Posted on 06/14/2010 7:26:14 PM PDT by randita
The latest on South Dakota from Rasmussen:
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey, conducted two nights after the primary, finds Noem attracting 53% of the vote, while Herseth-Sandlin earns just 41%. Just five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate or are undecided. Prior to the primary, the incumbent held a three-point advantage over Noem. In April, Noem trailed by 15 points. It remains to be seen whether the bounce reflects a temporary aberration or signals a lasting change in the race.
Incumbents who poll below 50% are considered potentially vulnerable, and Herseth-Sandlin has been below that mark all year. However, incumbents have many benefits that can help them finish strong in an election season. In 2008, Rasmussen Reports showed two GOP senators, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and Elizabeth Dole of North Carolina, as potentially vulnerable following the selection of their primary opponents. McConnell ended up winning reelection with 53% of the vote, while Dole went down to defeat.
Read about Kristi at Spotlight on the SD-AL Congressional District-Key House Races
More poll news.
The problem is with these stories is some of us do not know who the players are and the story is lacking in detail.
South Dakota House: Primary Victory Bounces Noem (R) Into Lead Over Herseth-Sandlin (D)
This is promising, and surprising, as Herseth Sandlin has been a very cautious and controversy averse politician. IMHO, part of this is a post-primary bounce for Noem, whose victory was something of a surprise.
From your linked website:
“Nonetheless, since narrowly winning a Special Election in 2004 for the seat vacated by Bill Janklow (who resigned after an accident resulting in the death of a motorcyclist), Democrat Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, now in her fourth term, has not been seriously challenged in any of her races. Sandlins grandfather is the late Democratic Gov. Ralph E. Herseth. In the June 8 primary, business woman, rancher, and State Rep. Kristi Noem, who entered the race a mere four months ago, received a majority of the vote in a race which also included Secretary of State Chris Nelson and State Rep. Blake Curd. Noem’s win marks a milestone in SD politics as it will be the first time SD voters will choose between two women to be their U.S. House Representative. “
Come on - You’ve GOT to keep the rest of the nation informed about these of-the-spotlight conservative races, but we don’t who a “Noem” is or why we should support her campaign because the national liberal figureheads at ABCNNBCBS don’t WANT us to know these details. If you don’t give us information, we can’t help.
OK? 8<)
Do you like National Journal’s The Hotline? I ask because every few months, they release a ranking of the top most vulnerable Seante and House seats list. They just did one for the House on June 11. Here’s the link if you’re interested:
http://www.nationaljournal.com/njonline/no_20100610_9296.php
Hmmm. KeyHouseRaces has this one as Leans D. So this poll is a big surprise. Hope it holds.
Visit her website: http://www.kristiforcongress.com/
Maybe a freeper from South Dakota will chime in. SD Rep. Kristi Noem has, more or less, burst on to the scene with this primary win, so no one knows much about her yet except maybe the folks in her state district.
Who knew anything about Sarah Palin when she was Mayor of Wasilla? One of these young, new Republicans who are coming on to the scene just might be the next Republican star.
It’s good enough at this point that she is leading the incumbent Democrat by a large margin. If that continues, she’ll become better known and just might get herself a seat in the House. SD is a “red” state and Republicans should win this at large seat if they’re going to have a shot at taking back the House.
Yes, I have Hot Line as an RSS feed and check it often. I’ll check out that link.
Yet further evidence that conservative women are better looking than liberals. This will require much more research.
Put some little tiny clue as the party affiliations of the folks involved in your summary, and lots more people would read your post.
After all, what’s a “Noem?”
Not many will bother to read 6 or 8 posts down to get a hint as to the subject.
“My, a Democrat with good eyes. Strange.”
Good eyes because she has probably never read a single Democrat-authored bill in her time of “service”... No surprise there.
Good sites for analysis of Noem’s campaign (and South Dakota politics in general):
South Dakota War College: http://dakotawarcollege.com/
South Dakota Politics: http://southdakotapolitics.blogs.com/
No kidding. We know it’s SD and that’s about it. There’s no party ID for either candidate, NOR what office they are running for. Senator ? Governor? Local Dogcatcher? Horrible story.
Exactly right. For some reason it is thought everyone knows the Party affiliation of every elected official as well as anyone running for office.
How much trouble is it to put a D or an R after a name?
Bookmarked. Thanks.
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