch
Despairing Republican friends have been asking me what I think we should do to rebuild the GOP and begin our certain and inevitable comeback. My answer disappoints them: "Build an ark."
I say this because I've made a career out of counting votes, and the numbers tell a clear story; the demographics of America are changing in a way that is deadly for the Republican Party as it exists today. A GOP ice age is on the way.
Demographic change is irritating to politicos, since it works on elections much as rigged dice do on a Las Vegas craps table: it is a game changer. For years, Republicans won elections because the country was chock-full of white middle-class voters who mostly pulled the GOP lever on Election Day. Today, however, that formula is no longer enough.
(Excerpt) Read more at time.com ...
Vote Democrat!!!
It wasn’t consultants that won in 94.
Exactly. Just where exactly have these consultants gotten us? Do these people think that voting demographics never change? Does he remember that blacks voted en masse for Republicans prior to the 1960s? The mere fact that Mr. Murphy thinks this way is reason enough that he should never be hired to “consult” any Republican’s campaign.
What short-sighted, lazy thinking! All these people think about is “how do we get the soccer moms, how do we get the Hispanics, how do we get Gen Xers, how do we get Suburbanites....” Has Mr. Murphy ever heard of persuasion and vote-getting through PRINCIPLE? That’s how you win voters and party loyalists: stick to your principles and articulate them effectively.
We need to stop reading the liberal magazines and newspapers for one. I bet FReepers already never pay a dime for them though.
..that was their first mistake....
Boy aret the democrats going to be caught for a loop when the Hispanic population starts to assimilate and begin holding more to their conservative values than their nanny state needs..
That Crap worked on the French in WW11 it will not work here now. We have the votes and the power once a real leader is is up for election.
The guys who claim they’re headcounters had trouble in gradeschool when the teacher got into the multiplication tables. The circumstances of voting still haven’t changed. We continue to have a single-member district system. If you need to have a “refresher” in the matter, check out http://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/enwiki/6420
Murphy’s DC cocktail circuit pass is still in good standing.
Why would I need a refresher?
These “consultants” are worried about getting invited to DC cocktail parties, and can’t stand the possibility of being off the invite list for four years. So they write articles about how the Republican party is dead, yada, yada, yada. This is much like people arguing that because of the last 12 months of the economy in the doldrums, we therefore need to throw out capitalism and embrace socialism and a side of gay marriage.
The way to ignore these morons is to remember that the more liberal Obama becomes in terms of policy and court appointees, the more likely the people will swing back toward conservative values, whether they be social, economic, of foreign policy.
The Democrat Party dominated Washington for decades -- and yet the GOP controlled the White House for 20 out of 28 years from 1980 to 2008 and both Houses of Congress from 1994 to 2006 even though the "white middle-class voter" had been shrinking in comparison to other demographic groups for years.
One way for the GOP to win on a national level is to get some "natural" constituent groups among newcomers into the fold. I'd say Asian entrepreneurs and small business owners would be ideal Republicans in many respects -- and yet I'd venture to guess that most of them are politically ambivalent at best.
Demographically, this guy (as much as we want to disparage him) isn’t totally off the mark.
The white middle class voter is slowly being replaced. We’re being replaced by minority groups that look at things in a totally different manner than we did (and do).
These voters already showed their muscle in November of last year. Of course, it goes without saying that there was plenty of voter fraud to go around that helped tilt the playing field - not the mention a less than exciting candidate like John McCain.
Hispanice, Somalis/Muslims, Asians and blacks see the Democrats as their saviours - literally and figuratively. And it’s gonna prove increasingly harder to tilt the playing field back in the GOP’s directions when these groups reproduce at a much faster level then we do.
it shouldn’t be that way. There are numbers of reasons for the above-mentioned groups to look favorably upon the GOP - but the media and the Dems have done a spectacular job of demonizing the GOP.
“One way for the GOP to win on a national level is to get some “natural” constituent groups among newcomers into the fold. I’d say Asian entrepreneurs and small business owners would be ideal Republicans in many respects — and yet I’d venture to guess that most of them are politically ambivalent at best.”
Small business owners are one of the most fiercely conservative demographics that exists. You are right about Asians though.
Our organizing skills are getting better and better.
“We’re launching this campaign because those who make or influence economic policy must understand that a productive, competitive private sector is not something they can take for granted,” added Donohue. “It is built on a system of incentives that offers opportunity and rewards for those who work hard and take risks. Take away those incentives through an avalanche of new rules, restrictions, mandates, and taxes and you will seriously undermine the wealth and job-creating capacity of the nation.”
The economy stinks and it is getting worse. By 2010 most will be sick of Pelosi, REid and Obama to the point that they were sick of Bush. The Republicans must constantly draw a distinct alternative to their fascism, and be vocal about their disdain. This is what they did to Bush, they never let him breath, he was always on the defensive.
Another nitwit telling Republicans they must be attract more Hispanics by being libertarian toward gay rights, which Hispanics oppose. The party must continue as pro-life, but - whatever the hell this means - the overall view on abortion must aggressively embrace the big tent.
And, just to top off all that indispensible advice, Republicans must support amnesty for illegals, which 70% of American citizens oppose.
Just another panderer advising the party to try and out-pander the Dems and become Demlite. Pandering by Bush and Rove is the main thing that created the problem to begin with. They managed to offend most everyone with their pander to Hispanics strategy. But, of course, these geniuses advise more of the same.
What they will succeed in doing if amnesty passes, is to make the Republicans a minority party for the foreseeable future. And the Dems know it. They love 'Republicans' like this character and those who agree with him. It never occurs to them how much of the base they will offend, and how many votes they will lose by following a harebrained pander strategy trying to attract more of some group.
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