Name a single earthquake or natural disaster of any consequence in Germany from 1933 to 1945.
Sometime in the next 30 years; could be five minutes from now, could be two decades from now. a 6.7-7.2 magnitude quake is going to occur on the Hayward Fault along the Eastern San Franscisco Bay. It's going to do several hundred billion dollars of damage, and, depending on the time of day it occurs, kill hundreds to thousands of people.
It will instantly be proclaimed by many (with great relish) to be a judgement against all the homosexuals in the Bay area, or the radical leftists of Berkeley, or the fact abortion is legal in the US, etc. etc.
The reality, of course, is that it was a result of the slow movement of the Pacific Plate northwest along the margin of the North American Plate; there was the historical Hayward quake of 1868, and paleoseismic trenching studies have found a repeated pattern of such quakes every 100-200 years or so going back thousands of years, to when there was only a smattering of Indians in the area for the quake to administer a "judgment" to.
We are getting closer to the year when your learned assumptions are going to have to be adjusted wholesale.
Some think it will be this year. I don’t know.
As you know, timing on such matters has been horribly wrong in the past.
I do personally believe, however, with my usual poor record on timing, too . . . that
we are going to start seeing 7.X and above quakes happen closer and closer together all around the planet. And, that California is going to be devastated with at least a very big one probably within the next 8-12 months.
We shall see. I wish we were speculating about something much less deadly.
Can someone with some influence as the Admin Mods to put this back on breaking news or the category just below as I think there are a lot of people who would like to follow this story. There are a lot of missionaries, and medical people who work there, and now a lot of volunteers going there to do good works. We, and new people signing on, should be able to follow this from the right hand column listing.