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China's Naval Game-Changer
IBD Editorials ^ | August 6, 2010 | Investors Business Daily staff

Posted on 08/06/2010 4:12:06 PM PDT by Kaslin

Military Superiority: By the end of the year, China could deploy an anti-ship missile capable of hitting U.S. aircraft carriers at long range. The naval dominance that American foreign policy depended on may be at an end.

When the naval planners of Imperial Japan were laying out the attack on Pearl Harbor, the major question on their mind was — where are the American carriers? In the end, their failure to find them doomed Imperial Japan to defeat.

Since World War II, every president alerted to a crisis has asked the same question — where are the carriers? These floating air bases the size of small towns were visible signs of American power, that we meant business and were able to project that power deep within a potential enemy's territory.

Now our naval supremacy is being challenged with the final testing and imminent deployment of the Dong Feng 21D, a land-based ballistic missile capable of traveling 10 times the speed of sound and hitting fast-moving and heavily-defended American carriers at a distance of 900 miles with deadly hull-penetrating warheads.

China is building its own carrier fleet, but it does not have to match us ship-for-ship with such a long-range carrier-killer. "China can reach out and hit the U.S. well before the U.S. can get close enough to the mainland to hit back," said Toshi Yoshihara, an associate professor at the U.S. Naval War College.

Such carrier-killers "could have an enduring psychological effect on U.S. policymakers," Yoshihara told the Associated Press. "It underscores more broadly that the U.S. Navy no longer rules the waves as it has since the end of World War II."

(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News
KEYWORDS: aircraftcarriers; antishipmissiles; asbm; carrierkiller; carriers; china; defense; defenseless; dongfeng; dongfeng21d; gamechanger; globalism; military; nationaldefense; nationalsecurity; navair; naval; navy; obama; obamalateral; peacethroughstrength; pearlharbor; surrender; surrendercrats; usnavy
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To: neodad; LonePalm; Enchante
They defined the Dong Feng 21D as a ballistic missile. That would, to me anyway, indicate a high trajectory and therefore easier for Aegis to handle?

Like I said, this isn't my thing.

21 posted on 08/07/2010 1:30:42 PM PDT by magslinger (DISCLAIMER: No liberals were harmed in the making of this post. I'm sorry and will try harder.)
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To: LonePalm; neodad

Thanks for your responses.


22 posted on 08/07/2010 1:32:22 PM PDT by magslinger (DISCLAIMER: No liberals were harmed in the making of this post. I'm sorry and will try harder.)
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To: magslinger

One reason, I believe that we made such a demonstration shooting down the dead satellite by the Lake Erie


23 posted on 08/07/2010 2:12:13 PM PDT by neodad (USS Vincennes (CG 49) "Freedom's Fortress")
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To: neodad; magslinger; Kaslin
China and the press have been hyping this missile for months...and China for 3-4 years now.

There has not been one operational test...not one.

It presumes a long range recon, tracking, and ID capability, and a better ECM capability than the Chinese are known to possess.

In addition, it is supposedly a mid-range ballistic missile. Will not do much manuevering in terminal phase, and will not have much time to do it. The carrier will have moved good distances by the time the mmissile arrives.

Finally, as a ballistic misile it strikes at a part of the AEGI system that has been testd very successfully. We now have the BMD defense capability with AEGIS. They are striking at a strength of the most effective defensive system in the world.

I believe this missile is hype and is a Sung Tsu attempt by the Chinese to create a threat out of nothing while they are probably working on some other asymetrical weapon in the mean time.

Make no mistake, the Chinese Navy (PLAN) is developing rapidly into a threat...but this supposed system has never been seen...only talked about.

24 posted on 08/07/2010 3:14:10 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: magslinger
do these missiles have some special evasive or ECM capabilities to enable them to penetrate AEGIS?

A friend of ours used to train Navy officers on the Aegis system. According to what he had said to me a couple of years ago this is not really that new and our Navy has been planning on it for a while.

Apparently our intell and development is further ahead than we might think.
25 posted on 08/07/2010 4:17:35 PM PDT by JSteff ((((It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.))))
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To: Trueblackman
"bombers like the A-6"

The Israeli's have done wonders with the A-6 and all the variants they came up with on that air frame.

Oh and the F-14 was so far ahead of everything else if we hadn't destroyed those airframes, and if it wasn't so damn expensive (time and man hours) to maintain we would still be flying them. The removal of those plane from our air fleet saddened me. Just because it was so cool I thought it still deserved a place in our Navy.
26 posted on 08/07/2010 4:25:42 PM PDT by JSteff ((((It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.))))
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To: magslinger; neodad; Enchante
The Dong Feng 21D is indeed a ballistic missile. This only changes the problem but doesn't necessarily make it more difficult. The US has demonstrated that a SM-3 can make a skin-to-skin hit on a deorbiting satellite.

The major drawback of the 21D is its reliance on secondary assets for targeting information, primarily radar satellites. If you take out the satellites, you significantly degrade the system.

Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)

LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)

27 posted on 08/07/2010 4:30:53 PM PDT by LonePalm (Commander and Chef)
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To: magslinger
indicate a high trajectory and therefore easier for Aegis to handle

You are correct. We can actually shoot down satellites with the Aegis system. Yet I have heard it manages ground level (cruise missiles and air craft) nicely too._
28 posted on 08/07/2010 4:31:23 PM PDT by JSteff ((((It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.))))
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To: Kaslin

(knock, knock)

Excuse me.

Has anyone possibly bothered to notice, it is our “free trade” dollars, financing this?

Just a reminder...


29 posted on 08/07/2010 4:36:07 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RR1fDL7x1Sg)
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To: Jeff Head

Thank you for sharing your knowledge on this subjsct. This is what makes FR the best source of news in the world. Real time fact checking (and fact checking of the fact checking). One FReeper knows missiles and counter measures. Another FReeper knows about the spacing of letters on typewriters. No one FReeper knows it all, but between us all we come close.


30 posted on 08/07/2010 4:37:58 PM PDT by magslinger (DISCLAIMER: No liberals were harmed in the making of this post. I'm sorry and will try harder.)
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To: Kaslin

Yawn,,,,,, 900 mile range? big whoop. If things were bad enough between us that this was a threat, the carriers would not be in range. However, in event of a “sucker punch” kind of engagement, The US response to a strike like this could be dicey. Do we go all in by turning loose the Tridents? ? Or convene a blue ribbon panel to determine why everthing is our fault. Only TheOne knows. God help us.


31 posted on 08/07/2010 4:43:44 PM PDT by joelt
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To: joelt

With the ‘one” in power, the attack would be debated to death and no action taken.


32 posted on 08/07/2010 7:39:42 PM PDT by NY Attitude (Make love not war but be prepared for either.)
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To: Kaslin
Chinese Missile could shift Pacific power balance

When I tried to link the original article from this post and another recent post of yours from IBD, the only text I get is just comments at IBD. I used to have no problems reading their editorials. Do you have any idea why I can't get the original article? I tried to register there, but I couldn't.

33 posted on 08/07/2010 10:09:19 PM PDT by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: magslinger

The AEGIS system no longer works because of Obama’s stripping from the Navy maintenance money so he can give the money to career racists and welfare bums. Read the Navy Times. It is a sad story of DDG-51s abd CG-47s that cannot use their weapons because they are rusted shut and cannot use AEGIS because it has fallen into disrepair.


34 posted on 08/08/2010 9:56:09 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: Jeff Head; neodad; magslinger

Thanks to all for the info — I thought it sounded over-hyped but had no basis for knowing..... “interesting” how reporters could write an article on such a system and not do even the slightest pretense of research on the matter....


35 posted on 08/08/2010 10:54:53 AM PDT by Enchante ("The great enemy of clear language is insincerity." -- George Orwell --)
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To: Jeff Head
good to see you back and hope you're feeling better...
36 posted on 08/08/2010 4:52:50 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Jeff Head; neodad
I agree. I remember 20 years ago when the Sunburn was supposed to be sounding the death knell of the US carrier fleet, yet here we are.

It presumes a long range recon, tracking, and ID capability, and a better ECM capability than the Chinese are known to possess.

I think that's the key. Some people don't realize that it is hard to find ships - even a carrier battlegroup - in the middle of the open ocean. I know China has at least one naval reconnaissance satellite, but do they have enough for effective coverage of the Western Pacific?

Also, we sent the Chinese a message concerning the vulnerability of such an asset when we shot down one of our own malfunctioning satellites a couple years ago. That's a capability we're going to need to stay on top of.
37 posted on 08/08/2010 5:54:41 PM PDT by The Pack Knight (Laugh, and the world laughs with you. Weep, and the world laughs at you.)
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To: JSteff; magslinger; Enchante; Jeff Head
This seems to be the future. The nice thing about a laser is it's easier to get it on target and keep it their. The nice thing about warships is they have large generators in them to make lots of nice mega watts.

The competition, will be as always, development of shielding, and development of more powerful lasers. Nothing really changes over the centuries.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cRFEAIdmQ_8

38 posted on 08/08/2010 7:26:35 PM PDT by DariusBane (People are like sheep and have two speeds: grazing and stampede)
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To: The Pack Knight
Ah yes, the USN has been thrashing around for over 40 years to come up with a target missile threat to properly exercise our defenses against. They really do not have a clue what will work against the Sunburn.

Don't believe me? Go do a search on SLAT and follow on supersonic sea skimming targets and see just how much the navy has had to practice against to prove defenses.........

Color me a pessimist at to the survivability or the supercarrier.........

39 posted on 08/08/2010 11:04:35 PM PDT by doorgunner69
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To: Candor7

Do any carrier battle groups include accompanying submaries? Just curious.


40 posted on 08/08/2010 11:09:56 PM PDT by John Leland 1789 (Grateful)
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