Posted on 07/21/2009 5:31:52 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
One of the challenges of working in the IT field is staying on top of emerging technologies - while letting go of those that are becoming obsolete. This Global Knowledge article lists 10 areas that are fading into obscurity.
There are some things in life, like good manners, that never go out of style. And there are other things, like clothing styles, that fall in and out of fashion. But when an IT skill falls out of favor, it rarely ever comes back. Here’s our list of 10 dying IT skills. If any of these skills is your main expertise, perhaps it’s time to think about updating your skill set.
1: Asynchronous Transfer Mode
ATM was popular in the late 90s, particularly among carriers, as the answer to overworked frame relay for wide-area networking. It was considered more scalable than frame relay and offered inherent QoS support. It was also marketed as a LAN platform, but that was its weakness. According to Wikipedia, ATM failed to gain wide acceptance in the LAN where IP makes more sense for unifying voice and data on the network. Wikipedia notes that ATM will continue to be deployed by carriers that have committed to existing ATM deployments, but the technology is increasingly challenged by speed and traffic shaping requirements of converged voice and data networks. A growing number of carriers are now using Multi-Protocol Label Switching (MPLS), which integrates the label-switching capabilities of ATM with the packet orientation of IP. IT skills researcher Foote Partners listed ATM in its IT Skills and Certification Pay Index as a non-certified IT skill that has decreased in value in the last six month of 2008.
2: Novell NetWare
Novell’s network operating system was the de facto standard for LANs in the 1990s, running on more than 70% of enterprise networks. But Novell failed to compete with the marketing might of Microsoft. Novell tried to put up a good fight by acquiring WordPerfect to compete with Windows Office, but that move failed to ignite the market, and Novell eventually sold WordPerfect to Corel in 1996. Novell certifications, such as Certified Novell Engineer, Master Certified Novell Engineer, Certified Novell Certified Directory Engineer, and Novell Administrator, were once hot in the industry. But now, they are featured in Foote Partners’ list of skills that decreased in value in 2008. Hiring managers want Windows Server and Linux skills instead.
3: Visual J++
Skills pay for Microsoft’s version of Java declined 37.5% last year, according to the Foote Partners’ study. The life of J++, which is available with Microsoft Visual Studio 6.0, was not a smooth one. Although Sun Microsystems licensed Java to Microsoft to develop J++, Microsoft failed to implement some features of the official Java standard while implementing other extensions of its own. Sun sued Microsoft for licensing violations in a legal wrangle that lasted three years. Microsoft eventually replaced J++ with Microsoft .NET.
4: Wireless Application Protocol
Yes, people were able to browse the Internet in the late 90s before Apple’s iPhone. Web site operators would rewrite their content to the WAP’s Wireless Markup Language, enabling users to access Web services such as email, stock results and news headlines using their cell phones and PDAs. WAP was not well received at the beginning because WAP sites were slow and lacked the richness of the Web. WAP has also seen different levels of uptake worldwide because of the different wireless regulations and standards around the world. WAP has since evolved and is a feature of Multimedia Messaging Service, but there is now a new generation of competing mobile Web browsers, including Opera Mobile and the iPhone’s Safari browser.
5: ColdFusion
ColdFusion users rave that this Web programming language is easy to use and quick to jump into, but as many other independent software tools have experienced, it’s hard to compete with products backed by expensive marketing campaigns from Microsoft and others. The language was originally released in 1995 by Allaire, which was acquired by Macromedia (which itself was purchased by Adobe). Today, it is superseded by Microsoft .NET, Java, PHP, and the language of the moment: open source Ruby on Rails. A quick search of the Indeed.com job aggregator site returned 11,045 jobs seeking PHP skills, compared to 2,027 CF jobs. Even Ruby on Rails, which is a much newer technology - and which received a major boost when Apple packaged it with OS X v10.5 in 2007 — returned 1,550 jobs openings on Indeed.com.
6: RAD/extreme programming
Back in the late 90s and early 2000s, the rapid application development and extreme programming development philosophies resulted in quicker and more flexible programming that embraced the ever-changing needs of customers during the development process. In XP, developers adapted to changing requirements at any point during the project life rather than attempting to define all requirements at the beginning. In RAD, developers embraced interactive use of structured techniques and prototyping to define users’ requirements. The result was accelerated software development. Although the skills were consistently the highest paying in Foote Partners survey since 1999, they began to lose ground in 2003 due to the proliferation of offshore outsourcing of applications development.
7: Siebel
Siebel is one skill that makes a recurring appearance in the Foote Partners’ list of skills that have lost their luster. Siebel was synonymous with customer relationship management in the late 90s and early 2000s, and the company dominated the market with a 45% share in 2002. Founded by Thomas Siebel, a former Oracle executive with no love lost for his past employer, Siebel competed aggressively with Oracle until 2006 when it was ultimately acquired by the database giant. Siebel’s complex and expensive CRM software required experts to install and manage. That model lost out to the new breed of software-as-a-service (SaaS) packages from companies such as Salesforce.com, which deliver comparable software over the Web. According to the ITJobsWatch.com, Siebel experts command an average salary of GBP52,684 ($78,564), but that’s a slide from GBP55,122 a year ago. Siebel is ranked 319 in the job research site’s list of jobs in demand, compared to 310 in 2008.
