Posted on 01/10/2012 6:07:53 AM PST by Former Fetus
A serious split is developing within Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guard, with one faction favoring the overthrow of the dictatorial regime. This presents a window of opportunity for the West to support regime change before the Islamic Republic successfully tests nuclear weapons. Once the regime has those nuclear bombs, that opening will be much narrower.
Iran has tried hard to show strength in the face of sanctions aimed at pressuring Tehran to quit its suspected nuclear-bomb and missile development programs. Iranian leaders are now flexing their military muscles in the strategic waterway, the Strait of Hormuz, threatening to shut it down and choking off a major part of the world's oil supply.
The regime has long tried to scare the West from taking any action against it, by threatening the world's security and stability. However, behind its mask of strength and unity, big cracks are beginning to show.
>>SNIP<<
Today the West has many allies in Iran to help bring about regime change and save the world from a dark future, but it must be aware that the window is closing.
(Excerpt) Read more at jewishworldreview.com ...
This is hard to do when the current idiots in charge don’t put much stock on HUMINT. Conversely, we invite those who hate us into the administration as guests of the White Crib, Pentagon, Cabinet, and other Federal institutions.
That really says it all.
What if the faction of the Guard that wants to overthrow the current regime is even more radically Islamist or turns out to be?
I might trust the population or even the segment that wants more liberalization, eg the students and young, but a split in the most radical segment of the current regime doesn’t necessarily mean an improvement.
It might only be a struggle between the Girondins and the Jacobins with the result a Reign of Terror with a new Robespierre.
Those Iranian guard units that seek to overthrow the regime would be wise to not seek U.S. assistance, at least when Nobama is in charge. It’s more likely that he would rat them out rather than help them.
There have been stories about Khameni, the Grand Ayatolla, wanting to rid himself of Ahmedinijad, the crazy he installed as head of government. Seems the Amedinijahd has gotten too big for his britches. What if this 'split' in the Revolutionary Guard merely reflects a split between these fanatics? A pox on both their houses.
Thanks Former Fetus.
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