Skip to comments.Democrats Jump Into Six-Point Lead on Generic Ballot
Posted on 07/20/2010 11:34:27 AM PDT by IbJensen
PRINCETON, NJ -- In the same week the U.S. Senate passed a major financial reform bill touted as reining in Wall Street, Democrats pulled ahead of Republicans, 49% to 43%, in voters' generic ballot preferences for the 2010 congressional elections.
March-July 2010 Trend: Candidate Preferences in 2010 Congressional Elections, Among Registered Voters
The Democrats' six-point advantage in Gallup Daily interviewing from July 12-18 represents the first statistically significant lead for that party's candidates since Gallup began weekly tracking of this measure in March.
"The 51% of Republicans saying they are "very enthusiastic" about voting this fall is up from 40% the week prior, and is the highest since early April -- shortly after passage of healthcare reform."
Movement Seen Among Independents
With Republicans' and Democrats' support for their own party's candidates holding steady in the low 90s this past week, independents are primarily responsible for Democrats' improved positioning. Thirty-nine percent of independents favor the Democratic candidate in their district, up from 34% -- although slightly more, 43%, still favor the Republican.
March-July 2010 Trend: Generic Congressional Ballot Preferences -- Among Registered Independents
March-July 2010 Trend: Registered Voters' Enthusiasm About Voting in 2010
It's possible the increased voter support for Democratic candidates this past week is linked with the Wall Street regulatory reform bill that passed in the U.S. Senate last Thursday, July 15. The financial reform bill is the second-biggest piece of legislation to get through Congress this year, after healthcare reform, and it enjoyed majority support. According to a USA Today/Gallup poll in June, 55% of Americans were in favor of legislation expanding government regulation of financial institutions -- including 72% of Democrats and 56% of independents. Only Republicans were generally opposed.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Every Republican should be tarred and feathered for not explaining to the American public that it was the Democrats' subprime loan scams via Fannie Mae which tanked the US economy. No amount of leveraging or derivatives would have gone bad had not all those securities been stuffed with subprime loan mortgages.
That poll is certainly a way to encourage those first time voters who elected 0bama to show up for a mid-term election between two white guys running for Congress. /sarc
Wow, just in time to get GOP candidates to distance themselves from the Tea Party and go back where they belong, to “working with the other side”!
What an incredible coincidence!!
What a big surprise from the terrorist media.
It could very well be. A lot of Americans hate Wall Street and see it the symbol of American greed. They don’t know what they’re talking about, but see it that way nevertheless. And Obama has been playing up that perception every chance he gets. He continually uses it to divide the country.
No they do not take the lead, not by a longshot. Rass has the pubbies plus 6, and Fox has them plus 4, and both are likely voter polls as opposed to Gallup which is just adults.
Gallup is a garbage poll not supported by other polls.
Meaningless claptrap from Gallup. But watch, the GOP leaders will immediately start trying to be accommodating to Obama. Mark my words.
Gallup does not screen for likely voters until closer to Election Day, but historically, Republicans' turnout advantage in midterm elections changes the Republican-Democrat gap by five percentage points in the GOP's favor. Thus, if these numbers held through Election Day, the two parties would be nearly tied at the ballot box, with possibly a slight advantage for the Democrats.
In other words, this poll is nearly meaningless. Read earlier for the "money quote":
Simultaneous with increased support for Democratic congressional candidates, Gallup polling last week found Republican voters expressing significantly more enthusiasm about voting in the 2010 midterms. The 51% of Republicans saying they are "very enthusiastic" about voting this fall is up from 40% the week prior, and is the highest since early April -- shortly after passage of healthcare reform. Democratic enthusiasm is unchanged, at 28%.
I know things are getting real bad, but are lying liberal, commie, socialist, thieving, pigs just generic now? ;-)
I do not believe this and think Gallup has also sold out to the dem power machine.
The DNC has used Gallup to good effect for more than three decades. Simply put, its material is not worth spit.
And in other news pigs were seen flying over the Wally World parking lot...
I’m trying to remember the last time someone said “Gallup sure called this one right!”
Hate to tell you this, the American people do know about Wall Street and have every right to hate their guts. Government played a role in providing cheap money, but government never told rating agencies to take junk mortgage backed securities and rate them AAA. Gov never told banks to tell borrowers make up their income so they can get larger loans and the banks were never told to make up RICO scores showing these liar borrowers had outstanding credit scores. Gov never told banks to encourage college students to have credit cards when they were still in school nor qualify working poor Americans to have credit cards (something banks never did twenty years ago). Before you rant and rave that I am a Communist Dem stooge, I used to work in a mortgage company when strict practices produced good loans, sound mortgage backed securities one can invest in and a booming economy in housing to boot. That was twenty years ago, today it seems like a different world. By the way investment bankers back then wore pin striped suits and made money slowly, not like the cowboy computer geeks traders who took over and manipulated/leveraged paper with computer models to boom or bust investments. Free market is about capitalism based on discipline and long term responsibilities/obligations. Today it is capitalism at worst described by Karl Marx where profit comes before country, and fellow citizens. Pump, make money before the bust and leave the other fellow (taxpayers and future generations) holding the bag.
The Oct 1994 Gallup generic ballot had the Parties tied at 46%. Today Rasmussen has the spread at GOP + 9.
random sample of 1,535 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, selected using random-digit-dial sampling.
This sounds more like a push poll to help the democrats feel better about themselves, kinda like a self-esteem class.
Republicans don’t talk. If they win anything it is purely by the accident of a Socialist/racist train wreck. Pitiful.
Also, the defending BP mess and blocking unemployment insurance extension, while passing the quota loan “financial regulation” has hurt Republicans. If they are going to deny unemployment extensions during this depression, they had best make loud and clear what they are doing and why. Never defend a corporate ass in the middle of a trainwreck they caused. Why aren’t Republicans on the coast with the people down there reassuring them they will get the help they need? And never let Twinkle Toes Lindsay, Scott Brown and the Biddies from Maine pass Obama’s extreme “change.” They need to block Kagan as unqualified and out of touch and get off their knees.
You’re right on all counts!
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