Posted on 09/26/2010 5:00:08 AM PDT by reaganaut1
With just five weeks to the election, Republican Charles D. Baker has pulled even with Governor Deval Patrick in a gubernatorial race shaped by anti-incumbent sentiment and unusually high excitement among Republican voters, according to a new Boston Globe poll.
The poll results also suggest that independent Timothy P. Cahill is pulling voters equally from Baker and Patrick, raising questions about the conventional political thinking that his candidacy is undercutting Baker’s chance to defeat the governor in the Nov. 2 election.
In the Globe poll, taken last week, Patrick, a Democrat, won support from 35 percent of likely voters, compared with 34 percent for Baker, a statistical tie given the poll’s margin of error. Cahill, the state treasurer who left the Democratic Party last year, continued to lag far behind with 11 percent. Green-Rainbow candidate Jill Stein got 4 percent, and 14 percent said they remain undecided.
Patrick has lost ground to Baker since the Globe last surveyed voters in June, when the governor led his Republican challenger, 38 to 31 percent. Cahill, damaged by negative ads from the Republican Governors Association, is having difficulty climbing back into a race in which he was once a major contender. His standing improved slightly from June, when he won the support of 9 percent of poll respondents.
The poll indicates that voter turnout on Election Day will be key. The current trend favors Baker, because Republicans are much more enthusiastic about the election than Democrats. Some 78 percent of likely GOP voters say they are excited about the race, compared with only 37 percent of likely Democratic voters. Among the subset of 245 voters surveyed who said they were excited about the race, Baker beat Patrick, 52 to 25 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...
I’ll be praying for you and all the others that are running against Democrats!!
The Scott Brown campaign didn't catch fire until the final 3-4 weeks.
Most voters in Massachusetts still do not know who Charlie Baker is. Though a lot of them know that they do not want another four years of Deval Patrick, so that's a good thing Baker has going for him.
This whole Tom Cahill candidacy is a smokescreen to get Patrick re-elected. However, it looks like it's not working and Cahill's top campaign workers are now leaving the campaign. Cahill is a Democrat through-and-through and an ally of Deval Patrick, no matter what he says on the campaign trail.
Charlie Baker is no prize package either, but like with Scott Brown, it's much better than the alternative and it will be nice to defeat the Democrat machine once again.
With respect to converting Massachusetts into a red state, it's a long-term proposition. Baby steps...
Baker is a crypto-RomneyCARE crypto-ObamaCARE supporter.
Baker increased premiums on health care by 150% even
when the costs DECREASED.
Baker would not allow a GOP primary to force Romney on the
captive public again.
Baker lies about Cahill who is against RomneyCARE and
is not with Deval Patrick as some here, and Baker, lie about.
How about some truth?
Best of luck to you! Yours is a beautiful part of the state, but unfortunately it has been dominated by the sort of moonbats who keep pulling the handle for John Olver every two years like Pavlov’s pooches in anticipation of some more goodies. There are signs that things may be changing, with four or five truly competitive congressional races in Massachusetts, which having lived there for a number of years I would not have believed possible even recently.
Holy Smokes, you are in the Northampton area, it doesn’t get any lefter and you are doing well! Outstanding!
Patrick-Cahill 2012. Together we can.
Didn’t allow a primary? If Christy Mihos, the original
Tim Cahill, had a little more money we could have had one.
oops 2010 I mean
Howie Carr thinks Cahill’s implosion is happening too early. Patrick can now focus on Baker and try to knock him down.
In the Scott Brown race the Globe had a poll just before
the election saying Brown was down by 15. Not sure if I can
trust this poll. I will say that while the old saying goes “Lawn signs don’t vote”, you see a lot more Baker-Tisei
ones than Patrick ones (those, put up usually by hacks,
are starting to show up now). In the 6th district if
lawn signs are an indication, Bill Hudak, whom I helped
to interview on Salem State Radio last week, could beat
incumbent John Tierney. (Howie Carr on Tierney: “He’s
so lightweight he needs to carry rolls of coins in his
pocket so he doesn’t blow over.”)
Some on here are not fond of Baker. The choices come down to him vs. Deval Patrick. You would prefer to have 4 more
years of Deval? More tax increases coming, more hacks,
more big government. Even if Baker is not as good as you say, he can’t be as bad as Deval.
Imagine if Bielat beats Frank in the 4th (longshot) or
Perry beats Keating in the 10th (more likely). Imagine
Polito as next treasurer, Connaughton as next auditor etc
Dittos. How about 2012 Senate election (possible:)
SCOTT BROWN (R)
v
VICTORIA REGGIE KENNEDY (D)
Who are you for?
Agreed on baby steps
>>Cahill is a Democrat through-and-through
Cahill said why he left the Dem party. Then on primary day he (Unenrolled) took a Dem ballot because he said he had some
pals he wanted to help. He and Patrick seemed buddy buddy
during the debate. Patrick-Cahill 2010.
Howaya Timmy! How’s the family! Did you go to the tiiiiiiiiiiiiime for our favorite hack? Oh shoo-ah. Don’t
worry, Timmy, we’ll welcome ya back to the Dems wit’ a nice job workin’ for Deval or Barack. Good job Timmy.
Your choices, in effect
PATRICK-D
STEIN-D
CAHILL-D
BAKER-R
>>Not one of the lockstep Democrat union guys are going to vote again for Patrick
Supposedly even unions are abandoning him, some articles have said. And talk to the rank and file union people (I’m one
myself, APWU) at the post office where I work and you’ll find they ain’t wild about Obama even if the union leaders are.
(They used scare tactics during Bush years of what would happen to us; didn’t happen. One union newsletter during the ‘04 campaign said to vote for Kerry ‘even if you have concerns over things like terrorism, don’t be swayed—vote
Dem’. Actually it may have been worded “don’t be fooled by
foreign affairs/concerns over terrorism, it’s scare tactics”
>>We’re 10 for 10 with Dems. I’m hoping that we pick up three
Possible
6th—HUDAK-R over TIERNEY-D
10th—PERRY-R over KEATING-D (open seat, Delahunt retiring)
Dare we hope?
4th—BIELAT-R over FRANK-D
(THAT would be an earthquake!)
5th—GOLNIK-R over TSONGAS, NIKKI-D
The races
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2010
Bill Gunn faces Olver in 1st.
“Are you pro-Gunn?”
my comment to Globe:
raccoonradio2 wrote:
I read part about Republican voters being more enthusiastic 2-1 over Dems, but there aren’t too many registered Republicans in this state. But the low numbers for Patrick among the many unenrolleds (like myself; am for Baker) could be the real story. Could well be something like 45-42, Baker.
I know “lawn signs don’t vote” but you see a lot more Baker-Tisei ones. The Patrick ones are starting to go up now. State workers, teachers’ union members? (Speaking of which Patrick has failed to get many union endorsements. What does that tell you about his support?)
Cahill is a hack-Dem who took a Dem ballot in primary to help out some friends despite saying he left the party. Whether Deval wins or loses, he will be welcomed back into the D party and maybe get a job in fed or state govt.
Your DNC-logic is wrong now. and will be wrong
when you and Romney replay it to the word in 2011.
NO WAY. NO MORE LYING, DUPLICITOUS RINOS
IMO,you'd be wise to have good things to say in your campaign about Birkenstocks,gray ponytails and Melissa Ethridge.
I'm hoping. About a month ago I was hoping that the Republicans wouldn't do anything to screw things up. But it's the Dems who are screwing up. Their boat is taking on water and they're shooting holes in the floor to let the water out. The way the polls are running, anything's possible.
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