Support for Herman Cain Surges with Texas Republicans-Cain 33% Perry 18%

Azimuth polling Company ^ | 101911 | Azimuth polling

[Fred]

Poll Date: 10/12-10/17, 2011
Poll Method: Direct Email and Automated Calls
Poll Sample: 844 Republican voters in Texas
Margin of Error: +/- 3%

Candidate

Graph

Percent

Herman Cain

33%

Ron Paul

19%

Rick Perry

18%

Mitt Romney

7%

Newt Gingrich

5%

Gary Johnson

3%

John Huntsman

3%

Michele Bachmann

1%

Rick Santorum

1%

Buddy Roemer

1%

Fred Karger

0%

Undecided		7%

The bar graph accurately reflects actual poll responses.

This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. Azimuth polling is a non-partisan polling company.

[editor-surveyor]

The Palin vote has swung to Cain.

Palin was out-polling Perry in Tx all the way through. That was how I was able to predict Perry’s melt down way back in August. He can’t win without his own state.

[Jane Long]

Paul is quite popular in Tx.

I'm in Texas and don't know anyone that Paul is popular with.

He's popular with PaulBots, tho. They're everywhere.

[editor-surveyor]

Check his election percentages; they are the best in congress.

[MrEdd]

Pretty much.
He could be president...of Mexico.

[garjog]

Sweet

[nopardons]

But that is just a section in Texas,not the whole state.

That Paul is second, in this poll, makes this poll suspect!

[ken21]

perry crapped all over himself last night.

[Danae]

LOL

Honestly Paul is a better conservative than Perry.

I must now go and get out my cat=o=9tails and purge myself.

BRB...

[Sola Veritas]

“He’s popular with PaulBots, tho. They’re everywhere.”

Yeah, and those types scare me. It is really dishonest for Paul to be in the GOP primary. He is a Libertarian not a Republican. He should run as a Libertarian. The PaulBots will only vote for Paul and when he fails to get the nomination they will vote for the Libertarian candidate...which could be Paul. So, he is just a distraction that shouldn’t be allowed in the debates. All he is trying to do is pull more repubs to himself, which he won’t do, he is not interested in real conservatism....just his wacko libertarian views.

[takenoprisoner]

“Perry comes in behind RuPaul? That’s just wrong.”

You got that right. What’s wrong with conservative Texans who like Ron Paul more than Perry? Probably has something to do with being conservative. Perry is no conservative. He talks the talk, but he doesn’t walk the walk. “Rupaul” talks the talk and walks the walk. So it’s likely a respect thing for someone who stands on principle, like it or not.

Sure, his foreign policy is lacking. I especially disagree with him that Iran is not a threat. Although, he has a point regarding their military capability. No threat. But let these bassturds get a nuke, and all hell will break loose. They will use them on Israel and the U.S. Why he insists on denying this potential is beyond me. Maybe his son Rand can wake him up.

“RuPaul” is also right about all these foreign involvements. I could give a crap less about Iraqi or Afghani freedom. Screw them. Once we leave, if EVER, they will crawl back to their sewers of bile.

It’s waste of precious lives, and money, for us to be involved in their internal affairs. Islam is not a free society. It will never be free. So the concept of Iraqi, and Afghani, freedom is a hoax. Won’t ever happen in the lands of Islam. No way no how. I know freepers get this.

Now we get to the part where “RuPaul” is dead on balls accurate. Domestic policy. No one candidate can touch him on this. He has been fighting this battle for decades. He has stood his ground alone. Til now, that is, since folks are finally waking up to listen. The fed is not our friend. Hello, “RuPaul” told us this decades ago.

I like freedom, and I like our Constitution. So does “RuPaul.” Heck, he even violated his own principle once when voting to “authorize” Pres Bush to send troops to Afghanistan. But they promised him OBL was there, and they would get him. Then he got fooled. It happens. But I think he is still PO’d about it. So maybe that is what drives him crazy on foreign policy.

Anyway, he doesn’t stand a chance to become President. But I hope he remains in congress to continue to fight the good fight. FREEDOM and the CONSTITUTION. I wholeheartedly support them both.

