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Corzine Dropping Like a Rock at Intrade
Intrade ^
| 11/02/09
| Freespirited
Posted on 11/02/2009 12:02:00 PM PST by freespirited
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To: freespirited
who cares... Intrade just follows the polls, nothing more.
2
posted on
11/02/2009 12:03:39 PM PST
by
Chet 99
To: freespirited
I’m crossing my fingers hard for Christie, but to be honest, I’m skeptical. From what I’m hearing, the ACORN scum is already there in force. I expect a mass of illegal voters to flood in from Philly and NYC, so he has his work cut out for him.
3
posted on
11/02/2009 12:04:44 PM PST
by
jpl
To: jpl
The guy in charge of distributing the crystal meth has already been arrested.
4
posted on
11/02/2009 12:06:34 PM PST
by
Chet 99
To: Chet 99
The guy in charge of distributing the crystal meth has already been arrested. Funny, sad and TRUE!
5
posted on
11/02/2009 12:07:41 PM PST
by
pburgh01
To: jpl
Exactly, I wouldn’t trust any election right now.
6
posted on
11/02/2009 12:09:47 PM PST
by
tiki
(True Christians will not deliberately slander or misrepresent others or their beliefs)
To: tiki
Everyone has thier guardian angel ... In this case ACORN watches over him and will shoot the rope ...
7
posted on
11/02/2009 12:13:48 PM PST
by
Scythian
To: Chet 99
I am sure the Baton weilding black panthers shouting that if you don’t support corzine you must be a racist that hates being ruled by the Black man in the White House, will continue to be overlooked by the DOJ....
What has happened to this country... scary indeed.
8
posted on
11/02/2009 12:20:34 PM PST
by
Typical_Whitey
(I will not be silenced so I guess I will see you in the gulag.)
To: Typical_Whitey
Looks like the markets are saying "no" to Corzine. We'll see if NJ voters agree. A GOP sweep Tuesday could help to derail the Obamacare juggernaut. Keep your fingers crossed.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus
9
posted on
11/02/2009 12:29:10 PM PST
by
goldstategop
(In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
To: Chet 99
The guy in charge of distributing the crystal meth has already been arrested. Huh. If that's what they were giving out instead of walking-around money, Christie might have this sewn up.
10
posted on
11/02/2009 12:30:46 PM PST
by
nina0113
To: Chet 99
“who cares... Intrade just follows the polls, nothing more.”
Wrong.
To: freespirited
That’s just gambler’s talk. Nice to hear but gamblers talk nonetheless.
12
posted on
11/02/2009 12:47:44 PM PST
by
jmaroneps37
(Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
who cares... Intrade just follows the polls, nothing more."Wrong."
Intrade is at least as accurate as many of the MSM polls. My best guess is that Corzine's internal polling is showing the same things we've been seeing in some of the public polling.
13
posted on
11/02/2009 1:20:47 PM PST
by
Sooth2222
("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
To: freespirited
If Corzine loses, no doubt Obama will give him a job in his administration.
14
posted on
11/02/2009 1:22:37 PM PST
by
mass55th
(Courage is being scared to death - but saddling up anyway...John Wayne)
To: mass55th
"If Corzine loses, no doubt Obama will give him a job in his administration."
Then we'll be rid of him for good in 3 years.
15
posted on
11/02/2009 1:31:59 PM PST
by
DRey
To: mass55th
If Corzine loses, no doubt Obama will give him a job in his administration. No doubt about it.
I have also been thinking that Scozzafava will join the admin. She is going to need to get out of Dodge, if you catch my drift.
16
posted on
11/02/2009 1:40:41 PM PST
by
freespirited
(Liberals are only liberal about sex & drugs. Otherwise, they want to control your life. --DHorowitz)
To: Sooth2222; Chet 99
I agree. Prediction markets (of which, Intrade is an example) digest all available information — not just the (often subtly biased) poll numbers. Players make money by getting out ahead of poll results. The market also factors in trends, and events that take place after the most recent polls.
There's a lot of academic (and not-quite-academic) literature on prediction markets. Here's a link to one interesting article:
http://www.newsfutures.com/pdf/Does_money_matter.pdf
To: Sooth2222; Chet 99
I forgot to mention in #17 that prediction markets answer a very different question than polls do.
A typical poll question might be: “Who do you intend to vote for in the coming election?”. A prediction market would ask: “Who do you think will win the election?”.
To answer the prediction-market question; one has to consider: the relative wisdom or madness of the crowd; trends; the subjective probabilities of future events upending or reinforcing the trend; the relative likelihood of voters for each faction to actually vote; etc.
To: jpl
Im crossing my fingers hard for Christie, but to be honest, Im skeptical. From what Im hearing, the ACORN scum is already there in force. I expect a mass of illegal voters to flood in from Philly and NYC, so he has his work cut out for him.I have the same worry. I believe Christie will win with a legitimate vote but no one can underestimate the potential for fraud when the Dims are involved. Thus I was glad to hear Christie today on Hannity radio state he has 300 volunteer lawyers ready to go into action and monitor the election. Still put nothing past the Dims.
A rather sad commentary of the state of our politics, I think, when Dim voter chicanery is assumed and expected. Perhap Christie should ask Mr Peanut (Brain) to come up from GA and monitor the behavior of his own party colleagues.
19
posted on
11/02/2009 2:58:51 PM PST
by
Robwin
(q)
To: Robwin
John Fund on Beck-TV mentioned MASSIVE absentee voter ballots in NJ. ACORN/SEIU is in the building....
20
posted on
11/02/2009 3:08:11 PM PST
by
newfreep
("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." - P.J. O'Rourke)
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