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First Look At Massachusetts Election Night Poll Data
Rasmussen Report ^ | 1-19-10

Posted on 01/19/2010 5:11:59 PM PST by icwhatudo

Rasmussen Reports has conducted an Election Night survey of 1,000 voters in the Massachusetts special election for U.S. Senate. Data will be released on this page throughout the evening.

Polls closed in Massachusetts at 8:00 p.m. Eastern in the race between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Scott Brown.

Preliminary results include:

* Among those who decided how they would vote in the past few days, Coakley has a slight edge, 47% to 41%.

* Coakley also has a big advantage among those who made up their mind more than a month ago.

* Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters for Brown said they were voting for him rather than against Coakley.

* Sixty-six percent (66%) of Coakley voters said they were voting for her rather than against Brown.

* 22% of Democrats voted for Brown. That is generally consistent with pre-election polling.

More data will be released soon.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: 2010polls; ma2010; rasmussen
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To: icwhatudo

41 posted on 01/19/2010 5:24:42 PM PST by Minnesocold ("In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell)
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To: carton253

Dems will steal it, Rass is just covering for that...


42 posted on 01/19/2010 5:24:44 PM PST by TV Dinners (Hope is not a Strategy)
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To: laconic

bump for later reference


43 posted on 01/19/2010 5:25:35 PM PST by Grunthor (Pete Carrol? He couldn't be worse than Mora.....could he?)
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To: ought-six
“If Brown gets 22% of the Dims he will need to carry 60% of the Independents and 100% of the Republicans to get 51% of the total vote”

It depends on where the votes are coming from, not percentages on raw votes. 22% of democratic votes tells me nothing if I don't know the percentage of democtratic turn out. Same thing for the republicans.

44 posted on 01/19/2010 5:25:54 PM PST by WILLIALAL
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To: icwhatudo

These stats tell us nothing. He needs to give up the goods.


45 posted on 01/19/2010 5:27:32 PM PST by cdchik123
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To: Thickman

Agreed. Most voters made up their minds before this past weekend. The 22% of Dem voters for Brown is the important number. It goes along with the polls going in.


46 posted on 01/19/2010 5:27:47 PM PST by mainepatsfan
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To: Wyatt's Torch

Coakley is ostensibly the incumbant in the race... Incumbants below 50 pct tend to lose


47 posted on 01/19/2010 5:27:49 PM PST by rwilson99
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To: icwhatudo; All

51 brown 48 cokeheaed as per Oreilly just now


48 posted on 01/19/2010 5:28:12 PM PST by ATOMIC_PUNK (Screaming in Agony they ran to the Government But then Realized from whence the Agony came !)
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To: freekitty; nutmeg; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; bitt; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; ExTexasRedhead; ...

Fox just announced 7% of vote counted with Brown ahead 51% to 48%.

There counting Boston first, IMO. Make it look closer than it is.


49 posted on 01/19/2010 5:28:51 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (Never bring a snowball to a gun fight.)
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To: WILLIALAL
It depends on where the votes are coming from, not percentages on raw votes. 22% of democratic votes tells me nothing if I don't know the percentage of democtratic turn out. Same thing for the republicans.

THANK YOU for posting that! Folks, please take a deep breath. It's going to be a bit before a winner is called.

50 posted on 01/19/2010 5:29:25 PM PST by Fury
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To: fluffdaddy
Rasmussen is really starting to annoy me.

He totally caved when the rats hurt his little feelers a few weeks ago.

Who cares what he says NOW when we'll know ourselves in a few hours? I guess he doesn't mind looking like a fool.

51 posted on 01/19/2010 5:29:31 PM PST by truthkeeper ("Why oh why didn't I take the blue pill?")
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To: WILLIALAL

Exactly. Nobody knows where those totals are from.

Best chance we could have asked for. Just be patient and see what happens.


52 posted on 01/19/2010 5:29:44 PM PST by tired_old_conservative
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To: Oceander

What we saw in Florida a few years ago was that a few highly populated democratic strongholds withheld reporting until they knew how many votes they needed to manufacture.


53 posted on 01/19/2010 5:30:45 PM PST by Eagle Eye (The last thing I want to do is hurt you, but it is still on my list.)
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To: icwhatudo

Great website to track the results:

http://www.boston.com/news/special/politics/2010/senate/results.html


54 posted on 01/19/2010 5:30:55 PM PST by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: icwhatudo
Real time city by city results here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_county/MA_US_Senate_0119.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

55 posted on 01/19/2010 5:31:34 PM PST by Republican Extremist
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To: icwhatudo

All I know is... If Brown doesn’t win by at least 5 points - the rats will scurry up what they need to steal it.

Just like they always do.


56 posted on 01/19/2010 5:32:17 PM PST by rock_lobsta (zero... YOU LIE!)
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To: icwhatudo

“* 22% of Democrats voted for Brown. That is generally consistent with pre-election polling. “

If that holds, Brown wins easily. Brown probably needed around 10% of the Dem vote to ensure a win.


57 posted on 01/19/2010 5:33:07 PM PST by coaltrain
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To: Republican Extremist

Bookmark


58 posted on 01/19/2010 5:33:14 PM PST by diji (IF YOU DON'T STAND BEHIND OUR TROOPS, PLEASE, FEEL FREE TO STAND IN FRONT OF THEM !)
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To: Fury

These numbers tell us nothing. They are just a teaser for election night and post election analysis.


59 posted on 01/19/2010 5:34:05 PM PST by WILLIALAL
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To: All

From Jim Geraghty at National Review:

“Obama Towns Are Flipping To Scott Brown. Early Night, Folks.
In 2008, Ashland, Massachusetts went for Obama over McCain, 5,039 votes to 3,181.

Tonight Brown won Ashland 54 percent to 45 percent - 3,467 for Brown while Coakley carried 2,897.

You can call it, folks.”

- see http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YmJlNWE5MTYyYTNmNTRlYWJhNDVkN2U2MWMzODg0NTA=


60 posted on 01/19/2010 5:34:06 PM PST by Fury
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