Posted on 01/18/2010 12:49:41 PM PST by Maelstorm
I don't trust polls either, but for fundamental reasons. A strategy as you suggest can work both ways. Sure, those supporting the surging candidate can take it their vote won't be needed. But those supporting the opposition candidate can also take it their vote would be wasted when the percentages get blown way out of proportion.
I’ll be praying all day!
I STILL cannot believe they swept that march under the rug.
I was there, and then to see there was almost no mention of it on the news was staggering.
++++++++++++++
Staggering, sickening, shocking, breathtaking - and yet, somehow, oh so predictable for the socialist RAT media that has pretended to be truth tellers for the past 75 years. What happened that day and in the week after should remove all doubt about who these so called 4th Estate people really are (including how Beck talks about where are Time’s and Life’s pictures of Tea Parties for 2009 - ‘how can they tell the story of 2009 without one picture of YOU?’)
Polls opened at 7 they all close at 8PM. If you are in line at 8 PM you will be allowed to vote.
THE SHENNANIGANS HAVE BEGUN!!!
Over night, in my Northern Middlesex County town of 6,000 a Republican strong hold, ALL SCOTT BROWN SIGNS STOLEN
We voted at 9:00 this morning, there are 3 precincts in town. We were number 277 and 278.
Weather: Light snow, wind calm, 26 degrees. Prediction for snow to increase
Weather at 2:15 PM in Northern Middlesex County
Light snow, wind calm, temp 30 degrees.
Primary roads and highways wet
secondary roads in tough shape.
Just came back from taking Mother In Law to polls in Westford. She said 776 had voted.
“I don’t want to see you bald, “
Like I told ya before, there was no fear of me getting bald.
My hair is very safe thank you.
My prediction was based on cold hard facts and clear headed analysis, and I was exactly right.
You were wrong, and I was right.
Uh, the final result was 52-47.
Now, enjoy the fallout! :-)
Anybody notice the boston numbers? brown was at something around 45k when Coakley was at around 92k. Brown ended with around 46,000 while Coakley ended with over 105,000.
‘Sup with that? Coakley gets another 12k while Brown gets a grand? Something is not right there.
Sure, he won, but some precinct results sure look “fishy”.
Turns out voting models for special elections were no more different than voting models for any other elections.
“I don’t want to see you bald, man, “
Like I said before, I wasn't gping to. I don’t make bets lightly.
“So you are saying a 15 point lead is beyond the margin of ACORN?
I hope so.
The dead in MA won’t sleep much tomorrow. They will be busy going to polling places.”
You were wrong, and I was right.
“You were wrong, and I was right.”
You are the man; take a bow!!!
It just that means Brown would have won by 20 points in a fair election.
As I predicted, Peabody, Gardner and Fitchburg were out of step with the state average. The margins in those towns in 2010 were much greater than the margin statewide. The burbs broke hard for Scott, whereas the West and the cities remained almost as Blue as ever.
You are still reaching.
PPP was exactly on spot(a +5 win for Scott Brown win), and they use the same computerized automated calling as Rasmussen does.
Suffolk University (+4) was only off by 1%.
ARG(+3), was off by only 2% as well.
Their models worked just fine.
” It could have been a squeaker”
It wasn't.
Scott Brown won by 5%, which is not much different from the margin that 0bama won over McCain, and 0bama’s win was being called a “landslide”. And this was a Republican in the bluest of blue states.
“The end game was huge. “
Democrats had a far bigger ground game and "get out the vote" operation (SEIU etc) than Republicans do in Massachusetts.. It’s not even close.
“The burbs broke hard for Scott, whereas the West and the cities remained almost as Blue as ever.”
Scott Brown even won Hyannis Port, Ted Kennedy's home town, Ted Kennedy’s own backyard.
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