8: SNA
The introduction of IP and other Internet networking technologies into enterprises in the 1990s signaled the demise of IBM’s proprietary Systems Network Architecture. According to Wikipedia, the protocol is still used extensively in banks and other financial transaction networks and so SNA skills continue to appear in job ads. But permanent positions seeking SNA skills are few and far between. ITJobsWatch.com noted that there were three opening for permanent jobs between February and April, compared to 43 during the same period last year. Meanwhile, companies such as HP offer consultants with experience in SNA and other legacy skills, such as OpenVMS and Tru64 UNIX for short-term assignments.
9: HTML
We’re not suggesting the Internet is dead, but with the proliferation of easy-to-use WYSIWYG HTML editors enabling non-techies to set up blogs and Web pages, Web site development is no longer a black art. Sure, there’s still a need for professional Web developers, but a good grasp of HTML isn’t the only skill required of a Web developer. Professional developers often have expertise in Java, AJAX, C++, and .NET, among other programming languages. HTML as a skill lost more than 40% of its value between 2001 and 2003, according to Foote Partners.
10: COBOL
Is it dead or alive? This 40-year-old programming language often appears in lists of dying IT skills. But it also appears in as many articles about organizations with legacy applications written in COBOL that are having a hard time finding workers with COBOL skills. IBM cites statistics that 70% of the world’s business data is still being processed by COBOL applications. But how many of these applications will remain in COBOL for the long term? Even IBM is pushing its customers to “build bridges” and use service-oriented architecture to “transform legacy applications and make them part of a fast and flexible IT architecture.” About the author
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Linda Leung is a senior IT journalist with 20 years’ experience editing and writing news and features for online and print. She has extensive experience creating and launching news Web sites, including most recently, independent communities for customers of Cisco Systems and Microsoft.
LOL - Fortran was the first thing that sprang to my mind, too. That was my first language...which I suppose qualifies me as a dinosaur.
Keep your soldering iron hot for tubes, though - they still rule the audio roost. :-)
I know COBOL. Give me money and I’ll update your stuff.
My wife has been employed as a COBOL programmer for almost 30 years now and she’s almost never been out of work. She will laugh when I show her this article. For the past 10 years, anybody under 30 will ask “What’s that” when she tells them what she does for a living.
Let me guess - VAX 11/780.
snip “ I came across your resume, and would like to check your availability and interest for the following opportunity.
Position Title : Sr. Application Developer
Location : New Hudson , MI “ snip
This old COBOL/DB2 guy who refuses to retire receives emails like the above all the time. My only resume on the internet is my FR homepage. If you are not receiving these emails, you need to learn the skill of how to market your self. Both where I’m at now, and where I have contacts in Chicagoland Fortune 100, there are thousands of new COBOL programs being written every year. Over 500 COBOL Stored Procedures where I’m at. And that doesnt include maintenance of the millions of lines of existing code.
Most job openings I receive are from Chicagoland (because I’m known there) and the VA to Az sourthern L where I’m not known. But MN and KS are also seen. I never see any for me from the west coast or NE.
This is the first in a few weeks from Michigan. I checked and they first looked in Michigan and couldn’t find anyone willing and able to work. Last year I probably averaged over 1 a week from Michigan.
Jobs are out there, even in Michigan. The crisis is not really that big of a crisis. But knowing how to find the jobs, and how to market yourself is key.
My first language was SPS and then Autocoder for the first IBM computer, the 1401’s. Yah back in the 60’s. Last 17 years before I retired was COBOL. Great language. Co. DMV wanted a GUI interface and started a conversion process to get off COBOL. 1st attempt failed and have no idea if they ever got it converted.
I hung around for a while and could see it was headed for disaster so I decided to retire. COBOL rocks.
Hey I am expert in Java/J2EE, Database Administration, and pretty good with Oracle too. EJB3, hibernate and a bunch of other stuff. I’m only 61 and available for work in a smoking environment.
Can’t disagree with you, I work at an XP (Agile) shop with elements of Scrum.
I work in a totally devoted Scrum organization. Two week sprints. It's a pressure cooker.
Dude, it’s all hollow state electronics....
Does this mean my X.25 is still in demand?
Every single one of them. Until the bean counters pony up the dinero to migrate them to one of the newer languages.
If it works, don't fix it. And some COBOL apps, creaky and ancient as they are, have had almost half a century to get the bugs out.
What's the advantage to converting them anyway? It's no easier to find Java programmers than it is to find COBOL coders.
Promal was actually a pretty darned nice language in its day.
Wow I’ve been in QA for 14 years and never met one single QA engineer that is as you describe. We know we’re not programmers, that’s why we work shorter hours, and every knows it’s marketing’s fault for giving us an idiot deadline.
On the other hand there are many terrible programmers out there that insist every error found is a “user error” because their code is so great. These guys force a combative relationship with QA, and their code always sucks rocks.
Pull up a lily pad, Dino. Let's pop a few brews and talk about the good ole' days.
Hey, me too! Did you do CICS programming? I loved it. I bet there’s lots of it still around. I could make CICS and COBOL sit up and beg! These days I work for Oracle writing design documents, and young guys and gals in India turn it into some kind of code. I miss knowing all the tech stuff.
I hate agile. User stories are greasy kids stuff, horribly insulting. Not to mention that you can’t get any real work done in 2 and 3 week sprints. And every half dozen sprints we etch-a-sketch shake the whole damn thing. We do an amazing amount of work to accomplish absolutely nothing.
Now I shall leverage my mad BASICA skillz to world domination! BOW DOWN TO THE GOTO STATEMENT!!
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