Marist Poll: Say, Obama might have a big problem getting re-elected

Hotair ^ | 04/20/2011 | Ed Morrissey

[Logic n' Reason]

Tho it infuses me with nausea....there’s always a first time.

[Logic n' Reason]

Tho it infuses me with nausea....there’s always a first time.

[Poincare]

There must be some Dems that are saying, “How do we get rid of this guy?”

How about getting Trump to masquerade as a Republican and have at him!

[dalebert]

we are giving 25 Million to libian rebels....anyone know what for???????? anyone know anything about the so called rebels and why they are so important to the USA?????

[MillardFillmore]

I like Dilbert San Diego’s Post. It’s a much better way of looking at things (state by state) than looking at national numbers.

I like this site to play with scenarios

http://www.270towin.com/

I start with 2008 GOP=173
+6 EV for Census (as per Dilbert)

+1 EV for nebraska’s CD that was calculated separately
+15 EV for N. carolina
+11 EV for indiana
= 206 EV
+ 29 for FL and +18 for Ohio (fingers crossed)
= 253 EV. So need 17 more.

I hope Virginia will come back to GOP (based on 2009-10) but many people in northern virginia are personally benefiting from Obama’s looting of the rest of the country

so lets add +13 for Virgina and then we’re at 266EV

So in addition to the states Dilbert SD mentions we need one more state from the following target list
(New Hampshire, Iowa, Wisconsin).

I think New Hampshire may be most likely especially if we end up with RINomney.

I think Colorado, new mexico and nevada will be tough (GOP lost key races in nevada and colorado in 2020 but did do well in New Mexico).

Wisconsin will be tough too, Prosser recently barely won.

So getting a candidate who can win Virgina and one of new hampshire/iowa/wisconsin is what we need.

************************************************************
Dilbert San Diego’s post
Obama beat McCain by 365 to 173 in the electoral vote.

Obama has virtually no chance of carrying any of the McCain states, so the Republican nominee starts with a base of the 173. Add about 6 due to gains of electoral votes in these states due to reapportionment, and we’re up to 179 as a base for the Republican.

Add to the Republican column North Carolina, Virginia, and Indiana, which Obama carried but likely won’t this time. Add back Ohio, which Obama is in trouble in. Add all these, and the Republican is in striking distance of the 270 electoral votes needed. Florida could well go Republican in 2012 also. If all of these happen, Obama can’t win re-election, just due to these states alone.

I don’t underestimate Obama and the Dems. and the MSM, but, he’s clearly vulnerable in 2012.

[ZULU]

I don’t think so.

[Hoodat]

Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, North Carolina, New Hampshire, plus one Nebraska vote puts it right at 270. I am more worried about North Carolina than I am Virginia.

Maine could go GOP, and so could Wisconsin and Minnesota if Pawlenty is the candidate. That would add another 24.

[jmaroneps37]

“Marist Poll: Say, Obama might have a big problem getting re-elected” Gee no foolin’? By the time Trump gets finished peeling OBAMA'S skin, we will be able to pick a name from the phone book. For those who think the election can be stolen, notice how few elections were stolen last November. There will be too many locations where the union scumbags will have to go to cheat and too few willing thugs that will risk arrest, plus too little dues money.

[cartervt2k]

The deeper polling number look even better. Soetoro is already trailing Mitt and Huck in Florida. If he doesn’t carry Florida, he basically has zero margin for error.

[HerrBlucher]

LOL!

[nickcarraway]

No person who bombed Libya has ever been reelected president.

[newzjunkey]

Democrat voters will not abandon Obama.

Republicans need a viable leader as the nominee. Romney or Huckabee won't do it.

[Buckeye McFrog]

Perhaps Democrat voters will not abandon Obama, but I think the odds are increasing that Democrat elites may be searching for a way to throw him under the bus.

It is increasingly clear to them that this guy is a dangerous incompetent who risks taking what remains of their party completely over the cliff in the next election cycle. If they can figure a way to do it while still hanging on to the black vote look for an attempt at a palace coup here.

[AngelesCrestHighway]

Obama might have a big problem getting re-elected?..... Thank God!......

[Para-Ord.45]

bm

[Pollster1]

He’s only weak among the living. Surveys of ACORN and SEIU personnel suggest that Obama’s strength among dead likely voters has grown, possibly enough to offset losses among the living. I’ll be monitoring the polls on election day, and I hope thousands of other FR patriots will be doing the same. Keep the dead in the cemeteries, where they belong, especially on election day.