Posted on 06/16/2010 6:05:05 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
If the results of a new NPR poll hold, Democrats will not only lose but they will lose big in November. The poll, done jointly by a Democrat and Republican polling firm, surveyed likely voters in 70 House seats both agreed could possibly flip sides. Ten are held by Republicans; sixty are Democrat seats. The survey included 1200 likely voters.
There is only a single Republican (Rep. Michele Bachmann) whose district voted for McCain that is deemed endangered, but given the news in this report she might not have too much to worry about.
These are the main data items drawn from the interviews. The Republicans hold an 8 point generic ballot lead which is well above the tipping point for a complete change in the make up of the next Congress.
In 30 districts where the opponents will be cleanly lined up as pro life versus pro abortion, the pro life candidates hold an overall 48/39 percent lead. This section of the survey actually required respondents to name the candidates which adds still more weight to the finding.
The wrong track/right track numbers should be frightening for Democrats.
Heretofore the bad news was the split was 59/34 which was bad enough for the party in power but this new survey found not only substantially worse numbers at 64/27, but that the numbers are even worse in the 60 most vulnerable Democrat held seats!
Obama’s approval rating in the 60 Democrat districts is only 40%. The approve/disapprove numbers for the Democrats was about even, but in the Republican districts the numbers were a very nice 54/32 approval.
When compared to Democrat likely voters, Republican likely voters led those who said they are “very enthusiastic” about voting by a 53/39 margin.
Good news in next 30 districts
The survey’s data..
(Excerpt) Read more at collinsreport.net ...
I hope these polls don’t make folks complacent. We need to stay alert, and keep working!
God i hope so! I hope that this wave is so big No Dem is safe and we pick up 60 plus house seats 10 or more Senate seats and keep or capture 34 or so Governorships. It is critical on that last piece since it is a redistricting year i hope we hold CA, TX and FL (or retake FL since Crist is a traitor) plus pick up a host of Govs in the midwest like PA, IL, MI, OH and hold MN. Gives a great base to hold or take the majority of house seats in 2012
The GOP needs to employ a 50-state strategy just as Howard Dean’s dems did in 2006.
As far as I am concerned NO SEAT should ever be safe, much less in this election cycle where our representatives have FAILED us ABYSMALLY! Time to fire THEM ALL!
They won’t talk about the “Roe effect”, but it will sink them all the same.
well i do agree with that sentiment
problem is certain communities particularly “blue” urban ones NEVER get rid of their Reps whether they are incompetent, corrupt or worse. Look at Charlie Rangel that guy is a corrupt jerk yet he wins EVERY time. Rs cannot even compete in that district let alone win it. Pelosi is a scuzzbucket but do you really think any R can win San Fran?
Sad but it is reality
Michelle Bachmann’s opponent, Taryl Clark, is a liberal’s liberal. A typical atorney who votes yes on every tax and spend bill before the MN Senate. She was named majority whip by the MN DFL after only one term in the senate. They were building her up to challenge Michelle.
She is not going anywhere, but back to private practice. As for the MN GOP, we will be happy to retire her from the MN Senate too!
Go Michelle!
They won’t talk about the “Roe effect”, but it will sink them all the same.Wonderful irony, isn't it?
Absolutely. While we like to say that we can “see November” from our houses, it’s still a long ways off in political terms, and a lot can happen. The media aren’t going to let their ‘Rat pals go down without a fight. We need good, strong candidates who will be hammering the ‘Rats right up to election day, no slacking off. They have to articulate a message that is not only strongly critical of the ‘Rats, but is affirmative and inspiring for our principles and vision. If we do that, we just might pull it off.
“I hope these polls don’t make folks complacent.”
What I hope is that GOP majorities in Congress actually make a difference. Recent evidence is not encouraging.
I agree fully with the “complacency” comment. That’s a huge concern. But I also get a sense that this election is a little more “informed” and taken more seriously by people. Don’t be surprised if the kenyan finds a way to go the “martial law” route before November.
My concern too. Let’s not have a mind-set that it’s in the bag. We must fight, educate and vote!
“She is not going anywhere, but back to private practice.”
I sure hope you are right. Bachmann is in my top ten as far as leaders go. Keep us non MN residents abreast of developments and how we might help her
If he were halfway competent, this would be a great danger. But this regime is so incompetent that any such attempt on their part would backfire.
I almost hope they try it.
Do not despair. It has happened, a few years back in the Chicago area: don’t remember the sleazebag’s name, but he was caught in some criminal acts and a pubbie beat him by a house to house campaign. Also Cao won in New Orleans just recently. There need to be alternate candidates everywhere. Hillary has shown us that you don’t have to live there or even know where it is. (Oops, I guess that only works for dems.)
I agree entirely. The poll that counts in the one in November.
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