[org.whodat]

When I look at a poll I look at where independents are aligned - and at 29% they are aligned almost identically with the electorate at large (28%). She has a big problem.

Understatement, I would say it is a problem of tidal wave proportions. And that's with out the 44% of republicans also non supporters.

[Norman Bates]

Yep. As I said in subsequent posts, a “tidal wave” is what she would need to win. If 2012 turns out to be a nailbiter (like say 2004) with Obama hovering in the 45-50% approve range I think there is no way she wins. Obama’s approval has to be way down for her to win (I’d wager at least under 40%).

Personally I’m not comfortable having criticized Senator Obama for a dearth of experience and then nominate one who hasn’t much if any more (and having resigned too). Consistency matters.

[Norman Bates]

“And that’s with out the 44% of republicans also non supporters.”

Romney and especially Huckabee (with a whopping 10 years as governor) will play the quitter/inexperienced card on her. Her biggest problem will be Huckabee with whom she is essentially competing for the same voters.