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The Republicans to control the Senate after 2012 Congressional Elections
Intrade ^

Posted on 07/17/2011 10:14:45 AM PDT by astuddis

72.7% chance

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: intrade
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To: astuddis

I wonder what’s the probability of running the table and defeating all the DemocRAT senators who knocked off a Republican incumbent in 2006?


21 posted on 07/17/2011 10:42:35 AM PDT by Paleo Conservative
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To: astuddis
pickups: ND, NE, VA, MT, MO
tossups: NM, OH, PA, FL, MI, WI, MN, MA
http://www.libertarianrepublican.net/2011/06/path-to-magic-60.html
22 posted on 07/17/2011 10:42:35 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: struggle
Don't be too sure they’ll be the same republicans.

Hopefully you are right. We'll know after the primaries, if the electorate overwhelmingly endorses TEA party candidates over establishment RINOs, it's gonna be a smokin' general.

However if the RINOs easily push aside the conservative primary challengers, then the voters "anybody but a Democrat" penchant will put in place the equivalent of eunuch DemoRats, liberal progressive Republicans, without stones or spine, and they will be as bad as the Marxist Rats.

23 posted on 07/17/2011 10:45:42 AM PDT by Navy Patriot (Holy flippin' crap, Sarah rocks the world!)
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To: Son House
Heh.

If they are Sean Hannity & Mark Levin Republicans they might as well be votes for Obama.

FOX News is a joke and not Conservative.
24 posted on 07/17/2011 10:49:56 AM PDT by Minus_The_Bear
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To: kjo
He’s still got eighty percent of the media.
Hopefully the American people will see through the propaganda.

much more, IMHO....
(IIRC) PEW Research did a '89 survey of MSM, >90%
voted for / favorable towards GHWB's foe in '88


25 posted on 07/17/2011 10:50:15 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (You do not have to smear (Pharaoh / Imam / DumboEars) Obama w/ lies....the truth does a fine job. :)
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To: skinkinthegrass

I believe a realistic comparison of before Obama and after Obama should be normalized to what the starting base was. From my take from the graph before Obama (blue) to after Obama (red) Obama has been increasing the public debt about 2x +or- faster as in previous years.


26 posted on 07/17/2011 10:53:50 AM PDT by noinfringers2
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To: EGPWS
Will there be enough conservatives to make a difference?

I saw a political cartoon awhile back. The first panel was titled "When Democrats are in charge" and showed a bunch of pigs feeding at a trough.

The second panel was titled "When Republicans are in charge" and showed a bunch of pigs feeding at a trough. Just different pigs this time.

Lots of truth in that cartoon.

27 posted on 07/17/2011 10:57:11 AM PDT by Leaning Right (Why am I carrying this lantern? you ask. I am looking for the next Reagan.)
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To: randita; InterceptPoint; perfect_rovian_storm; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; ...

The odds are promising, but it won’t happen by itself. In addition, Indiana Freepers need to oust Richard Lugar in the primary.


28 posted on 07/17/2011 10:57:54 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Illegal aliens collect welfare checks that Americans won't collect)
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To: bgill

Even if what YOU think are “RINOS” take power it will make a huge difference. Look at the last two Supreme Court Justices and you cannot tell me it will not make a difference and keep a straight face or any integrity.


29 posted on 07/17/2011 11:05:23 AM PDT by arrogantsob (Why do They hate her so much?)
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To: apillar

I don’t think it’s possible. We have 20 coastal states with guaranteed demo or rino senate seats. That’s 40 against us right there. Plus, there are plenty of other states that are at least competitive for left-leaning candidates. The senate will always be the biggest problem (besides the judiciary, of course) to going back to a limited, constitutional federal government.


30 posted on 07/17/2011 11:07:08 AM PDT by ngat
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To: blueyon

It won’t look significantly better and after another year of Urkel’s blunders it probably will look worse.


31 posted on 07/17/2011 11:07:08 AM PDT by arrogantsob (Why do They hate her so much?)
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To: kjo

“He’s still got eighty percent of the media. Don’t know if they can continue to lie for another year and a half. Gotta bet they will do everything to reelect him.”

You’re kidding, right? It has done little but lie or hide the truth for decades.

Lying for another year and a half will not cause it to increase its heart rate at all.

While the American people are obviously dumb as doorposts and cannot be counted on at all this guy is totally incompetent.


32 posted on 07/17/2011 11:10:48 AM PDT by arrogantsob (Why do They hate her so much?)
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To: Mad Dawgg

Sotomayor and Kagin show that it matters HUGELY.

This “RINO” BS is completely false.


33 posted on 07/17/2011 11:13:43 AM PDT by arrogantsob (Why do They hate her so much?)
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To: Minus_The_Bear

“...If they are Sean Hannity & Mark Levin Republicans they might as well be votes for Obama...”
-
Please check your medications.


34 posted on 07/17/2011 11:14:58 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Proud to be a (small) monthly donor.)
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Click the Disaster

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35 posted on 07/17/2011 11:20:43 AM PDT by TheOldLady (FReepmail me to get ON or OFF the ZOT LIGHTNING ping list.)
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To: astuddis
Just can't wait until 'fearless leader' Mitch McConnell becomes top dog scarecrow. Let the caving in commence.
36 posted on 07/17/2011 11:22:16 AM PDT by tflabo ( to have been selected)
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To: astuddis
Strategy Page Betting: http://strategypage.com/prediction_market/details1207.aspx

Republicans will control Senate after 2012 election: 71.6%.

Woo-hoo!

37 posted on 07/17/2011 11:25:39 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: blueyon

Yes that’s true. The last I heard, about $150 to $200 billion of Porkulus original $787 billion had not yet been spent. They will carefully target the remaining spending for political purposes. Hate to be so cynical, but that is what will happen.


38 posted on 07/17/2011 11:28:07 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: bgill

Ding, ding, ding. We have a winner for sure.


39 posted on 07/17/2011 11:29:31 AM PDT by 353FMG
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To: Redmen4ever

Dems have 23 Senators up for re-election in 2012, GOP only 10.

We’ll take over the Senate for sure.


40 posted on 07/17/2011 11:49:58 AM PDT by Atlantan
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