Posted on 07/13/2010 6:29:45 AM PDT by madprof98
I get a kick out of all these pronouncements that Barack Obama is doomed to be a one-term president. In fact, I’d put his odds of re-election at this point at roughly 2-1 in favor, for several reasons.
One is history.
In the second year of his presidency, Obama’s job approval rating is hovering in the high 40s. The most recent Rasmussen numbers have him at 49 percent approval, 50 percent disapproval. Gallup’s numbers are 47/46. Given the troubled economy, those are actually very strong numbers. For example, compare them to Ronald Reagan’s numbers in 1982, which was the Gipper’s second year in the White House at a time of significant if less traumatic economic turmoil.
As Gallup notes:
“The public’s view of the economy remained sour, and the president’s ratings during 1982 stayed concomitantly low, in the 40% range, ending the year at 41%. The 1982 midterm elections were not good ones for Reagan and for the GOP. The Republicans lost about 25 seats in the House.”
Obama’s numbers are considerably stronger than those of Reagan at a comparable time in his presidency. In fact, by the beginning of 1983, Reagan’s job-approval numbers fell to 35 percent, yet as we all know he went on to defeat Walter Mondale in a landslide in 1984, pulling 59 percent of the vote compared to Mondale’s 41 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.ajc.com ...
Question about this map. Back in Reagan’s day the media had the dims in Bolshevik red — as was appropriate. At some point they realized that red = commie and switched the colors.
I’m thinking this is old info on a newer map. Just a bit of trivia.
I agree, this is exactly what will happen. Same as Bubba. The next Republican congress will make Zero look good and he will be re-elected, but with little power to do anything.
Remember how Clinton was forced to sign welfare reform? Barry may well have to roll back some of his disasters, even if in for two terms.
I think we will see a replay of the 1980 Carter re-election campaign.
First a strong primary challenge (can you say HILLARY?), which will leave him so bloody and battered he will stagger into an arse-whoopin’ against the Republican nominee in the fall. Like Pat Caddell on the Friday before Election Day, Bam’s pollsters are going to tell him he will lose, and exactly how badly he is going to get his butt whacked, and we will be treated to a weekend of deer-in-the-headlight footage a la Jimmy Carter.
Nobody wins without the "independents" (formerly known as "swing-voters").
The independents/swings are abandoning him in droves.
Ineligibility is not a complicated concept. It can easily be explained in a 60-second commercial.
just force him to provide eligibility information before being allowed on the state ballot
of course, i know they won’t do this.
this one item alone proves to me we are a lawless country.
we’re not a nation of laws... but a nation run by a set of cute guidelines enforced on those the current political administration does not favor for those that is does.
That's why I, for one, am amazed that Rod Blagoevich is still drawing breath. He knows too much, and is too much of a loose cannon.
Of course, not all of the skeletons have come out of that particular closet, yet.
I would trust Blago before Obamugabe.............
BO? He's equally corrupt, but marginally smarter. Or, at least he has better handlers.
In my husband's office anti-Zero sentiment is something like four-to-one, but the supervisor is a raging 0-bot, and she's given horrible evals to those who have been critical of the One.
Bookman, another Obamaite stuck on stupid.......
Correct, unless the Independent voters,(I am one of those), see a truly Conservative voice rise from the Republican Party and secure the nomination,(Sarah comes to mind as does DeMint, and Bachmann), we can forget a consensus.
“Ineligibility is not a complicated concept. It can easily be explained in a 60-second commercial.”
Where was that commercial in 2008?
“I’d take NIXON at this point.”
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Oh, mercy, Nixon would be whole orders of magnitude better than Obama or Biden either one. Nixon looks like Washington in comparison to either of those clowns and I am NOT a Nixon apologist but you cannot compare a mosquito bite to a rattlesnake bite.
What an idiot liberal. The world is about to undergo a convulsive transformation, and he is talking like everything is going on like it always has. Obama is DESTROYING our Republic. And at some point, he and/or his proxies (Black Panthers, NAACP, illegals) are going to spark a new Civil War. And then Obama getting elected is going to be last thing on this pathetic liberal’s mind; he will be looking for his next meal.
and things is get worse
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Yeah, they is.
The left and MSM continuously assaulted Reagan daily from the point he was elected. I remember the pounding he took and it reflectd in his approval ratings.
However, 85 posts of gratuitous praise and analysis and not one person has mentioned the single most influential reason Reagan won in ‘84.
The attempted assasination in ‘81. After that, Reagan became the teflon man.
Clinton was elected twice without winning fifty percent of the popular vote either time. You can thank the little guy with the jug ears for Clinton. On the other hand Dole was a terrible candidate and even GHW Bush in 1992 didn’t seem to really want to be reelected. Bill Clinton got away with things in both campaigns that never could have been pulled off even eight years before that time. After the 1996 campaign I was dumbfounded at the stupidity of the average American voter.
Most independents I meet (and not JUST in New England) are fiercely and fiscally conservative but when it comes to the social issues... not so much.
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