[caww]

Well there is passion in politics and especially in elections...I think one has to learn to brush it off and realize everyone is going to have their favorite.....and then it’s here and we vote.....but the dialogues to get these candidates vetted...like it or not...is important. You just have to sift thru the “stuff” to get at the issue.

What I’m seeing are candidates who want to be President, this time around, who are trying hard to be Presidential when they come up lacking in far too many areas of importance to the American people. Just seems to me the really good ones don’t want the mess Obamas going to leave behind. ..and we know that’s not going to be pretty at all!

[Allegra]

Paulbot poll group, they solicit via email.

Yep...this one's not exactly scientific. They've got the Paulbot mailing list.

Azimuth has had Paul unrealistically up in other polls as well.

[Jane Long]

But I hope he remains in congress to continue to fight the good fight.

Paul is not seeking re-election in 2012.

[Allegra]

Paul is quite popular in Tx.

Not really.

[Digger]

It looks as though Texans really love their governor so much, they don’t want him to move to the White House.

I visited the mid-west for a couple of weeks & I met with a well connected man from Dallas. He stated that his group totally disliked Perry - not a true conservative. Take it for what it is worth.

[SatinDoll]

I figured out that Perry wasn’t a real Conservative quite some time ago.

But Cincinatus’ Wife has been a dedicated booster of Gov. Perry, and I respect her zeal even though not her choice for Republican candidate.

There is no kindness in kicking someone when they’re down.

[Future Useless Eater]

I had been wondering if the Cain surge seen in many (but not all) recent polls was real.

So I guessed that a ballpark confirmation could be done using this Texas poll, plus the six STATE polls that came this week. One could guess those might represent the country as a whole pretty well, since it included TWO super liberal BLUE states (NH and HI) four battleground purple states ( IA OH FL SC) and one red state (TX)
If anything, the rest of the country might even lean MORE toward Cain as a whole.



I averaged these latest state polls, as follows:

	Sample	Cain	Romney	Gingrich	Paul	Perry	Bachman	Huntsman	Santorum	Spread
U.S. COMPOSITE	2606 RV	30.7	22.2	9.1	8.5	7.7	5.2	2.0	unknown	Cain +8.5
TX	844 RV	33	7	5	19	18	1	3	1	Cain +14
OH	500 RV	34	19	14	7	5	6	1	1	Cain +15
HI	293 RV	36	24	8	4	8	6	1	1	Cain +12
SC	476 RV	32	16	8	6	12	6	1	NotAsked	Cain +16
FL	505 RV	30.2	32.6	11.7	2.7	2.9	1.6	2	NotAsked	Romney +2.4
IA	422 RV	26	18	12	10	6	11	1	NotAsked	Cain +8
NH	409 RV	24	39	5	11	2	5	5	NotAsked	Romney +15
	Sample	Cain	Romney	Gingrich	Paul	Perry	Bachman	Huntsman	Santorum
U.S. ZOGBY	1214 RV	45	21	6	8	7	1	3	3

I also show Zogby for comparison.... RealClearPolitics does not like them because they are an online poll.
But It looks like, for some reason, there are 10% fewer 'undecided's with the online Zogby. So it might even be more accurate than the telephone polls?

I also show a weighted 4-poll rolling average of recent national polls which also shows trend results similar to the 'composite' above.

Weighted 4-Poll Rolling Averages of the latest 20+ Polls listed at RCP [as of Oct 17]
plus the "YouGov" poll inserted chronologically

[therightliveswithus]

Great graphs

[South40]

Blacks in California in 2008, supported Obama by margins exceeding 97%. But just 2 years later 70% of them voted for Proposition 8, a simply worded initiative that says, "only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California."

They are more conservative than most realize. I think Cain has a chance there especially when you consider blacks are disappointed with Obama and the dems.

[One Name]

yeah!

What a mess. Hogan’s goat had a better landscape in front.
How do we get there from here?

Lesser of two evils only slows our descent.

I’m a believer and a patriot, can’t conflate the two but I am clinging to hope for the country of my birth.