Everyone has thier guardian angel ... In this case ACORN watches over him and will shoot the rope ...
Posted on 11/02/2009 12:02:00 PM PST by freespirited
I've been watching the numbers change at Intrade for the last few days. IIRC, Corzine was at 66 last Friday. Today he's at 45, which I guess translates to more likely to lose than win.
Hoffman's numbers took a dive after the Dede endorsement of Owens, but are now back in the healthy range. Last price 66.
Bob McDonnell has been in the high 90s throughout.
who cares... Intrade just follows the polls, nothing more.
I’m crossing my fingers hard for Christie, but to be honest, I’m skeptical. From what I’m hearing, the ACORN scum is already there in force. I expect a mass of illegal voters to flood in from Philly and NYC, so he has his work cut out for him.
The guy in charge of distributing the crystal meth has already been arrested.
Funny, sad and TRUE!
Exactly, I wouldn’t trust any election right now.
I am sure the Baton weilding black panthers shouting that if you don’t support corzine you must be a racist that hates being ruled by the Black man in the White House, will continue to be overlooked by the DOJ....
What has happened to this country... scary indeed.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus
Huh. If that's what they were giving out instead of walking-around money, Christie might have this sewn up.
“who cares... Intrade just follows the polls, nothing more.”
Wrong.
That’s just gambler’s talk. Nice to hear but gamblers talk nonetheless.
"Wrong."
Intrade is at least as accurate as many of the MSM polls. My best guess is that Corzine's internal polling is showing the same things we've been seeing in some of the public polling.
If Corzine loses, no doubt Obama will give him a job in his administration.
No doubt about it.
I have also been thinking that Scozzafava will join the admin. She is going to need to get out of Dodge, if you catch my drift.
There's a lot of academic (and not-quite-academic) literature on prediction markets. Here's a link to one interesting article:
A typical poll question might be: “Who do you intend to vote for in the coming election?”. A prediction market would ask: “Who do you think will win the election?”.
To answer the prediction-market question; one has to consider: the relative wisdom or madness of the crowd; trends; the subjective probabilities of future events upending or reinforcing the trend; the relative likelihood of voters for each faction to actually vote; etc.
I have the same worry. I believe Christie will win with a legitimate vote but no one can underestimate the potential for fraud when the Dims are involved. Thus I was glad to hear Christie today on Hannity radio state he has 300 volunteer lawyers ready to go into action and monitor the election. Still put nothing past the Dims.
A rather sad commentary of the state of our politics, I think, when Dim voter chicanery is assumed and expected. Perhap Christie should ask Mr Peanut (Brain) to come up from GA and monitor the behavior of his own party colleagues.
John Fund on Beck-TV mentioned MASSIVE absentee voter ballots in NJ. ACORN/SEIU is in the building....
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