Posted on 11/02/2009 6:32:52 AM PST by Maceman
Monday, November 02, 2009
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13 (see trends).
Following release of the House health care plan by Speaker Nancy Pelosi, 42% of voters now support the Congressional effort while 54% are opposed.
In October, 37.8% of American adults considered themselves to be Democrats while 31.9% are Republicans. The number of Democrats has been inching up steadily since July.
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook.
Overall, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. It’s sometimes easy to get caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations of the tracking poll and miss the longer-term trend. Rasmussen Reports also compiles the data on a month-by-month basis which shows that the President’s ratings slipped a bit in October after stabilizing in September.
Check out our review of last week’s key polls to see “What They Told Us.” Election Day is Tuesday and Republicans are likely to win back the Governor’s mansion in Virginia. The race in New Jersey is too close to call.
“All the Oboma bumper stickers are GONE! No one will admit they voted for him. It would be nice if they came out to correct their error.”
I use stories my son tells me as a barometer. My son is 26 and conservative. He has a friend who has done very well in his own business. My son’s friend is a business owner, and a gun enthusiast, yet somehow he decided he loves Obama. This friend of my son is now struggling in his business, but he believes the Obama line that it’s all Bush’s fault. My son’s friend, with his house up for sale, is still an Obama supporter.
My son says, in general, most of his Obama supporting friends are still in Obama’s camp.
WOW!!! Thanx 4 the post! The beginning of the end???? One can only hope...can’t WAIT to vote tomorrow...
Many polling outfits just poll “adults.”
Some poll “registered voters.”
Some poll “likely voters.”
Rasmussen is indeed an outlier, but it is important to note that presidential approval polls have no “market test,” unlike election polls. There is no way to determine whether they are right or wrong, in contrast to election polls that ultimately give way to elections.
As such, the pollsters have no incentive to be objective or disinterested.
Rasmussen stands above, because i) his polling methodology is uber consistent across time, ii) he samples repeatedly, so any aberrations are short-lived, and iii) whatever biases he has are washed out by trends. The last part is especially important. Let’s suppose he oversamples a particular constituency. Fine. But he does that every day. As such, the time trends are relatively free of any bias; and the trends are not in his favor.
Approval polling, I believe, also differs from election polling in several other important regards. Suppose (counterfactually) that I am a 2008 Obama voter. I may disapprove down the line on issue after issue with what he is tring to do, but I may consider it important to stay loyal for as long as I can. Even as a conservative, I regret that we show on this board such glee at his failures, because it just isn’t good for our country to have an empty suit in the White House. The US quickly becomes a laughingstock and door mat. I’m not saying that I favor any of his proposals, but I am saying that the Putins and Ahmadinjads and Bin Ladens of the world prey upon his weakness — to the detriment of everyone around the world.
I guess my bottom line point is that I think Rasmussen is likely portraying a very accurate picture; and while I won’t allow myself to get my hopes up in NJ because Dems always seem to pull these elections out ... dang, the numbers just look really, really bad from my vantage point for Corzine.
Obama would not put himself at risk in NJ if he did not think his team was a significant favorite; nor would he need to campaign there heavily if the race was a lock. My guess is that last week Obama’s advisors must have thought that there was a 70% or better chance of a Corzine victory, and that Obama could significantly increase that number.
To my way of thinking, his advisors were clearly wrong. I give Corzine maybe, maybe a 50% chance. If I were a betting man, I’d wager on Christie.
Ras was at 50 % until recently , same place as several others. The others will be here in a week or 2. Theyre still in spin mode, hoping this wont last.
WHile this is good, they DO NOT CARE. They know that this is likely their one and only chance to fundamentally remake America as a Socialist nation. They will slam this through and won't care about the consequences and the nation as we know it will be over. That is their goal.
The trend is definitely not odumbos friend lol lol
The more they try and cram up the behind this odious Deathcare Government hijack of peoples Healthcare, the more they tank.
>> Has he ever had a work ethic??? His background doesn’t show any.
heh heh... just for fun, google “obama work ethic”. You’re not the ONLY one who has had that question.
As far as I can tell, the answer is, “NO”.
I agree that 0bama’s young supporters are still behind him and still following along with the blame Bush game. They are still patting themselves on the back for electing the first african american and believe that their generation is the most significant in history for delivering the 0ne to the world.
He’s definitely back on his downward spiral. Then he goes on Letterman and Oprah and The View etc and brings it up. Or he manufactures a crisis. The current one is the SWine flu.
I see him freefalling.
Next week or the week after he’ll announce the Afghan pull out plan.
You’ll see an upward tick... and then come Christmas he’s down again.
Rasmussen is LIKELY voters.
Now that’s what I’m takin bout.......
California they are just going to take 10% out of people’s paychecks?!?!
This is what liberalism, open-borders, unions, Democrats and corruption has wrought. Same thing in Michigan. There is no constitutional right to provide everything with a home.
When you have Maxine Waters, Frank, Dodd, Charlie Rangel, Meek and the Congressional Black Caucas running the banking system then you have no economy, no financial system or no country.
“I can’t wait until the 0 is at -20.”
There will be a time when the line no longer falls but is straight. This will be due to the 1/3 of electorate who are die-hard supporters(blacks or libs) or who pay no attention to politics and think Obama “is cool”.
The MSM will declare this a victory as the trend is arrested.
I have three in their twenties and they tell me the same thing about their friends who supported the boy-king. Either it's all Bush's fault or the evil Republicans are stopping him from making it a perfect world.
We need to try to get Rush, Hannity, Savage, Beck and others to try to help Harner in California.
The state of CA is taking 10% out of people’s paycheck to pay for liberalism and balance the budget? Almost anyone in CA with an IQ over 20 should be outraged. Harner’s opponent Giramendi is part of thet TOTALLY corrupt Calif Democrat Party. I think CA is a huge opportunity. Does CA want to become Michigan?
I don’t know, best. I really hope and pray the 0 tanks even more as people’s eyes are opened. The latest from his “preacher” ought to help. But yes, I know there are a lot that truly do want this country to fail and will continue to enable the Marxist.
Living in mom and dad's basement, mowing the lawn and taking out the trash may get old after a year or so.
Or maybe not.
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